Demographic Jihad by the Numbers:
Getting a Handle on the True Scope
2 June 2007 ©Yoel Natan
Author of the book Moon-o-theism
I. Introduction
► Case #1: A Pew Research Poll in 2007 Says 26% of Young Adult Muslim-Americans Support Suicide Bombing
► Case #2: Infidels Supposedly Have Nothing to Fear from Muslims, Yet Muslims Inexplicably Fear Being Takfired, That Is, Being Declared Infidels
► The Size of the Minority of Muslims and the Quality of Life Index
Countries discussed in some detail (if a country is not listed here, it likely is mentioned in passing, and can be found using the browser Search function):
Afghanistan Africa Albania Algeria Argentina Australia Austria Azerbaijan Bangladesh Belgium Belize Benin Bosnia-Herzegovina & the Republika Srpska Britain (United Kingdom) Canada Chechnya China Cote d'Ivoire (Ivory Coast) Cyprus Czech Republic Denmark East Timor Egypt Eritrea Estonia Ethiopia Europe France French Guiana Germany Global Greece Greenland Guyana Horn of Africa/Somalia India Indonesia Iran Iraq Ireland & North Ireland (UK) Islamdom Israel Italy Japan Jordan Kosovo Lebanon Macedonia Malaysia Mexico Mideast Mongolia Montenegro Morocco Netherlands Nigeria North America Norway Oman Pakistan Palestine (West Bank and Gaza) Philippines Russia Saudi Arabia Serbia Singapore South Africa South America South Asia Spain Sri Lanka Sudan Suriname Sweden Switzerland Syria Tajikistan Thailand Tri-Border Region, aka Triple Frontier, Trinidad & Tobago Islands Turkey Ukraine United States Western Sahara Yemen
Note: For maps and population information, see Yoel Natan’s “Christian and Muslim Demographics,” May 2007 PDF (>8MB).
► Algeria, Benin, Cote d'Ivoire (Ivory Coast), Eritrea, Ethiopia, Horn of Africa/Somalia, Morocco, Nigeria, South Africa, Sudan, Western Sahara
► Some Anticipate a Eurabian Civil War
► Anti-Semitism Increasingly an Islamic Phenomenon
► Albania, Austria, Azerbaijan, Belgium, Bosnia-Herzegovina & the Republika Srpska
► Britain (United Kingdom):
o Radical Muslim Attitudes in the Anglosphere
▪ In the United States
▪ Anti-Semiticism in the UK
o More on Muslims in the UK
► Chechnya, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland & North Ireland (UK), Italy, Kosovo, Macedonia, Montenegro, Netherlands, Norway, Russia, Serbia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Ukraine
► The Global Jihad
► The Bloody Borders and Innards of Islamdom
► The Diminishing Population of Christians in the Mideast
► Israel
o Judaism’s Four Holy Cities
o Jerusalem Demographics
o Jewish Anti-Missionaries
o General Religious Info
o Messianic Jews
► Jordan, Lebanon, Oman, Palestine (West Bank and Gaza), Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey, Yemen
► Canada, Greenland, Mexico, United States
► Summary: Argentina, Belize, French Guiana, Guyana, Suriname, Tri-Border Region, aka Triple Frontier, Trinidad & Tobago Islands (NE of Venezuela)
► Afghanistan, Australia Tajikistan
o Prislam in Australian Jails
► Bangladesh, China
o China’s Attempts to Criminalize Criticism of Islam Locally and Globally
o China’s Gender Imbalance
► India
o The Caste System and Affirmative Action
o Recent Violence In India Proper
o Kashmir
o Indian Demographic Projections
► Japan, Malaysia, Mongolia, Pakistan, Philippines, Singapore, Sri Lanka, Thailand
I. Introduction
A. Countering the Inevitable Charge of Islamophobia
Obviously, a report like the one you are reading now will elicit cries of Islamophobia from the usual suspects, those being touchy Muslims and politically correct multiculturalists. They say that any apprehensions about mass Muslim immigration constitutes Islamophobia. Also, anyone criticizing Islam or contradicting Muslim propaganda, no matter how valid their points are, is an Islamophobe. Examples of Islamophobic deeds include:
► Saying that there are only 1m or 2m Muslims in America rather than the 8m that CAIR claims because this is just an effort to “seek to block Muslim political participation.”
► “Standing against the violent edicts of Shariah law…”
Undoubtedly, charges of racism will be lodged, but that is absurd since Islam and Islamists are not a race. To counter anticipated charges of Islamophobia, one can examine case history to see how ludicrous such charges:
Case #1 A Pew Research Poll in 2007 Says 26% of Young Adult Muslim-Americans Support Suicide Bombing
A May 2007 Pew Research survey of Muslims in the US revealed:
► “5% of US Muslims [or 117,500 out of 2.35m Muslims] expressed favorable views of the terrorist group al-Qaida, though about a fourth [a quarter of pollees] did not express an opinion.”
► 13% (305,500) of America’s 2.35m Muslims say suicide-bombings “to defend Islam” can be justified.
► 26% of Muslims under 30 years old say suicide-bombings “to defend Islam” can be justified (2% often, 13% sometimes, 11% rarely). This is a particular troubling statistic because the under-30 crowd makes up the bulk of would-be Jihadists around the world.
The May 2007 Pew Research survey did not ask exactly what “to defend Islam” meant to respondants, but 53% of American-Muslims said “it has become more difficult to be a Muslim in the U.S. since the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks.” Also, only “26% say the U.S.-led war on terror is a sincere effort to reduce international terrorism.” In other words, many American-Muslims might perceive the War on Terrorism (WoT) as an attack on Islam that had to be defended against by suicide-bombing.
To back up the contention that many American-Muslims see the WoT as an attack on Islam that must be defended by suicide bombings, Muslims overseas seem to think this way. World Public Opinion found that most Muslims see the WoT as an attempt to “weaken and divide Islam” (Morocco 78%, Egypt 92%, Pakistan 73%, Indonesia 73%). In these same four countries, many Muslims think suicide-bombings are justified (Morocco 43%, Egypt 23%, Pakistan 19%, Indonesia 16%).
Were these survey results a big concern to American Muslims? Hardly. Muslim spokespersons said that Muslims were just like mainstream Americans. To prove this, they drew comparisons between Israeli and American support for counter-terrorism efforts and Muslims’ terrorism-sympathizing and supporting attitudes, as though these lawless and lawful attitudes were just two sides of the same coin. For example:
► Hussein Ibish, executive director of the Foundation for Arab American Leadership told Newsweek that Israeli Jews approved of killing civilians the same as Muslism do:
It’s exactly the same kind of statistic you’d get if you asked young Israelis about torture, demolition of villages, assassinations—they’d say yes because they know the Israelis have done it but loathe to say it’s wrong.
► The Columbus Dispatch talked to Ahmad Al-Akhras, a Columbus, Ohio resident and national vice chairman of CAIR, and president of the Islamic Foundation of Central Ohio. Al-Akhras “called the number small,” and said:
There is no justification in Islam for targeting civilians or supporting terrorism. Those who commit these actions are committing a sin…Muslims believe that human life is sacred and that it is protected….Americans in general might be more supportive of targeted attacks on civilians, as part of the war on terror, than U.S. Muslims. A December 2006 poll by the University of Maryland-affiliated WorldPublicOpinion.org found that 24% of Americans think bombings or other attacks intentionally aimed at civilians are ‘sometimes or often justified.’[1]
The WorldPublicOpinion.org poll that Al-Akhras refers to is dated 24 Jan 2007.
Pollsters and the media generally have no interesting in familiarizing themselves with Islam, so apologists for Islam regularly take advantage of their naiveté. Such was done in the case of the Pew and World Opinion polls mentioned above. For example:
► Al-Akhras said that there was no justificatoin for terrorism, but he wouldn’t want the media to know that Islam’s top theologians have all approved of suicide-bombings, and therefore it is natural for many Muslims in America to believe likewise:
o The Mar 2002 issue of American Muslim magazine, published by the Muslim American Society’s (MAS), printed a fatwa endorsing suicide bombings against Israelis and said that the bombers were Jihadist martyrs approve by Allah. This fatwa was originally issued by “Faysal Mawlawi, deputy chairman of the European Council for fatwa and Research, headed by the “Theologian of Terror,” Youssef al-Qaradawi.”
o On 6 July 2005 “a major conference of 170 Muslim scholars from 40 countries meeting in Amman, Jordan gave an opinion” that “it is not possible to declare” that “those who issue fatwas to kill innocent people in the name of Islam” are “apostates” and “not real Muslims.”
o In 2005, “high-ranking Muslim clerics” confirmed “that those who carry out suicide bombings cannot be treated as apostates and remain Muslims.”[2]
o In 2006 a high-ranking scholar, Dr. Mohammad Rafat Othman, of Al-Azhar seminary in Egypt stated: “Those using suicide bombing against the enemy, the land robbers, and the occupier of nations, are martyrs.”[3]
► America is “a nation that is beset by people who are suicidal maniacs and want to kill countless innocent men, women and children around the world,” as politician Fred Thompson put it in May 2007. Yet right in the midst of Americans are a significant percentage of Muslim-Americans admitting that they cheer on the suicidal maniacs. The nineteen 9/11 hijackers were essentially suicide bombers, and many Muslims rejoiced when over them. Of course, this is to be expected since Islamic doctrine splits the world into the Domain of War (Dar al-Harb) and the Domain of Islam (Dar al-Islam), and American-Muslims just happen to be living behind enemy lines in Dar al-Harb.
► The pollsters would be shocked to learn that a main reason why more polled Muslims did not approve of suicide-bombings has nothing to do with the bodycount, but whether and when it is permissible for a Muslim to kill himself in order to kill the enemy. In other words, if the pollsters had asked about non-suicidal terrorism to defend Islam, many more Muslims than the 13% would have said it was justified.
► When Al-Akhras says Islam condemns “terrorism,” he has in mind cops and robbers type criminal activity since, after all, the Koran commands Jihad until all religions are for Allah. This is why Muslims say Allah Akbar! (Allah is Great!) when committing acts of terrorism, because to them their deeds are the Jihad commanded in the Koran.
► Apologists for Islam claim that terrorism has nothing to do with Islam. In fact, Muslims want the media to never use the words “Islamic terrorism” together in the same sentence. Yet polls show that the more people identify themselves as Muslim (e.g., “I’m Muslim first, American second”), the more they thought suicide-bombing was justified, as the Pew Research poll concluded:
...younger Muslims in the US are more likely than older Muslim Americans to express a strong sense of Muslim identity, and are much more likely to say that suicide bombing in the defense of Islam can be at least sometimes justified.
► When Al-Akhras says terrorism is a “sin” according to Islam, he would rather have non-Muslims not know that Allah and Muslims are all too quick to forgive the “sin” of “targeting civilians.” In other words, it is a trivial and venial sin in Islam rather than a cardinal sin, and Al-Akhras’ omitting this fact is rather sly of him. As proof of this contention:
o The Columbus Dispatch reported that Muslims have no problem approving of this particular “sin”:
In surveys Pew conducted last year, support [for suicide-bombings] in some Muslim countries exceeded 50 percent, while it was considered justifiable by about one in four Muslims in Britain and Spain, and one in three in France.
o One will rarely find any Muslim who would condemn or pronounce takfir (excommunication) on terrorists or terrorist groups by name (e.g., Osama bin Laden, Al-Qaeda, Hamas), even though the people these groups kill the most are civilians.
o Even though Muslims overwhelmingly say they object to killing civilians, many of these same Muslims cheer on terrorist groups that do just that year after year. The WorldPublicOpinion.org poll dated 24 Jan 2007 says:
Militant Islamic Groups and Terrorism Iranians, like Americans, are concerned about terrorism and reject Osama bin Laden overwhelmingly. Iranians are considerably less concerned than Americans about al Qaeda and other Islamist militant groups, however, and majorities have positive views of Hamas and Hezbollah. Iranians overwhelmingly reject attacks intentionally aimed at civilians, including those targeting Americans. Americans concur though the percentage of Iranians who reject such attacks is somewhat higher than the percentage of Americans who do so. A modest majority of Iranians, however, make an exception for some Palestinian attacks against Israeli civilians. Americans do not make such an exception for Israeli attacks on Palestinians....
o Many Muslims think that suicide bombing is such a trivial sin that they contend that so-called Islamophobia is worse than terrorism, as Arab News reported in May 2007:
Foreign ministers of the Organization of the Islamic Conference (OIC) yesterday expressed grave concern at the rising tide of discrimination and intolerance against Muslims, especially in Europe and North America…the foreign ministers termed Islamophobia the worst form of terrorism and called for practical steps to counter it.
Case #2: Infidels Supposedly Have Nothing to Fear from Muslims, Yet Muslims Inexplicably Fear Being Takfired, That Is, Being Declared Infidels
Muslims say that infidels have nothing to fear from Muslims, and those that fear Muslims are Islamophobes. When Muslims are confronted with polls showing just how radical Muslims are, the typical response is that this has nothing to do with Islam, but rather it is always the infidels’ fault for making life hard for Muslims somehow. For instance, when asked about the PewResearch poll in May 2007 that said 13% (or 305,500) of America’s 2.35m Muslims say suicide-bombing is justified…
…Jordan Robinson, 22, a Muslim from Gahanna, said the survey shows most American Muslims are ‘mainstream’ but that it points out a need to address the grievances of young Muslims.
Infidels are supposed to be satisfied with Muslim fatwas against terrorism even though:
► A close reading shows they are shot through with weasel words, loopholes, and takkiya fibbing. Even if these fatwas were ironclad, Muslims generally do not honor any religious statements in languages other than Arabic. However, since these fatwas are merely meant for infidel consumption, they are rendered in English and never translated into Arabic.
► The highest authorities of Islam, such as at the Al-Azhar Seminary in Cairo, have already said that suicide-bombers were martyrs, and suicide-bombings were justified, so all the fatwas issued by lesser authorities in the West have no value except for fooling the infidels.
► There is no school of Islamic thought, no respected medieval or modern Islamic treatise, nor any Muslim sect, that “reject the proposition that the umma must wage war in order to establish Sharia.” This is why non-Muslim apologists for Islam like Karen Armstrong are so useful for Islamists because she provided the tome that whitewashes Islam, the tome they themselves could not write for fear of being declared heretics or apostates and then killed by takfiris. The all-too-grateful Muslim Public Affairs Council of Los Angeles gave Armstrong a media award in 1999 for biography on Muhammad.
Sunnis have long taught that Shiites are infidels, and vice versa. A takfari is one who declares Muslims to infidels, either individually or by sect. Muslims say that infidels are supposed to satisfied that they are safe from harm based on fatwas. If infidels have nothing to fear, why does it concern Sunnis at all that Shiites think of them as infidels, and vice versa?
For their mutual protection against being takfired, Sunnis and Shiites signed agreements not to declare each other infidels. The fact that Sunnis and Shiites removed themselves from harm’s way worsens the situation for the remaining infidels because now Jihadists have fewer targets to go after. The Associated Press reported in May 2007:
With sectarian divisions fueling violence in Iraq, Sunnis and Shiites in the U.S. are increasingly wary of a spillover effect. In one public example, leaders from both traditions have launched ‘Intra-faith Code of Honor’ campaigns in three cities with major Muslim populations.
So far, 20 Sunni and Shiite leaders in Southern California have signed the first such code. The document denounces ‘takfir’—the labeling of another Muslim as a nonbeliever—forbids hateful speech about revered figures and urges debates at the scholarly level, not the street level. Similar agreements are expected to be completed this month in Detroit and Washington, D.C….
Another concern is keeping virulently sectarian literature from the Middle East out of American mosques. ‘As much as we can make clear the Muslim-American identity is not a natural extension of the Middle East, the better off we’ll be,’ he said….
In the Detroit area—home to the nation’s largest concentration of Muslims—Shiites blamed Sunnis for vandalism at Shiite-affiliated mosques and businesses after the execution of Saddam Hussein, a Sunni who repressed the Shiite majority in Iraq….
At the same time, intra-faith efforts can address the graver problem of anti-Muslim sentiment, he said. Bias incidents against Muslims including harassment, violence and discrimination rose nearly one-third last year to a 12-year high, according to the Council on American-Islamic Relations. ‘Shiites and Sunnis need to work together so we can face our joint challenges,’ Qazwini said.
Ihsan Bagby, an associate professor of Islamic studies at the University of Kentucky, said challenges posed by the terrorist attacks, the first Gulf War and the ongoing war in Iraq have united Sunni and Shiites in the US more than divided them. ‘There’s never really been a very strong ecumenical movement in Islamic history that has really tried to forge understanding,’ he said. ‘Maybe this is the beginning of it.’
So here’s is what can be gathered from the above report:
► Muslims know that Muslims treat infidels badly, as in terrorism, ethnic cleansing, wars, etc. So Shiites want Sunnis to think of Shiites as fellow Muslims, and vice versa. So the practice of takfir is being banned, and literature inciting sectarian violence is banned. By contrast, even after mosques are shown to have literature and sermons inciting hatred against Americans, Israelis, Russians, and others, there is no effort, and no promises are made, to rid mosques, madrasas and Muslim schools of such literature and sermons. So, it seems that regular infidels will just have to get accustomed to being shot at and blown up by organized Jihadists, freelancers, and Sudden Jihadists.
► Because Muslims know that there will hardly be any backlash over terrorism against regular infidels, regular infidels will just have to make do with hollow Muslim fatwas against terrorism. Robert Spencer wrote:
…neither the CAIR nor the MPAC website contains any announcement about any program or initiative of any kind designed to lessen support for suicide bombing and Al-Qaeda within the Muslim community in America.
By contrast, Sunnis and Shiites are well aware that with Muslims, everything is eye-for-eye, and tooth-for-tooth, so the situation in America could deteriorate quickly into tit-for-tat car bombings and suicide vest bombings like in Iraq and Pakistan. That is why there was this special effort to come to an accord between Shiites and Sunnis, and even agree to ban certain cherished literature.
► When there was a conflict between Sunni Mu’awiya and Shiite Imam Hasan in 661 AD over the caliphate, they signed a peace agreement, reportedly so as not to weaken Islam in the face of the great Byzantine threat. Today, Sunnis and Shiites would fight each other in the West if they were not vastly outnumbered by non-Muslims in the West. Moreover, they say they must join forces to fight “the graver problem” of Islamophobia and hate crimes (see above article). Once Muslims gain ascendancy anywhere though, all such feigned comradeship will dissipate just as occurs between Sunnis and Shiites in Iran, Pakistan and Yemen.
► Protestants and Catholics fought each other during the Thirty-Years-War, and have not fought much since. By contrast, Sunnis and Shiites have been at each other’s throats ever since 680 AD. In 2007, in America, comes the very first time they have attempted any type of voluntary rapprochement. If that does not say “war-god religion,” than what does?
B. Demographic Jihad Explained
Demographic Jihad is not exactly the classic Jihad warfare as practiced by Muslims for over 1350 years. Discussion on that can be found at Jihad Watch under the Islam 101 section, and in the “Islam for Infidels” guide by Hugh Fitzgerald. Demographic Jihad is, instead, the effort to establish hegemony over a region by all methods short of a classic Jihad.
The Demographic Jihad effort can extend over a period of a century or more, and uses a long list of legal (Lawful Islamism) and illegal methods. New methods and initiatives are being implemented every month.
The legal methods of Demographic Jihad include immigration, large family sizes, conversion of the natives through evangelism (Arabic: dawa), and a long process of quiet and not-so-quiet ethnic cleansing.
When Muslim numbers are small:
► Muslims try to align themselves with dominant groups in order to gain influence and shield Muslims against inevitable critics and against the possibility of deportation from the country.
► Muslims start suppressing free speech by charging their critics with hate-speech, racism and homophobia. This causes their critics to shy away for fear that their academic and social life or earning power will suffer. It also emboldens Muslim and non-Muslim apologists for Islam, especially those looking for prestige and those who are out for a quick buck and their fifteen minutes of fame.
► If racism and homophobia are not already actionable offenses under the law, Muslims work to enact hate-speech laws in order to prosecute critics they cannot silence in other ways.
► Muslims work to make every aspect of society and culture Sharia-compliant, from newspaper cartoons to banks.
Demographic Jihad is a frontal attack on non-Muslim culture that has developed over thousands of years. The Wall Street Journal reported that eminent scholar Bernard Lewis said:
The Islamic world, he said, was now attacking the West using two tactics: terrorism and migration. He listed ideological fervor and demography as two of the chief strengths that the Muslim world had in its favor in its face-off against the West, but fell short of offering any prescriptions for what Europe should do to stem the flow of immigrants from North Africa, South Asia and the Middle East.[4]
The ethnic cleansing aspect of Demographic Jihad proceeds mosque by mosque, street corner by street corner, and by block, neighborhood, suburb, city, region and nation. The ethnic cleansing involves all age groups, especially the youth since they are youthful and not subject to as stringent penalties as adults.
The ethnic cleansing usually starts as name-calling, bullying, and taunting of moderate Muslims, aka hypocrites, as the Koran calls them:
Truly, if the hypocrites, and those in whose hearts is a disease, and those who stir up sedition in the city [Madina], desist not, We [Allah] shall certainly stir thee up against them: Then will they not be able to stay in it as thy neighbors for any length of time (K 033:060).
After the moderate Muslims are driven from the mosque and Muslim neighborhood and the mosque is radicalized, then radical Muslims take on the infidels. Youths and adults engage in Jihad crime against non-Muslims as a form of Jihad and looting. If infidels do not get the message and leave Muslim territory, it is open season on infidels who can be murdered and otherwise terrorized until they flee.
The rate at which Demographic Jihad occurs must be low enough so that it looks like a crime wave to those uninitiated in Islam. Thus, Imams preach against terrorism in order to apply the brakes to Jihad so their denials of Jihad are still plausible to the authorities and the media who want to be fooled.
After a neighborhood goes entirely Muslim, then it generally becomes a no-go area for infidels. Just one of the many reasons infidels don’t want to live around Muslims is they know of all the wife beating that is sanctioned by Allah (K 004:003). The police, ambulances, firefighters and city contractors who work on the city infrastructure enter no-go areas at their own risk and often require back-up units. The infidel children are beaten up and have their bikes stolen, adults are roughed up, and infidels businesses are boycotted.
Europe is already segregating on a neighborhood basis with hundreds of no-go areas in France, and many in Sweden, Norway, Germany, Londonistan, Denmark and the Netherlands. Israel has no-go areas where no Jews feel safe going. In Britain, Spiegel reports:
In Blackburn and Preston, increasing numbers of neighborhoods have become exclusively Muslim, and the growing influence of the conservative Wahhabi school of Islam is more and more apparent among women who wear black robes and cover all but their eyes.[5]
What is occurring in Europe is just a Demographic Jihad rerun of what occurred in the Mideast for the last 1350 years. Current examples of slow-motion ethnic cleansing can be seen in Kosovo (see the Kosovo section), Nazareth (see the Israel section), Bethlehem (see the Palestine section), and any other place where infidels were no longer wanted. For example:
► In Stockholm in 2005, five veiled Muslim girls, aged 17 and 18, attacked 15 elderly women in their 70s and 80s, stealing their purses. One 71-year-old was pushed down a flight of steps, and a 78-year-old woman was pushed to the ground and kicked. One woman had snow shoved in her mouth until she let go of her handbag.
► UK Home Secretary John Reid went to talk to Muslims in East London, an Islamist heckled him saying, “How dare you come to a Muslim area.” “The Bishop of London says inner London will have a Muslim majority by 2020.”
► A 76-year-old man walked into Oldham in Greater Manchester, and three Pakistani youths told him, “Get out of our area,” before brutally beating him.
“White Flight” has already been observed in Europe, with expatriates moving to Australia, Canada and elsewhere, and many Jews are making Aliya to Israel. Daniel Pipes wrote about how this type of treatment will eventually cause more Europeans to flee:
Some 5% of the E.U., or nearly 20m persons, presently identify themselves as Muslims; should current trends continue, that number will reach 10% by 2020. If non-Muslims flee the new Islamic order, as seems likely, the continent could be majority-Muslim within decades.
Muslims talk about the Demographic Jihad against Europe. For instance, Mark Steyn quoted Colonel Muammar Qaddafi who said:
There are signs that Allah will grant Islam victory in Europe—without swords, without guns, without conquests. The 50m Muslims of Europe [sic] will turn it into a Muslim continent within a few decades.
Oslo’s Aftenposten reported the words of Mullah Krekar:
‘We’re the ones who will change you,’ Krekar told Norwegian newspaper Dagbladet in his first interview since an uproar broke out [in 2006] over [Danish Muhammad] cartoons deemed offensive to Muslims.
‘Just look at the development within Europe, where the number of Muslims is expanding like mosquitoes,’ Krekar said. ‘Every western woman in the EU is producing an average of 1.4 children. Every Muslim woman in the same countries is producing 3.5 children. By 2050, 30% of the population in Europe will be Muslim.’
He claimed that ‘our way of thinking... will prove more powerful than yours.’ He loosely defined ‘western thinking’ as formed by the values held by leaders of western or non-Islamic nations. Its ‘materialism, egoism and wildness’ has altered Christianity, he claimed.
Pinhas Inbari of The Jerusalem Center for Public Affair wrote about the Demographic Jihad occurring in the Holy Land:
While one cannot claim that Fatah is a religious movement, it has strong Muslim features. Its military wing is the ‘Al-Aqsa Martyrs Brigade,’ whose military announcements are heavily laced with Koranic verses identical to those used by Hizbullah, according to which ‘the weakest on the face of the earth’ will become strong and inherit ‘and become the imams—the rulers’ [K 028:005]. This is the verse that Fatah leader Yasser Arafat chose to cite when he first entered Gaza in 1994 after the Oslo agreements.
Later Arafat explained just how Allah was making the weak stronger, as Sylvana Foa reported:
‘The womb of the Arab woman,’ Arafat says smugly, promising ultimate victory over the Jews, ‘is my strongest weapon.’
Muslims generally are glad to help Aussies out with their population problem, as the Sunday Herald Sun reported:
A Sunday Herald Sun investigation also found clerics railing against ‘evil’ democracy, vilifying Jews and Christians and encouraging jihad and polygyny. Many CDs and DVDs there feature London sheik Abdul Raheem Green, who is on an Australian Government watch list. On one, he tells his audience to Islamize Australia through a Muslim baby boom.
‘The birth rate in the Western countries is going down. People are more interested in their careers . . . they don’t want to have babies,’ Sheik Green says in one DVD. ‘So don’t you think, Muslim brothers and sisters, we’ve got a bit of an opportunity here? They’re not having babies any more. So what if, instead, we have the babies?
‘In Canada one in three or one in four children being born is a Muslim. What does that do to the demographic shift of a Muslim population in 20 years’ time?
‘To say I’m going to have two or three children and that’s it—that’s not allowed. The way we overcome the people is through our numbers.’
B. Why This Study Is Important
This study of Muslim demographics attempts to give an idea of what the future holds for the West. People have feared that Western population implosions, combined with burgeoning Muslim multitudes in the West, might actually make some Western countries majority-Muslim. It is also feared that continual spillover of populations from Islamdom will contribute to the Muslim inundation of the West.
Many people are resigned to this fate for the West and will not lift a finger to save Western civilization because they figure the other shoe will fall after their lifetimes. They are like the Israeli king Hezekiah. When he heard the prophecy that Babylonian moon-god worshipers would one day invade Israel and make his sons eunuchs in the Babylonian court, he was glad because he thought:
Will there not be peace and security in my lifetime? (2Ki 20:18).
For various reasons that will be discussed, it is unlikely that Muslims will become a majority in any Western country for another century. However, long before Muslims become a majority in the West, if they ever do, they can become a major menace if significant numbers of the Muslim diaspora become radicalized. Hugh Fitzgerald notes that Muslims, even in small numbers in the West, already present “a permanent danger in their countries,” and
The large-scale presence of Muslims in the Lands of the Infidels has brought about a situation, for those indigenous Infidels (and also for other non-indigenous arrivals, non-Muslim immigrants [and future generations]), that is unpleasant, expensive (the costs of monitoring, the costs of security, spiraling ever upward), and physically dangerous.
In terms of monitoring Muslims, just the mere tip of the iceberg involves:
► Monitoring mosques across Europe for any sign of Islamic radicalism, as the European Commission is intent on doing starting in May 2007.
► Making sure that Islamic extremists do not try to obtain semi-truck HAZMAT (Hazardous Material) licenses, or passenger-bus or school-bus licenses.
► Keeping nuclear technology from heading to the Mideast. In 2007, a Muslim nuclear engineer working in the US for 30 years took atomic power plant building designs and software to Iran.
► In 2007, special computer-assisted security cameras “have undergone exhaustive tests in Muslim areas of London, Bradford, Luton and other Midland cities” in the UK. As noted a page ago, “The Bishop of London says inner London will have a Muslim majority by 2020.”
► Muslim-monitoring also includes outreach efforts, as the Washington Post reported:
We’re spending more money on outreach . . . so we can say: ‘Please help us. Please look for people who are turning away from institutions to extremism. Please be our eyes and ears,’ said Philip Mudd, deputy director of the bureau’s national security branch.[6]
The Size of the Minority of Muslims and the Quality of Life Index
Just how many Muslims need there be before life becomes unpleasant? Well, that depends on just what level of unpleasantness one has in mind. Examples follow:
► 1% Muslims, of Whom a Significant Number Tend to be Islamists and Jihadists, Makes Life Unpleasant: Many people consider life in the US to be increasingly unpleasant when compared to life before 9/11, even though Muslims only make up 1% of the US population, because:
o Every week there is news of a terror arrest, trial or conviction in the US, and every few months a Muslim commits a terrorist act big enough to make the news. Law enforcement and the media try to delay mentioning, and even downplay, the jihadist aspect of crimes so Muslim rights groups do not get huffy about profiling and racism. The pretext authorities sometimes give for not mentioning Jihad is that law enforcement does not want to provoke a backlash against Muslims. This excuse is lame since no backlash materialized even after 9/11. Even before 9/11 when there were far fewer Muslims in the US, Islamists killed dozens of Americans in America before 9/11. In 2007, the FBI finally admitted:
The trend we’re seeing is that we are uncovering more instances of people here who have been radicalized…where there is not a direct thumbprint of al-Qaida.[7]
o Freedom of travel has been impeded, even within US borders, especially at airports. Now travelers must dispense with sharp objects that could be used in hijackings, as well as beverages that could be liquid explosives. Passengers must also take off their shoes so the shoes can be x-ray scanned.
o One realizes that we are in a 1350-year-old war with the implacable foe of Islam, and the stakes are just as big as they were in the wars against the ideologies of fascism and Communism. This war must be won if not for us, than for future generations.
o Freedom of speech rights are curtailed as all casual and off-hand statements about Islam must be politically correct lest one risk being labeled a racist or colleagues fear that one is calling down the ire of Muslims.
o Authorities and civil rights groups swarm over trivial incidents where non-Muslims refuse to be Sharia-compliant, thereby super-empowering, and making the world safe and welcoming for, Islamists. For instance, in Apr 2007, as a gag joke, a middle school (i.e. 12- to 13-year old) “white student” placed a ham sandwich in a bag on the cafeteria table where Somali students were eating. The Lewiston Maine Sun Journal called it a “hate crime,” the student was suspended from school pending disciplinary action for the “hate incident,” and the police were called in to investigate. Additionally, Stephen Wessler at the Center for Prevention of Hate Violence said the act was “extraordinarily hurtful and degrading” to Muslims, and that “It’s important to respond swiftly” to the “awful” deed.
o One sees that more and more foreign aid, foreign policy and military commitments are no longer decided upon based on national interest, but increasingly are geared to appease and contain Muslims, foreign and domestic.
o Every infidel’s civic responsibility now is to make life as pleasant as possible for Muslims in the hope that fewer Muslims will decide to go out hunting infidels to obtain 72 virgins in the celestial garden of Janna. Whenever Muslims do take the 72-virgins option though, infidels must worry not about further Jihad, but rather about an imminent backlash against Muslims that never seems to materialize as expected. Infidels must also blame those who are skeptical about Islam really being a religion of peace for maligning Muslims, thereby driving them to terrorism in the first place. Also, infidels must accept blame for not adequately jihad-proofing society via gun-control legislation and enforcement. For instance:
§ In 1997 when Palestinian Ali Hassan Abu Kamal shot several people atop of the Empire State Building, he carried a note saying it was for revenge against the US, “France and England for using Israel as ‘an instrument’ against Palestinians.” Yet, at a news conference in 1997, City of NY mayor Rudolph Giuliani (mayor 1994–2001), “attempted to shift the focus toward gun control” by blaming the US for not being completely Jihad-proof[8] and implied that Kamal was insane. Giuliani said Kamal was a “man who had many, many enemies in his mind.” In 2007 Kamal’s daughter Linda came out to set the record straight, and said that her father was a “martyr.”
Ironically, in May 2007 when a Turk, a Jordanian, and 3 Bosnian refugees, who had lived in America for 6 to 23 years, plotted attacks on America, Pasquale D’Amuro, the FBI’s counterterrorism chief in 2002 and 2003, and CEO of Giuliani Security and Safety in New York City, said cluelessly—as though he has no familiarity with traditional Islam, Jihad doctrine, and the Koran and Hadith:
That they would come here, be welcomed and then want to attack us–that’s what people have a hard time understanding.[9]
Gun bans are misguided because mass-murderers purposely go to gun-free zones such as malls, schools and amusement parks to avoid anyone who might have a concealed weapon. Then after the police arrive at a massacre, murderers shoot themselves or commit suicide-by-cop. Gun-ban advocates create vulnerable gun-free zones. Then when these places are shot up, they argue for even wider gun-bans, as though mass murderers couldn’t evade gun-control laws, or wouldn’t resort to killing with diesel and fertilizer bombs if guns were out-of-reach. Moreover, just as would-be mass-murderers are attracted to gun-free zones, would-be dictators cannot pass up gun-free countries.
§ In 1999, Ghazi Ibrahim Abu Maizar was arrested in Brooklyn before he could carry out his terrorist attack, yet the newspapers barely mentioned that his notes indicate he was targeting Jews and Americans. His case was treated just like the earlier Kamal case just discussed, and dozens of other terrorism cases, as Daniel Pipes noted.
§ In Feb 2007 Bosnian refugee Sulejman Talovic, or Suljo Talovic, hunted and killed five infidels in a Utah shopping mall before an off-duty police officer shot him. The family buried him back in Bosnia where photos show 300 family members, locals and people from nearby towns who came on buses to attend the funeral. Why? They wanted to touch the revered jihadist’s forehead to obtain blessings from Allah, as is Muslim custom—a la the “car swarms” in Palestine each time terrorists are killed by Israelis in cars and pickups. Standing beside the color-of-Islam green headstone that sported a crescent-and-star couplet, his father blamed Utah for not being Jihad-proof. The father said this no doubt so he and the mosque would not be investigated:
The authorities are guilty for not alerting us that he bought a gun. In the US, you cannot buy cigarettes if you are under-aged, but you can buy a gun.[10]
► 1% Muslims, of Whom a Significant Number Tend to be Islamists and Jihadists, Ends Golden-eras For Jews:
o Daniel Pipes wrote that due to Muslim immigration into the US, and radicalization there, the Golden Era for US Jewry has ended. Jews now feel personal and group insecurity, and must hire guards for any sizable event just as Jews overseas have been doing for years.
o There been many anti-semitic assaults on the persons of Jews in the US, as well as threats and harassment, and their properties have been vandalized. Moreover, there have been many terrorist plots and attacks against Jews in America in the last few decades.
► 3% Muslims, of Whom a Significant Number Tend to be Islamists and Jihadists, Results in Marked Decline in Public Safety for Everyone
Baron Bodissey quotes a reader from Germany:
Here are reports of a typical day’s worth of Muslim crime in Berlin in particular, with one example from Munich. The point to keep in mind is that before the Muslims were here, this was a very safe city, and knife and gun attacks were very rare. It’s amazing to see the decline in public safety that has accompanied the Islamization of Germany. We still don’t have the problems that the Brits and the French have in their public housing complexes, but I think that’s just a question of time.
► 6.25% Muslims, of Whom a Significant Number Tend to be Islamists and Jihadists, Makes Native Non-Muslims Feel Like Foreigners in Their Own Country: Tourists often feel a certain level of personal insecurity because they are foreigners in a foreign land. In the Netherlands, every 16th person is Muslim, which adds up to 6.25%. This gives some natives there the feeling that they are tourists in their own country. Netherlands Freedom Party (PVV) PM Geert Wilders said that Islam is…
…the greatest danger threatening us…Everything we are proud of, we are selling to the devil. Former head of the Mossad Efraim Halevy says that World War III has begun. I would not use those words, but it’s true. [Wilders fears a] tsunami of Islamization in the Netherlands…Take a walk down the street and see where this is going. You no longer feel like you are living in your own country. There is a battle going on and we have to defend ourselves. Before you know it there will be more mosques than churches!
In France, between the end of 2000 and 2001, during the Intifada raging back in Palestine, Jews sustained 450 antisemitic attacks, mainly from Muslims. When they complained about their situation, they were “rudely rebuffed, charged with provocation and racism. They felt they had been abandoned by the government and left in a suddenly foreign society.”[11]
UK natives report that in the presence of so many foreigners, especially Muslims, the UK is increasingly becoming Balkanized. Many native Brits are self-identifying as English, Scottish, Welsh or Irish, and people have taken to calling themselves as “Indigenous British” to differentiate themselves from immigrants. One moderate Muslim said, “Here in Britain, native Brits squirm about Britishness, no one can define what it means.”
When natives no longer feel patriotism and nationalism, and when they do not feel at home in their own country, many emigrate to places where it is perceived there are fewer Muslims. In other words, natives will trade that “at home” feeling for the feeling of long-term safety and belonging somewhere. Several countries in Europe are already experiencing White Flight; as Muslims move in, the natives move out to the countryside or out of the country entirely. White Flight is discussed later in this study.
► 10% or a “Critical Mass” of Muslims, of Whom a Significant Number Tend to be Islamists and Jihadists, Makes Life Untenable For Non-Muslims: France is 10% Muslim and has 6.2m Muslims according to the CIA Factbook (2006). Professor Raphael Israeli, an Israeli Jewish expert on Islam said that now that France is 10% Muslim, the…
When the Muslim population gets to a critical mass you have problems. That is a general rule, so if it applies everywhere it applies in Australia….French people say they are strangers in their own country. This [10%] is a point of no return. If you are on a collision course, what can you do? You can’t put them all in prison, and anyway they are not all violent. You can’t send them all back. You are really in trouble. It’s irreversible.[12]
Haaretz reported in Apr 2007:
…the millions of Algerians, Moroccans and Tunisians who have emigrated to France in the past 50 years, reaching a critical mass that no one in France can ignore….In the past year surveys have shown that nearly half of the French secretly agree with the opinions of Jean-Marie Le Pen. Nearly half feel that the country has been stolen by the ‘non-French’ and half feel their personal security has declined because of these ‘non-French.’[13]
In Oct-Nov 2005, French Muslims rioted for eighteen days in 300 French cities, torching 10k autos and a few buses, and causing 210m Euros ($242m USD) in structural damage.[14] The International Herald Tribune commented:
…The outcome of an investigation is keenly awaited in the suburbs. If the police are exonerated, it could trigger new unrest.[15]
So not only were the police blamed for the massive riots, but in 2007 Muslims presented a long list of demands to presidential candidates, and most presidential hopefuls signed the document, essentially buying into the logic that Muslims rioted because they were underprivileged and their existence was not subsidized by the government enough. So to sum the situation up, the Muslims went on a Jihad in Oct-Nov 2005 against French police and state “oppression,” and now have obtained their loot by imposing a Jizya tax treaty on the People of the Book (K 009:029).
In Israel, Arabs (the vast majority of whom are Muslim) are 16.5% of the total population in 2007, according to Israel’s Central Bureau of Statistics.[16] Ha’aretz reported that many Israeli Jews have a perpetual fear of a Muslim uprising, and consider many cities in Israel to be virtual no-go zones:
68.4% of Israeli Jews fear a civil uprising on behalf of Israeli Arabs and 63.3% say they won’t enter Arab towns in Israel, according to the results of the 2006 index of Jewish-Arab relations released on Monday.[17]
Also, Arab gays cannot congregate anywhere except in Jewish areas. This explains why many, perhaps a majority of Israelis have guns at home and carry guns occasionally when the threat of violence is up.
► 10% Muslims, of Whom a Significant Number Tend to be Islamists and Jihadists, is “Ruinous” for Jews in France: The ADL says anti-Jewish violence has “tended to originate chiefly among Muslim immigrant circles in Europe, with extreme right groups jumping on the bandwagon.” Stephen M. Steinlight wrote:
[In 2004 CNN] reported that violent attacks on Jews in Paris come at the average rate of 12 a day….current [US] immigration policy will prove politically and existentially ruinous to the American-Jewish community, as it has for the Jews of France, and will inevitably for the Jews of Britain [The UK is 2.8% Muslim, or 1.6m], indeed, throughout Western Europe. There is particular fear about the impact on Jewish life and security…[18]
Not surprisingly, many of the 700k Jews in France are moving to the US, Israel and elsewhere. Ilana Mercer wrote:
In Europe, what remains of a Jewry devastated by the Holocaust comes under daily assaults and threats, mostly from the 20m-strong Muslim community. American Jewry is next.[19]
► 20% Muslims, of Whom a Significant Number Tend to be Islamists and Jihadists, Is Enough For Muslims to Set Up Paramilitary Groups
Any number of Muslims can set up terrorist cells and groups, but in developed countries it might take 20% before larger paramilitary groups are possible:
o The CIA Factbook reported that Muslims are 20% in Benin. Missionaries in southern Benin report that Muslims from northern Benin were coming south to burn down their churches and schools.
o Muslims make up 5% of the EU populace, and one study says that by 2020 the EU will be 10% Muslim.[20] People have noted that the increase in Muslim populations led to conflicts in the Balkans and Beirut (see the Kosovo and Lebanon sections). Philip Jenkins wrote:
It is quite conceivable that inter-religious violence could erupt in Europe itself; we might even imagine Muslim paramilitary groups waging religious war on French and German soil…by 2050.[21]
o One can see it starting already. In France, they had the Oct-Nov 2005 riots in 300 cities where many buildings were burned. In Bulgaria, where nearly 1m Muslims are 12.2% of the population, four Muslims were arrested in Feb 2007 for setting up a website calling for violent Jihad to overthrow the Bulgarian state, and then impose Sharia law.
o For more on this topic, see the Table of Contents for the section on the Eurabian Civil War.
► A “Plurality” of Muslims, of Whom a Significant Number Tend to be Islamists and Jihadists, Makes Daily Life Grim: Daniel Pipes notes that a majority Muslim population is not needed to make life unpleasant for non-Muslims; just a plurality will do that. A plurality as used here means that Islam is the largest religion within a nation’s borders. He wrote:
Wherever Muslims form a plurality of the population, the life of non-Muslims tends to be grim. In some part, this results from the laws of Islam, which disdain and purposefully oppress the non-believer.
Terror incidents, such as 9/11 in NY, 3/11 in Madrid, 7/7 and 7/21 in London, the assassinations of Pym Fortune and Theo Van Gogh, the cartoon crisis of 2006, and the outrage over the Pope’s statement in 2006, have awakened many people up to the idea that Muslims are going to be a menace sooner rather than later. This awakening has led a few commentators and politicians to stand firm and resist Islamist demands, but most still capitulate and attempt to appease Islamists. Here are examples:
► Jens Orback, Democracy Minister in the Swedish said during a radio debate:
We must be open and tolerant towards Islam and Muslims because when we become a minority, they will be so towards us.
► Spiegel described Europe during the Cartoon crisis:
As was the case in the 1930s, when Czechoslovakia was sacrificed in the interest of peace under the Munich Agreement—a move that ultimately did nothing to prevent World War II—Europeans today also believe that an adversary, seemingly invincible due to a preference for death over life, can be mollified by good behavior, concessions and submission. All the Europeans can hope to gain in this asymmetric conflict is a temporary reprieve, a honeymoon period that could last 10, 20, or maybe even 50 years. Anyone on death row breathes a sigh of relief when his execution is postponed to some indefinite time in the future.[22]
The West needs to keep Islamists out of the West even if that means ending Muslim immigration altogether, since:
► No one has a magic decoder ring that discerns which Muslim will turn radical or which Muslims will have children or make converts who end up turning radical.
► Even more worrisome is the fact that police are finding out that even in the case of well-adjusted Muslims, the radicalization or jihadization process can be quick. Hugh Fitzgerald opined on the subject:
…those who do not take the texts seriously are not ‘moderate’ Muslims but essentially bad Muslims, unobservant Muslims, Muslims who do not really believe. And there are far fewer of these than most non-Muslims assume. They are always open to the possibility of relapse, and certainly their progeny are, so that Infidels cannot base their own security and that of their institutions on the ‘hope’ that those ‘moderate’—i.e., bad—Muslims will never change their minds, and that their children will continue in the same vein.
That is a wager that Infidels should not be asked to make: to bet their physical safety and that of their children and grandchildren, and that of their societies on those moderates. For those Infidel societies are already in various states of confusion and disarray, and are facing all kinds of problems. Such a bet could allow them to be done in by this Total Belief-System that originated 1350 years ago as an ideology, compounded of bits and pieces, distorted or misremembered, of both Judaism and Christianity, and with an admixture of pre-Islamic Arab paganism. No. That should not be expected of us, the Infidels. We are not ready to concede or commit suicide.
The West also must support moderate Muslims leaders against Islamists in Islamdom. I’ll let history make my point: US President Jimmy Carter did not support the Shah of Iran in 1979 and Khoemeni came to power. Now less than 30 years later Iran is threatening nuclear holocaust for Israel. Ed Koch backs up my point:
…the US alone now stands between a radical Islamic takeover of many of the world’s governments in the next 30 or more years.[23]
Of course, the West ought not just throw money at the problem since that can make the problem worse, and Muslims treat the money like Jizya tribute and protection racket money (K 009:029). For instance, the US has been giving the Jordanian, Egyptian and Palestinian governments 2b dollars per year ever since 1974; nevertheless, the vast majority of these three populaces dislike the US and Israel tend toward Islamic radicalism. Polls show that if they had representational voting, Jordanians, Egyptians and Palestinians would vote in Islamic radical governments immediately (the Palestinians did just that in 2006 by voting Hamas into power). Nevertheless, the US dares not cut off all hope of their gaining US tribute money for fear of the consequences.
Some say that the Islamists are only popular because of 9/11 and the West’s supposed war on Islam. This is a big mistake since Islamists have long been popular throughout Islamdom. The only thing that held Islamists back has been secular dictators in places like Turkey, Egypt, and Indonesia. For example, when Indonesian dictator Suharto’s power ended in 1998, Islamists started wearing headscarves, were voted into legislatures, and creeping Sharia-ization of the society began in earnest. 1998 is three years before 9/11, of course. Adnkronos International reported:
Radical tendencies however emerged at the same time as the country returned to democracy in 1998.
C. Arriving at Accurate Demographic Snapshots and Projections
The Muslim and Christian share of the world’s population is increasing at the expense of the share of other religions—there could be no other way about it, of course. This article attempts to bring data together from various sources so the reader can get the big picture.
The three main sources of statistics are: the CIA Factbook, the 2006 State Department Religious Freedom Report, and Wikipedia. I consider the State Dept report to be most up-to-date, reliable and detailed. The CIA Factbook is unbiased, but not quite so up-to-date and detailed as the State Dept report, in my opinion. Wikipedia is a convenient source of public data.
In this study, first a global synopsis is presented and then each region is discussed in more detail.
Data on the religion of birth parents is not kept for entire countries, so columnists apply the sketchy inner city data to cover the entire country. Based on their extrapolations, alarmists say that France, Spain, Germany, the Netherlands and other European countries will be majority Muslim by 2025, 2036, 2050 or 2100.
The problem with many of these projections is that minorities and immigrants tend to congregate in rundown inner cities. If populations trends from US inner city maternity wards in the 1950s and 1960s were projected outward as is being done for Muslims in Europe, people would have said that American would be majority Black by, say, 2000. Instead, the largest US minority is now Hispanic.
Columnists similarly cite how certain Muslim countries like Yemen have high birth rates and imply that this is indicative across the region, or for all of Islamdom. Then they project that Islam will isolate the West, if not overtake West, leaving the Christian superpower, America, to single-handedly protect the last vestiges of Western civilization.
But the Malthusian projections fail to take into account the fact that countries with high birth rates tend to have small populations, and such a high birthrate is unsustainable, so their population explosion will not amount to much. Moreover, when a weighted average is taken of the entire region, the CPW is elevated but not enough to swamp the entire world with Muslims.
I present the case that the Muslim population growth in the West is real and worrisome as far as personal and national security goes, but there is no danger of Muslims becoming a majority in the West or in the World for a long while. Various studies and projections back up this finding.
In order for any population growth to amount to much, it would need to span two or three generations at current birthrates, that is, past 2050. It seems that growing literacy and information on the Web about birth control will curtail growth by 2010. Already, the Muslim birthrate, while still high, is tumbling in most locations.
While Muslim growth in the West and spillover of excess population into the West from Islamdom will be a major problem, projections of the Muslims actually taking over the European Union or the West will go the way of The Yellow Peril (aka The Yellow Terror) projection.
Yellow Peril refers to how, in the 19th century, the West thought that Orientals would take over Australia and other Western countries. Then, however, Communism and birth control trimmed back population expansion so it was on par with the anemic economic growth found in Communist countries.
Accurate demographic figures are important in religious and political forums because Muslims tend to puff up their numbers in many countries in order to improve their public relations image, up their appeal to would-be converts and ecumenicists, manufacture political clout out of thin air, cajole and demand politicians given them perks, access, resources, and positions. Lately, claims about Muslims being numerous have landed Muslims candidacies in major political parties, and a few have actually been elected to national offices in the US from liberal states such as Minnesota.
Inflating Muslim numbers also leads to more taxpayer-paid chaplain positions for Muslim clergy in prisons and the military, and to imams leading prayer at the opening of sessions of legislatures. Daniel Pipes wrote: “…a larger number, even if phony, offers…enhanced access and clout.”
In addition to bringing up-to-date information on demographics, this study is meant to spur on and facilitate further demographic studies.
D. The Politics of Demographic Numbers
Demographic predictions are like global warming predictions in that exaggerated hockey-stick graph projections attract more research grants, book contracts, and media attention than graphs with straight-line projections.
It is known that the Palestinian and UN population estimates for the West Bank and Gaza have been off by hundreds of thousands in recent years. The motivation for higher population counts is:
► International aid is based on the number of Palestinians and employees. Arafat and his cronies siphoned much of that aid off, so it made sense for them to have plenty of ghost employees.
► The greater the number of Palestinians, more Israelis are inclined to compromise to make peace—sooner rather than later when Israelis will be even more outnumbered.
The real number of Muslims in the US is perhaps 2m, the number the CIA Factbook gives. Other scholarly studies put it at under 2m. The estimates that say there are 7m or 12m American Muslims are absurd since the estimated number of mosques is 1,209 in the entire US, and most of these are small buildings or storefronts. If there really were, say, 5m Muslims, that would be 4,166 Muslims per mosque, yet most mosques have an attendance of just dozens. The larger mosques tend to bring in a few hundred worshipers for Friday Prayers.
What is ironic is that the Council for American-Islamic Relations (CAIR) will use self-contradictory population statistics at once:
► CAIR tells PBS listeners (and anyone else who will listen) that hate crime against Muslims is “soaring,” yet the FBI says in the US the number has dropped from a high after 9/11 from 481 and remains flat at about 150 per year. Ironically, the only soaring categories of hate crime are the Muslim-on-Muslim, Muslim-on-infidel and Muslim-on-Jew (Anti-Semitic) categories.
► CAIR reports on their Website that there are 8m Muslims, and 3k mosques, or 2,667 Muslims per mosque. CAIR “updates” the statistics, bumping up the number each time.
► In 2007, Arsalan Iftikhar, the legal director of the Council of American Islamic Relations, said that there were 8m Muslim in the US after 9/11. In the same presentation, he cited a 2006 “USA Today/Gallup poll that found 58% of those surveyed had never met a Muslim, and if they had, they did not know it.” One wonders how there could be 8m Muslims in the US ever since 9/11, and yet still in 2006 only 42% of Americans never met a Muslim![24]
A Jan 2007 unsigned editorial at Investor’s Business Daily explained the origin of one of CAIR’s inflated estimate of US Muslims, that being 8m, after the Muslim Advancement Society pushed it on the unwary public watching CNN that day. The editors wrote:
It seems the size of the Muslim population in America jumps by an additional million every other year or so. Just a couple of years ago the consensus number bandied about in the media was 7m. Before 9/11 it was 6m.
Politicians in Washington are intimidated by the figure. They believe it. But it’s an inflated estimate fabricated by the Council on American-Islamic Relations (CAIR), something that the media could easily refute if they dared—simply by deconstructing CAIR’s unscientific methodology.
While the number of Muslims is growing thanks to higher birthrates and immigration, it’s nowhere near CAIR’s claim. Even the most generous independent estimate puts it at half that size, or 4m. Finding reliable data for Muslims in America is hard because the Census Bureau does not survey creed. So CAIR, which has an agenda to Islamize America, has overfilled the vacuum.
To come up with its own figure, it hired a ‘respected scholar’ by the name of Ihsan Bagby to lead its ‘study.’ But Bagby not only lacks independence—he’s a CAIR board member—he’s not even a trained demographer. Worse, he admits the number he arrived at is a ‘guesstimation.’ Here’s how Bagby came up with his estimate of number of Muslims in America:
1. With help from CAIR researchers, Bagby called the nation’s 1,209 mosques and interviewed 416 of them, asking them how many people were involved in their mosque in any way. The average response was 1,625, which is probably high, given that two imams claimed 50k when the nation’s largest mosque — Dar al-Hijrah in the D.C. suburbs — has only about 3k.
2. Bagby then multiplied that fuzzy participation figure by the 1,209 mosques and came up with 2m ‘mosqued Muslims.’
3. Next, he multiplied that sum by a magical factor of three to capture Muslims who might not participate in mosque activities, and arrived at the original 6m guesstimate for the size of the Muslim population in America.
….CAIR then took the liberty of bumping up the Muslim count to 7m. Now—presto—it’s at 8m, and climbing. But it’s the Wahhabi lobby’s big lie. CAIR and other militant Muslim groups use it to intimidate politicians, corporations and media to change policy.
[So far the words of the Investor’s Business Daily.]
Evidently, CAIR’s counting methodology is used by Muslims around the globe:
► The Islamic Society of North America (ISNA) claimed there are 10m Muslim in America.
► The Community of Islamic Organizations in Italy (UCOII) says it has ties to “240 mosques in the country” and the UCOII represents 800k out of the 1.1m Muslims in Italy. That works out to 3,333 Muslims per mosque!
► Spiegel reported “A spokesman for Coordination Council of Muslims in Germany (KRM), Ayyub Axel Köhler, says his group represents a full 85% of German ‘mosque associations,’” but some say the actual number is only 10% or maybe 33% of Germany’s 3.3m Muslims.[25]
► The Arab-American Institute run by James Zogby claims there are 3.5m Arab-Americans, though government census data says there are fewer than 1m.
Once CAIR exaggerates the number of US Muslims by three or four times, CAIR gives this mostly phantom army a voice by conducting unscientific surveys designed to elicit a pro-Islamic and pro-Palestinian response.
CAIR also threatens corporations such as Boeing and Nike with Muslim boycotts, and has led email= and letter-writing campaigns against politicians, talk-radio celebrities, newspaper cartoonists and editors. Of course, these threats are more palpable if CAIR claims there are 8m Muslims in the US rather than just 2m because people cave in to CAIR so as not to offend that many Muslims.
CAIR is not the only beneficiary of its exaggerated estimates of Muslim Americans since there are many organizations claiming to represent Muslim- and Arab-Americans, e.g. the MSA, MAS, the ISNA for starters.
The fact that these inflated estimates make Arab- and Muslim-Americans overly influential given their true number would be bad enough, but the reality is that CAIR and similar organizations mostly represent foreign Islamist interests who have a lot of petrodollars. Many of these interest groups were founded and are funded by foreigners, or by Muslims who “just got off the boat” and were not integrated into American life in the slightest. For instance:
► The Muslim American Society (MAS) collected only $87,299 in membership dues according to their IRS Form 990 for 2004, which makes one wonder who exactly funds most of their activities, and who they really represent.
► The Muslim Student Association on many US college campuses was founded and funded by Saudi Wahhabists, and is linked to terrorist groups such as the Muslim Brotherhood.
► Palestinians who came to America founded CAIR. CAIR has board members with connections to terrorists and terror-related crime. CAIR uses the same tactics that Khoemeini supporters used against the Shah of Iran, that the PLO uses against Israel, and that the KLA used against Serbia, i.e., terrorists complain of human rights abuses and the powers that be sympathize with them and bestow on them what they cannot gain through terrorism—land and power. CAIR is “on the case” whenever a spiteful thing is said about Islam, even when it is dubious, hearsay, or an anonymous blog comment that could have even been left by anyone, even CAIR. By contrast, myriad imams give hateful sermons for decades and Jihadists swim like fish among the Muslim community, yet CAIR and nearly all Muslims say not a peep about it until they are asked to comment when terrorism occurs, or a TV exposé exposes Muslim hate.
CAIR is known for having Mideast benefactors, particularly from the United Arab Emirate (UAE) and Dubai. In 2002, Mideast donors bought a 1m USD building for CAIR headquarters. In 2006, a UAE endowment would allow CAIR to build a $24m 7-story headquarters, have a $3m annual operating budget, and run a $50m publicity campaign over a number of years. CAIR’s IRS Form 990 for 2005 showed only 2,615 members whose dues totaled $65,377. When one compares how much foreigners give CAIR versus how little Americans give CAIR, it would seem that CAIR should be required to register as a foreign lobbying firm under the Foreign Agents Registration Act. At least they should be required to show congressional representatives they meet how few members they have. As it is, the Mideast oil-sheiks, and Jihadist organizations like Hamas, control CAIR and have the same political clout as the 8m American-Muslims that CAIR claims to represent—three quarters of whom don’t even exist.
► The same holds true in Italy as it does in America. The UCOII mentioned above, the organization that claims to represent 800k Muslim-Italians, has connections to the Muslim Brotherhood. Recently it refused to sign a statement that condemned terrorism and recognized the Italian constitution and Israel’s right to exist. So the Muslim Brotherhood has the same lobbying power in Italy, thanks to the UCOII, as 800k Muslim-Italians!
As we’ve seen, CAIR puts the words of Mideast sheiks and Jihadist organizations into the mouths of mostly non-existent American Muslims. The nationally known polling firm Zogby International does something similar, albeit with even more credibility and subtlety.
John and James Zogby are of Lebanese Maronite heritage, and their family has been in the US for over a century.[26] John is the founder and CEO of Zogby, and James is a Senior Analyst. James also runs the American Arab Institute (AAI), lobbies Republicans for Arab causes and gets US tax money sent to the Mideast, but is most active in the Democratic Party. The Democratic Party is known for not being as pro-Israel as Republicans are. In a clear show of their bias, in 2002 James Zogby and the AAI backed an unsuccessful candidate who ran against a pro-Israel congressional candidate from Alabama.
In 2002 the Zogby brothers presented the results of a 10-country poll that interpreted Muslims feelings toward the US. The Zogbies are known for their many polls of US Muslims and of Muslim countries on what they think of Israel and the US, the US President, and US foreign policy. The Muslims they poll invariably parrot the anti-American, anti-Israel propaganda they hear in the mosque.
In 2007, James Zogby wrote an article for Gulf News railing against “flame-throwers like Sean Hannity, Don Imus and Glenn Beck” who would inform the public about Islamists. James Zogby particularly did not like Glenn Beck who repeats the statistic that 10% of Muslims are Islamists. James is wrong though, for if anything, polls show that number is low!
Ever since 9/11, Daniel Pipes pegged the percent of Islamists among Muslims at 10% to 15%, but polls show that the younger Muslim generation is decidedly more radical than the older, so the 10% to 15% estimate probably is low. For instance, UK’s Policy Exchange’s poll in 2007 showed that 40% of 16-to-24-year-old UK Muslims prefer Sharia law, compared to only 17% of UK Muslims over 55. Anyway, for a Senior Analyst at a polling company to dismiss this 10% figure, without offering any evidence why, is troubling.
Stephen Schwartz wrote that Saudi Prince Alaweed ibn Talal gave 300k dollars to James Zogby’s Arab-American Institute. Both John and James Zogby are on record as making many anti-Israel and pro-Muslims statements and criticizing American foreign policy. Often they do so in the guise of interpreting poll results. The pronouncements of the Arab-American Institute are especially insidious because the divide between Arab-Christians and Arab-Muslims on some issues is papered over.
Since James Zogby claims there are 3.5m Arab-Americans, rather than the less than 1m that actually exist, his anti-Israeli poll results may get more than three times the hearing in Washington than they otherwise would.
So we can see the connection between the bogus demographic surveys and polling surveys. CAIR, among others, creates a mostly phantom army of Muslims, and then gives this army an Islamist voice. The Zogby brothers do the same, and Zogby polls do generate headlines and drive news, especially on slow news days, or when an election race is close.
Why Muslims push certain absurd demographic estimates is that certain estimates of the total number of Muslims are more politically useful than others, for instance:
► The intimidation factor is greater when one claims to be a quarter rather than a fifth of the world’s population. For instance, during the 2005 Cartoon crisis an imam at Mekka prayed that mockers of the prophet would be punished for offending 1.5b Muslims.
► Some say that the religion of 1.5b people cannot be criticized since how could so many people believe in something intrinsically bad. An answer to that is three-fifths of the world’s population was under the thumb of atheistic Communism a short while ago, and just as Communism was intrinsically flawed and compulsory so is Islam—even more so.
► Infidels will even admit the numbers intimidate them into whitewashing Islam. Best-selling author on Islam, Dinesh D’Souza, said in several contexts:
So we have to be careful about simply describing a religion of 1b people as ‘violent.’ This would be tactically imprudent even if it were true…
So D’Souza and others like him want to keep everyone in the dark about the nature of Islam because telling Muslims what Islam is all about radicalizes them. They also usually add that the Bible has violent passages similar to the Koran. If that is true, when skeptics point out the violent passages of the Bible, why are not Christians as easily radicalized as Muslims? Unfortunately, D’Souza tactic of “letting sleeping dogs lie” is a formula for civilizational suicide that only makes sense if one thinks lives are not worth saving, and there’s nothing about non-Islamic civilization worth saving.
► Muslim organizations often issue veiled and not-so-veiled threats of terrorism and mob violence if, say, the police or security guards do not stop: 1) arresting terrorists, 2) conducting threat profiling at airports, 3) investigating Islamic charities, etc. Their chorus refrain is that Islam is a religion of peace, but if they are harassed enough, Muslims will commit acts of terrorism. Of course, if one says the population of Muslims is three times as large as it is, these veiled threat are taken as being three times as serious.
► In Russia the imams insist that there are 19m Muslims rather than just the 9m there are, so they demand a special governmental Muslim Affairs office. When the government proposed that public schools teach about Russian Orthodoxy in a multicultural class, a Muslim leader responded:
‘If this one-sided decision to teach the culture of one religion will be accepted, you [the Russian Education Ministry] will have laid a bomb for the decade ahead, and conflict is inevitable,’ said Gainutdin in a letter to the Education Ministry.
Western Resistance notes the Gainutdin’s hypocrisy in that public schools in Russia’s Muslim areas serve only halal food and follow Muslim practice more or less strictly. Of course, even in the West, public schools, prisons, factories, universities (like at George Mason U), airports, and such are turned into mosques in that even when space is at a premium, there are rooms set aside as wudu washrooms, prayer rooms, cultural study centers, and even mosques. Muslim students also monopolize the restrooms several times per day to do their “wudu in the bathroom,” washing their hands, face and even feet in the sinks in preparation for their five daily prayers. In one university in Australia, La Trobe, a separate washing room was built and only Muslims had the secret push-button combination. In UK prisons starting in 2006, toilets that happened to be facing Mekka were turned to the perpendicular. In an Ireland college, new toilets are built so as not to face Mekka.
► The number of Muslims in the US is between 1.8m and 2.35m, according Daniel Pipes,Pew Research, and others. But Muslims have claimed that their total is 6m to 8m, seemingly to persuade politicians they can deliver more votes than the 5.3m Jews, even in states like Florida that are known for having Jewish voting blocs. The hope is that the politicians would become pro-Arab, abandon their pro-Israel stance, soften anti-terrorism laws, end police threat profiling, and otherwise do Muslims’ bidding. Lately, US Muslims have been claiming that the winner in any close election won on account of the Muslim swing vote. Since that Muslim vote was delivered by Muslim leaders, politicians therefore owe Muslims for the victory.[27]
► The phony estimates of the number of US Muslims have bought Muslims access to the highest corridors of power, and bought the ears of many politicians. While US Republicans gave Muslims unprecedented access to the White House before and after 9/11, in 2006 at least one Muslim US Democratic candidate on the national level was elected. In early 2007 the DNC (Democratic National Committee) had a radical imam, Husham Al-Husainy, a Shiite from Dearborn, Michigan, give the invocation at one of its meetings. Also in 2007, CAIR was was ok’d to meet in the Capital Building.
► The number of US Muslims was upped perhaps so Sunnis could say that Shiites and other Islamic splinter groups are just a tiny minority of Muslims.
► Exaggerated guestimates of eight, nine or ten million US Muslims have lead journalists to repeat doubtful assertions such as “Islam is the second largest religion in America,” and “the fastest growing religion in the US.” Journalists also opine that “Islam is a religion of peace” based in part on these false numbers because only a few Muslims out of so many millions turns out to be a terrorist. What would they think if they realized Islamic terrorists are arrested every week almost and there are less than 2m Muslims in the US. Moreover, what the journalists do not realize is that the real Jihad has not yet begun in earnest in the West because of the Principle of Necessity (Arabic: Darura). Cyril Glassé wrote:
An important precondition of jihad is a reasonable prospect of success, failing which jihad should not be undertaken.[28]
Once Muslims are in sufficient number in the West, jihadists and terrorists will come out of the woodwork, so to speak.
► In 2007, Russians proposed building an Orthodox Church as a memorial to the 333 Beslan schoolchildren and parents who died there, Reuters reported:
But one of Russia’s leading Muslim clerics has accused the Orthodox church of trying to hijack a national tragedy by building a memorial that he said would exclude the more than 20m Muslims who live in the country…“We need a monument on this site that symbolises a national tragedy, without any religious undertones, where everyone can come and shed their tears.”
Since no Muslim died except the dozen or so hostage takers, one would suspect that many Muslims would come to Beslan to rejoice over the Jihadists’ deed just as they did in Bosnia over the body of the Jihadist Sulejman Talovic in 2007. Even in the US, Muslim religious sentiments are considered when memorial sites are designed to commemorate the dead of terrorist attacks. The Flight 93 memorial in Pennsylvania was originally called the Crescent of Embrace, and looked like a crescent, and also the 9/11 Memorial in Arizona is a crescent, no doubt about it. It seems that the designers don’t want to offend the 8+m Muslims that CAIR says are in America, even though the real figure is maybe 2m.
► While I don’t have examples of Canadian Muslims exaggerating their numbers, it is worth noting that their main concern seems to be influencing foreign policy against Israel. In 2007 the Canadian-Islamic Congress and the Canadian Arab Federation “are threatening to campaign against the Conservative government in the next federal election because of it what is says is a continued pro-Israeli stand.”[29]
One can retrieve historic data and projections for any region or country up to 2050 from the UN Population Database. In 2007, the world has 6.5b people, but by 2050 the world population is expected to grow by 38.5%, or by 2.5b, and hit the 9.2b mark.
There are 1.2b Muslims: 15%, or 180m, are Shia, and 1.02b, or 85%, are Sunni. ZeeNews reported: “Worldwide around 6m Muslims a year convert to Christianity.”
There are 2b Christians, but not necessarily practicing Christians. As far as membership goes, 1.098b are Catholic, 70m are Anglican, 150m are Orthodox, and 375m are Protestant. The total of non-Catholic Christians are 595m, or 54% of Christianity. Spiegel reports:
The Catholic Church is likely to diminish in strength. While it will remain the most powerful denomination, it is growing more slowly than the global population, and losing many of its members to Protestant and independent churches in Latin America and elsewhere. Catholics still account for 17% of the world’s population, but that share is expected to shrink to 12% by 2035.[30]
The influence on world events that the Catholic Church has is less than its billion-membership roll would suggest:
► Nearly half, or 450m Catholics, live in relatively poor and remote Latin America. They are largely beholden to Marxist Liberation Theology, and so are at odds with Rome. The Latinos who moved to the US and propped up the Catholic Church there, have also imbibed Liberation theology and socialism, and are not as beholden to the Vatican as one might think.
► In Europe, 224.5m (or 45.4%) are Roman Catholic. Europe’s population is graying and thinning, and ever since WWII, Europe has tamed its global interventionist policies.
► Only 325.5m of the billion Catholics living outside of Europe or Latin America.
► Globally, Pentecostalism is reducing the number of Catholics every day.
The global average for abortions is one per woman per lifetime. There are 46m abortions per year globally, or 126k per day. 78% of abortions occur in developing countries, and 22% in developed countries. 22% of 210m pregnancies that occur yearly end in abortion.
The CIA Factbook puts the each religion’s share of the world population as:
Christians 33.03% (of which Roman Catholics 17.33%, Protestants 5.8%, Orthodox 3.42%, Anglicans 1.23%), Muslims 20.12%, Hindus 13.34%, Buddhists 5.89%, Sikhs 0.39%, Jews 0.23%, other religions 12.61%, non-religious 12.03%, atheists 2.36% (2004 est.)
Whether a country might soon become majority-Muslim depends heavily on the country’s birthrate and immigration patterns. The CIA Factbook lists the birthrate as births-per-thousand, and the Total Fertility Rate (TFR) in terms of Children Per Woman (CPW). See the CIA Factbook glossary.
Birthrates can be found in the CIA Factbook’s country-by-country section, or listed in different tables of the Rank-Order section: 1) births-per-thousand ordered by country name, 2) countries ranked by births-per-thousand, 3) CPW ordered by country name, and 4) countries ranked by CPW.
Wikipedia has plugged the CIA Factbook’s births-per-thousand info in this data table, and tied it to this map: small large. Wikipedia has also plugged in the CIA’s Children per Woman info into this data table, and tied it to this map: small large.
In the short term, a population may grow or shrink regardless of how high or low the CPW rate is. The reason is that if there was a prior elevated CPW, there are plenty of women in the childbearing range, but a prior low CPW means there are fewer women in the childbearing range. Brian Nichiporuk says this lag phenomenon is called population momentum.[31]
Brian Nichiporuk states that the Middle East and North Africa have an average fertility rate of about 3.7 children per woman, and about “35% of the population in this region is under the age of 15.” In “South Central Asia, the fertility rate is a little lower, but not by much.” Western Europe’s fertility is 1.6 on average, and “only 17% of the population there is under 15.” In Latin America, the rates are a little higher than in Western Europe. Saudi Arabia and Yemen’s birthrate has dropped to about five children per woman, Egypt’s rate is three, and Iran and Turkey are both below 3, and Indonesia is at 2.7. “We are starting to see across-the-board decreases in fertility rates, even in the high fertility countries…..Kazakhstan’s fertility rate is already low.[32]
While the Mideast and Africa have a CPW of 3.7, the average for the EU in 2006 is 1.47 Children Per Woman (CPW).
Todd Johnson, Director for the Center of Global Christianity stated:
The global percentage of Christians has been about 33% for the last one hundred years. At the same time, the global ethnic background of Christians has changed significantly, transforming the profile of the typical Christian: 81% of Christians were white Europeans in 1900. Today this is less than 45% and continues to decline.[33]
Brian Nichiporuk stated in 2005 that:
Since about 1800, the proportion of the world’s population that is Christian and/or Muslim has grown from around 40% combined to around 60%.
Johnson’s and Nichiporuk’s statements (above) taken together show that Christianity experienced its greatest overall growth in the 1800s, and Islam experienced its greatest growth in the 1900s.
Brian Nichiporuk stated in 2005 that:
The 1.2 billion Muslims have a growth rate of 2.1% per year. If one figures that 80% of Muslim growth is due to births and 20% from conversions, 22 or 23% of the world would be Muslim in 2025, and a quarter would be Muslim in 2050.[34]
Jenkins wrote that in 2007, the world is 33% Christian and 21% Muslim. Jenkins wrote that by 2050 the world will be 22.6% Muslim and 34% Christian, which means Christian and Muslim share of the population will each grow about a percentage point.[35] This means that in 2050 the non-Abrahamic religions will share about the same percentage of the world’s population as today.
By contrast with Jenkins, Samuel Huntington wrote in The Clash of Civilizations and the Remaking of World Order (1997) that already in 2025 Muslims would outnumber Christians. He said that Muslims would be 30% of the population and Christians only 25%:
In the long run, Muhammad wins out…The percentage of Christians in the world peaked at about 30% in the 1980s, leveled off, is now declining, and will probably approximate about 25% of the world’s population by 2025. As a result of their extremely high rates of population growth…the proportion of Muslims in the world will continue to increase dramatically, amounting to 20% of the world’s population about the turn of the century [2000], surpassing the number of Christians some years later, and probably accounting for about 30% of the world’s population by 2025 (pp. 65-66).
Other writers follow Huntington on this point. Ioannis Michaletos wrote:
In 1960, the percentage of Muslims worldwide was around 13% while in 2001 it reached just above 20%. If the trends continue -- all thing equal -- in 2050 around 35% of world’s population will be Muslim, by far the largest percentage in Islam’s history.[36]
Philip Jenkins notes that Huntington for some unknown reason did not factor in the rapid growth of many Christian populations, especially in Africa. Jenkins therefore disputes Huntington’s numbers, and wrote:
But far from Islam being the world’s largest population by 2020 or so, as Huntington suggests, Christianity will still have a massive lead, and will maintain its position into the foreseeable future. By 2050, there should still be about three Christians for every two Muslims worldwide. Some 34% of the world’s people will then be Christian, roughly what the figure was at the height of the European world hegemony in 1900.[37]
In 2007, Spiegel reprinted a World Christian Trends forecast that Islam would do better than just keep pace with Christianity between 2000 and 2025, but would not narrow the gap much in terms of relative size between 2025 and 2050:[38]
► In 2000 there are 1.8 times as many Christians as Muslims: 1.747b Christians, 962m Muslims, 686m Hindus, 323m Buddhists, 13.2m Jews
► In 2025 there would be 1.4 times as many Christians as Muslims: 2.6b Christians, 1.8b Muslims, et al
► In 2050 there would be 1.39 times as many Christians as Muslims: In 2050: 3.052b Christians, 2.2b Muslim, 2.229b Hindus, 425m Buddhists, 16.7m Jews
According to the above figures, Christianity will grow 175% between 2000 and 2050, or 1.5% per year, and Islam will grow by 229% between 2000 and 2050, or 2.6% per year.
Spiegel notes:
Around the world, Islam is attracting more converts than any other religion, despite its own internal divisions. The majority of Muslim societies are located in less developed regions, where large families remain the rule. Islam is nevertheless unlikely to become the globe's biggest religion in the foreseeable future. In 1970, a seventh of the Earth’s population was Muslim; today Muslims make up one-fifth.[39]
Spiegel is right, I think, and the truth lies somewhere in between Huntington and Jenkins’ projections:
► First, conversions to Christianity likely will not keep up the current pace which probably is necessary to fulfill Jenkins’ predictions, since Christians will simply run out of willing Animist candidates in Africa within a decade or so. However, Christianity is on the upswing in former Communist countries and in China. In the West trends such as greater church attendance point to a Christian renaissance,[40] which trend is driven in part by Christian immigrants to places such as the UK and Holland, and partly by the newly awakened fear of losing one’s nation and culture to the rising tide of Muslims, as Christian Today reported:
‘It seems to me that there is in the UK at the moment a higher level of interest in Christianity, prompted by the national debate about multiculturalism and an increased awareness that many of our fellow citizens feel passionately about another religion - Islam,’ said Jill Kirby, a policy analyst at the Centre for Policy Studies, a conservative-leaning research group. People want to be reassured, she said, and they want to identify more closely with their own religious norms and traditions.[41]
Also, the Roe Effect grindstone means that each subsequent generation is more religious and less influenced by godless secular humanism and other non-Biblical theories.
► Second, Spengler wrote that Muslim birthrates are dropping most everywhere (“The Demographics of Radical Islam,” Asia Times, 23 Aug 2005). Some mostly-Muslim countries have surprising low birthrates according to the (CIA Factbook (2006): Algeria (1.89 children born/woman); Tunisia (1.74); Turkey (1.92). However, Muslim birthrates are generally three or more times as high as birthrates in the West.
► Third, the birthrate for Muslim immigrants in the West is dropping, but for now is still twice as high as birthrates in the West. David Coleman wrote:
Muslim and African fertility remains elevated although mostly declining: among Turks and Moroccans everywhere, and among Algerians in France (a TFR [Total Fertility Rate] of 3.2 in 1998/99; Legros 2003). In Britain in 2001, the total fertility of women born in Pakistan and Bangladesh was 4.7 and 3.9 respectively (ONS 2004a). Increased inflows of unacculturated populations may conserve or even drive up fertility rates, as among African populations in Sweden and Britain. In the latter, the total fertility of women born in Somalia was about 5 around 2000.[42]
► Fourth, legislation restricting immigration reduces the birthrate of immigrants because successful applicants tend to be older. For instance, Denmark’s Aliens (Consolidation) Act 2002 stated that mail-order or “marital import” spouses had to be at least 24 years old, and more conditions were placed on asylum seekers and other immigrants. Because of the Aliens Act and other factors, a 2004 population forecast had put non-Danes as being 15.3% of the population by 2080, but in 2006 the figure was halved to just fewer than 8% of the total population. The birthrate of immigrants had been clocked at 4 children per woman, but in recent years it dropped to 2.4.[43] Still, this is higher than the birthrate of 1.74 children per woman for ethnic Danes, which is below the generally accepted replacement rate of 2.1 (CIA Factbook 2006).
How much a country restricts Muslim immigration is largely conditioned on how the inhabitants view Islam. If they are stubbornly ignorant about Islam and Islamists, they receive an “education by murder,” as Daniel Pipes phrased it.
How many would require an education by murder before they “get” it? About 66% of Americans and 85% of Brits, it would seem from these poll results:
► March 2006 Washington Post-ABC News Poll, which reported that 33% of Americans believe Islam condones violence against non-Muslims (up from 14% in 2002).
► The BBC conducted a poll in 2007 it found that only a minority of people believe conflict between the West and Islam is inevitable: France (23%), Germany (39%), UK (15%), India (24%), Indonesia (51%), Italy (14%), Kenya (35%), Lebanon (26%), Nigeria (37%), Turkey (29%), US (31%).[44]
The BBC poll above leads one to ask: “Exactly what are we experiencing now if this is not conflict?” Muslims will answer that this is terrorism unconnected to Islam, and is not Jihad. My reply is: What?! The dreaded Jihad hasn’t even started yet?! The West is really in trouble since if the terrorism carried out by a fringe group is this bad, infidels will find it insufferable when more Muslims back real Jihad.
The 2005 US State Dept Country Report on Terrorism stated there were 11k terror attacks, killing 14,600 people. 40 people died per day from 30 acts of terrorism, on average. 300 suicide bombings took 10 lives on average, and the 10,700 non-suicide-bombings took one life per attack on average. 30% of the terrorists incidents occurred in Iraq, but 55% of the fatalities were in Iraq, or 8,300 people. 56 Americans were killed by terrorist attacks, all but 9 in Iraq.
The Muslim birthrate will likely continue to drop and so will not come close to fulfilling the Malthusian predictions of Samuel Huntington, Bernard Lewis, Mark Steyn (author of America Alone (2006)), Bruce Bawer (author of While Europe Slept (2006)), and Oriana Fallaci:
► Steyn wrote, for example:
…every Continental under the age of 40 – okay, make that 60, if not 75 – is all but guaranteed to end his days living in an Islamified Eurabia. That being so, why not have some gleeful sport along the road to servitude?
Steyn also wrote that much of the Western world….
…will not survive the twenty-first century, and much of it will effectively disappear within our lifetimes, including many if not most European countries.
► Fallaci evidently believed in the straight-line projections for the European population implosion and for Muslim growth in the West. She said, “Europe becomes more and more a province of Islam, a colony of Islam.” Robert Spencer wrote:
Fallaci said that Europeans–French, Dutch, Germans, English, Italians–are about to reach the status of the Comanches, Cherokees, and Sioux: ‘We will end up on their reservation.’ She noted that some Muslim spokesmen, confident of their imminent supremacy, already refer to non-Muslim Europeans as ‘indigenous people’ or ‘aboriginals.’[45]
If the Malthusian population predictions fail, then prophecies contingent on them fail, too. For instance, if Muslim numbers do not grow as anticipated in France, it would be harder for them to ramp up their current “permanent intifada” arsons (e.g. car burnings) and riots to the level of a “Eurabian civil war,” a phrase coined by, or at least popularized by, Mark Steyn.[46]
Altogether, Muslims are 5% of the EU populace, and one study says that by 2020 the EU will be 10% Muslim.[47] Daniel Pipes reckons that only by 2017 will the future course of Europe become clear, that is, if the increased number of Muslims materializes as expected, one should be better able to tell in 2017 whether Europe will be Islamized or suffer quasi-civil wars.
I am not alone in disbelieving in any immanent Muslim takeover of Europe, Russia, India and elsewhere. Critics of Mark Steyn’s thesis note that his demographic predictions are as unsourced as they are unbelievable, and his dystopian thesis stands or falls on these Malthusian predictions.
Critics of Mark Steyn include Francis Fukuyama, Johann Hari, Jonathan Pearce at SamizData, Adam at The Crossed Pond, commentators at Wikipedia, Andrew Moravcsik at Newsweek, to name a few. Here are examples of predictions I’ll be critiquing later in the study.
► How could 15m Muslims in the EU, in less than a century, become a majority when in 2006 the EU is 700m strong?
► How could 3m Muslims in Germany become the majority by 2046 when there are 82.5m Germans?
► How could 5 to 6m Muslims in France become the majority by 2025 or 2030 when there are 62.3m Frenchmen as of 2006?
► How could 146.8m Muslims in India outnumber Hindus by 2050 when there are 881.75m Hindus as of 2006?
► How could 9m Muslims become the majority in Russia by 2030 or 2040 when there are 143m Russians?
Each of the above predictions is discussed more in the section on that country (see the Table of Contents).
Another example is the Netherlander blogger Kleinverzet who wrote that he/she will be moving to the US if the Islamification of Europe continues apace, but does not think that will be necessary. Kleinverzet posted on 11 Jan 2007 wrote:
Which is not to say that Freund (and Steyn) write complete hogwash. Though I disagree the whole thing is all but a done deal, their writing does serve us with a strong warning what we stand to lose (ourselves) if we do not pay attention. A warning that must be heeded.
The projections are based on the rate that a relatively small group doubles. In America, the land of sects and sex, many religious groups have claimed to be “the fastest growing” religion, only to fade into obscurity some time afterward. If someone starts a new religion and gains one convert, that’s 100% growth unmatched by any other denomination! Yet it is hard to keep up 100% growth.
The reason for so many false predictions of the future, from climate change to demographics, is the same reason that pyramid schemes only work for so long. The rate of growth may look good on paper, but in practice is it unsustainable. For instance, a group can grow 1% or 2% per year for a while, but before long each percent growth involves adding thousands or millions of people. If the projected growth were graphed by percentile, it would look like a straight line, but if the absolute numbers were graphed, the line would curve up and look like a hockey stick.
Much Muslim natural growth in the West and immigration into the West is based on abusing the good will of the natives, and sapping the dole and utilizing free healthcare. Only so many people can do that before the good will and the resources are dried up, especially since the UK is experiencing an obesity epidemic, and “Britain’s 1.6m Muslims are twice as likely to report poor health and disability.”[48] For instance, when Israel cut back on child allowances in 2003, Muslim population growth was curtailed immediately (see the Israel section below).
The projections of big Muslim growth seem to be based mainly on extrapolations from too small a sample, that being Muslims in inner cities, or more specifically, the maternity wards. This sketchy data is then extrapolated to cover the nation, then the region and entire EU. The studies with larger samples show much more modest Muslim growth.
The near-term demographic future is problematic from a Christian’s perspective. Of course, one is always optimistic about the long term. Evangelism might stall in Africa if, after the Animists are mostly converted to Christianity, Muslims harden against the Gospel.
So Jenkin’s relatively rosy predictions of the future may not reach full fruition either. Spengler (mentioned above) will likely prove to be the most prescient of the soothsayers. If so, then Islam will make gains on Christianity, but long before Islam achieves parity with Christianity, Islam’s growth will be cut by birth control and education, and by competition with other religions.
The Western world will likely further restrict Muslim immigration once it becomes widely apparent that:
► Muslims have a high incarceration rate. In France, “Muslims make up some 70% of a total of 60,775 prisoners.” In the Netherlands, so many inmates are Muslim that a compass is painted on jail cell ceilings so Muslims know where Mekka is.
► Islam is more than a religion, but for many Muslims tends to be a regressive totalitarian political system that is readily passed down from father to son, mother to daughter, and handed off to converts (or reverts). Thus, just as Communists were barred from immigrating to the West—even those Communists who persecuted, so Muslims must be restricted whether or not they are refugees or asylum seekers for the sake of the safety and well-being of non-Muslims. Daniel Pipes says that all non-Muslims “face ‘true dangers’ as the number of Muslims increases.”[49]
► A substantial minority of Muslims is susceptible to radicalization in a short period.
► 70% or better of Muslims in the Mideast sympathize with the goals of terrorism and would support the imposition of Sharia law in their own countries.
► There is no litmus test that tells who is a moderate and who a radical, or who will become radicalized, and who will join organized terrorism or engage in freelance terrorism.
► Once Muslims are established in a country, the West cannot very effectively counter radical Islam with the quick fix of deportation—a tool hardly used as it is.
Surprisingly few Western countries have so many Muslims that they will have a Muslim majority by 2100. Quick projections can be made by assuming non-Muslims have a slowly dwindling population, and that the Muslim population might double every twenty years, a 3.5% increase per year. Alternatively, one could assume it doubles every 30 years, a 1.5% increase per year, or one could assume it doubles every 70 years, a 1% increase per year.
In France, India, the Balkans, Sub-Saharan Africa and in Suriname in South American, Muslim growth will likely be largely checked by the fact that: 1) infidels are increasingly informed about the origin and nature of Islam, 2) Christian evangelism, 3) a dropping birthrate among Muslims, 4) restrictions on immigration, 5) a possible rebound in Western birthrates due to incentives and growing religiosity, and 6) Non-Muslims ceding parcels of land to Muslim states and erecting fences so that the demographic Jihad is contained.
Someone might say that giving in to Jihad encourages more Jihad. That is true, but it is also true that the fence discourages Jihad, so the stick more than canceled out the carrot. Thus, Israel, India and other places have found that illegal immigration and cross-border Jihad was reduced overall after hi-tech fences were erected. So the principle applies with demographic Jihad: “Fooled me one, shame on you; fooled me twice, shame on me.” Just write-off the loss, as they say in the accounting world, and learn the lesson: stop throwing good money after bad.
The problems the West will increasingly see as Muslim populations rise in the West and in Islamdom are the ones we see budding now. It is possible, but doubtful that Muslims will become a majority and then vote in Sharia law, as was explained above. Nevertheless, as the Muslim diaspora in Europe grows, one can expect:
► More riots like those that affected 300 French cities in 2005.
► More terrorism acts like the 3/3 Madrid bombings in 2004 and the 7/7 London bombings in 2005. For example, in Dec 2006, police feared an attack on the channel tunnel, aka Chunnel.
► More freelance terrorists who come down with what Pipes calls Sudden Jihad Syndrome. A Muslim with SJS often is a lone wolf and stages an attack by himself. There is even a freelance Jihadist manual by Al-Hakaymah titled “Guide for Individual Jihad.” SJS Jihadists may be “clean skins,” i.e., “people [who] feel alienated but have not come to the attention of the authorities.”
► More terrorism planned and funded in Europe but carried out elsewhere.
The problems that we see now are the Islamization of the West via politically-correct accommodation to Muslim, often coerced by Islamist front groups such as CAIR, MPAC and MCB (Islamist Watch). This is sometimes called Stealth Sharia, meaning that everything becomes so Sharia-compliant it is as though Sharia law has been implemented without a fight or a vote.
Another problem we already see that will increase over time is terrorism. Islamists are inventing or perfecting new ways of committing terrorism, and quickly spreading these ideas globally over the internet, the latest ideas being shoe bombs and liquid bombs. Islamists are producing more seductive propaganda to motivate Jihadists, and they have launched campaigns to gain sympathy in the West, especially on campuses. Islamists living in the West who are intent on terrorism can travel most anywhere no questions asked.
As the Muslim population increases, so will legal and illegal immigration. Businesses and farmers tend to lobby for open borders, a liberal immigration policy, or at least plentiful workers permits and temporary visas. There are plenty of unguarded borders and smugglers are equipped with better boats and vehicles, and hikers can use GPS.
Certain countries need to fear Jihadists for extra reasons. If they are seen as being invaders, such as the Coalition in Iraq or Russians in Chechnya, they face increased risk of attack. Another reason is irredentism, i.e.: Once Islamic, Always Islamic. For now irredentist Muslims are focused on Israel and al-Andalusia[50], but at some point they may start talking about getting back south-central Europe (e.g., Ukraine, Bulgaria), the Balkans, and the Islands of the Mediterranean. After that, they might agitate about areas that were briefly conquered or raided but not long occupied.
Finally, global warming needs to be addressed. The warm winter of 2006/7 is the first time that many people took global warming seriously, probably because it was a warm winter and it was the first year that scientists started moderating their claims because they found their predictions had been exaggerated. Here is a fact and a projection:
► “Average annual rainfall globally has increased by up to 10 per cent during the 20th century because warming has increased evaporation.”
► Due to the melting of the ice caps and thermal expansion of seawater, the oceans may rise by “89 centimeters, or 35 inches, in 2030.”
Rising ocean levels means low-lying coastal areas, especially river deltas, and islands may go underwater if seawalls are not built. If they don’t go underwater, they will still be more susceptible to brackish groundwater intrusion, storm surges and tsunamis.
Atolls and islands are especially affected because the plains are generally low-lying while the steeper parts are uninhabitable. In tsunami drills, much of the inhabited parts of the island must be vacated while people wait out the danger in the hills. Among the areas to be affected most potentially would be:
► Manhattan and many other coastal cities around the world, some already protected by elaborate sea walls like Amsterdam and New Orleans
► Large inhabited coastal areas from Egypt to Bangladesh
► 2k of Indonesia’s 17k islands would disappear, but they are mostly uninhabited already
► Island countries around the world like Saint Lucia, Fiji and the Bahamas would disappear under the waves.
► India has already lost some inhabited islands (Lohachara, Ghoramara) in the Bay of Bengal.
► Some Vanuatu islands have been evacuated as a precaution.
► Carteret Islands off Papua New Guinea may be the next populated islands to disappear.
Africa is also discussed in the Islamdom section.
Africa has been hit with about every plague known to humanity, except for diseases of the rich nations like the obesity epidemic. Africans do not all have cars and drive-through restaurants where they serve high-fat, high-sugar, fiber-free food yet. The AIDS epidemic may abate somewhat if circumcision becomes the norm in Africa since studies say “circumcision reduces men’s chances of catching HIV by up to 60%.” Between 1990 and 2002, 140m more Africans live in extreme poverty.
Hardly 1% of Africa (10m persons) was Christian around 1900, but Christianity has grown in leaps and bounds since then,[51] gaining on Islam and some say surpassing Islam in numbers. Brian Nichiporuk stated in 2005:
…between 1900 and 2000 the number of Christians in Africa went from 10m to around 360m. I believe that is quantitatively the largest religious change of any kind that has ever occurred. We are dealing with quite dramatic things.[52]
African census takers of religious adherents have a problem not found elsewhere, which is that the total number of people in many African country is derived from guestimates. This problem complicates producing a breakdown by numbers of religious adherents. As a result of the confusion, some say there are more Christians than Muslims, and some say the opposite:
► Some have said that there were more Christians than Muslims already in the 1960s, while others claim that Africa is still a “Muslim continent.” Philip Jenkins wrote in 2002:
Sometime in the 1960s, another historic landmark occurred, when Christians first outnumbered Muslims in Africa.[53]
► Spiegel said there are 390m Christians, “almost half of the continent’s entire population.” Since there are many Animists, Hindus, and adherents of other religions in Africa, saying that “almost half” of Africans are Christians implies there are more Christians than Muslims. Incidentally, the World Evangelization Center for the Study of Global Christianity gave a similar figure for the number of Christians, that being 389m.[54]
► Wikipedia put the number of Muslims are 402m, which it says is 45.4% of Africa’s population. In contrast to what Spiegel says above, this Wiki statistic implies there are more Muslims than Christians.
► World Christian News put the number of Christians in Africa at 335m.[55] Such a low figure suggests there are more Muslims than Christians.
If one takes the high estimate for number of Muslims and the low estimate for Christians, one can conclude that Muslims still outnumber Christians by 13m to 67m in 2006. The same data could also be interpreted as: Muslims got behind in numbers in the 1960s, but then a surge in births pushed Islam ahead of Christianity in 2000. This is entirely possible is one considers that monagamy is the norm in Christian Africa but polygyny is the norm in Islamic Africa in the Sahar and Saharan regions. The NY Times reported on Mali, the country south of Algeria and north of the Ivory Coast:
…polygyny is lawful and widespread, especially from West African countries like Mali, where demographic surveys show that 43% of women are in polygynous marriages. [56]
Muslims are continually emigrating and evangelizing everywhere, especially south of the Sahara and the Sub-Saharan Sahel zone into areas populated mainly by Christians and Animists. At the same time, Christians are evangelizing northward into Muslim areas, even beyond the Sahel zone.
Some of these North-South conflicts affect the Western security more than others, for example, Niger has large uranium deposits, and Nigeria has a large and growing population, and a lot of oil. Examples of the North Muslim-South Christian conflicts include:
► Since 2001, 12 northern Nigerian states have implemented Sharia law to some extent. Muslims are causing problems in central and southern Nigeria.
► Benin is contiguous to, and west of, Nigeria, and like Nigeria its Muslim are concentrated in the north and “as far south as Djougou and even into traditionally Yoruba areas.” After Muslims torched a church and a large missionary training school at the end of 2006 and 2007, BosNewsLife reported:
Missionaries said however they fear that radical Muslims, who ‘subjugated North African countries under Islamic law,’ are rapidly moving southward ‘in their quest to convert the entire African continent.’ In a statement obtained by BosNewsLife, Christ Power Ministries leader Claude Sossa suggested he had experienced ‘the devastating effect’ of the apparent Islamic infiltration of his country, ‘as 30% of Benin’s population is now Muslim,’ at least 10% higher than previous estimates [i.e. 20% Muslim] by the US Central Intelligence Agency (CIA).
The US State Dept said a 2002 census put the number of Muslims at 24.4%.
► In NE Kenya, Muslims are the majority in an otherwise Christian-majority country, but Muslims are starting to cause problems and make terrorist threats in central and southern Kenya. Al-Qaeda has carried out a few terrorist acts in Kenya, too, such as trying to blow up an Israeli jetliner, and blowing up the American embassies in Kenya and Tanzania in 1998, killing 200+.
In North Africa, the Arab Muslims who first invaded in the 7th century suppress the majority Black Berbers. Fjordman wrote:
The proportion of Berbers is not officially known but independent sources say they represent the majority of the population. The total population of Berbers in the world is estimated at 25m, mainly concentrated in Algeria, Libya, Mali, Mauritania, Niger and Tunisia.
In 2007 Qaddafi denied the existance of the Sunni-Shiite split, and also that there was a people called the Berbers, saying that both ideas were non-Muslim plots to divide Muslims. Of course, this is just the North African manifestation of Arab cultural imperialism that is exercised globally through the medium of Islam, as Hugh Fitzgerald points out. Another example of Arab imperialism is: in Apr 2007 news came that the Moroccan government had a list of approved names—all Arabic and none Christian or Berber. The Moroccan government even demands that Moroccans living in Europe choose only the approved names, or else face problems if they ever visit or return to Morocco.
The encroachment of sand dunes and desertification are an increasing problem in Mauritania, Mali, Niger and the southern edges of Libya, Algeria and Egypt. In Mauritania the dunes move 3km to 4km per year and swallow towns and cities.
Increasing surface temperature from global warming are blamed, but also the local populace uses up the scraggly shrubs and brush that would otherwise act as a barrier to the drifting sand. It is illegal to cut down the scrubs in Mauritania, so people cart it off by donkey under the cover of darkness. “Israel is the only nation that has more forest cover than 100 years ago, according to the Jewish National Fund.”
Algeria: In Apr 2007 when a bomb killed 23 in Algeria, MSNBC reported:
Algeria’s insurgency broke out in 1992, after the army canceled legislative [1991] elections that an Islamic party appeared set to win. Since then, violence related to the insurgency has left an estimated 200k dead — civilians, soldiers and Islamic fighters — according to the government. Algeria’s military led a crackdown on militants hiding out in the country’s brush and mountains, while the government tried to reconcile the nation with several amnesty offers to militants willing to turn in their weapons….
Large-scale violence died down in the late 1990s, but skirmishes have surged in recent months as an al-Qaida affiliate carried out a deadly and carefully planned series of bomb attacks. Several targeted foreign workers.[57]
Islamists have been bombing and shooting people in Algieria ever since the French colonialists left, but right up to 2007 most “attacks were not made public because the government had no interest in doing so.” As of Jan 2007 though, the attacks are too large and coordinated to suspress their publication. In Jan 2007, the Algerian Salafist Group for Preaching and Combat (GSPC) became Al-Qaida in the Islamic Maghreb. Saïd Saadi, the opposition politician in Algiers, said of the new development:
It is as if Bin Laden has stationed his people on an aircraft carrier off your [Europe’s] coastline.
Benin: The situation in Benin was mentioned a few paragraphs above.[58]
Cote d'Ivoire (Ivory Coast): There are 18m inhabitants, of which 5m are African immigrants from surrounding countries and countries in the region. They came because Ivory Coast has a promising economy in West Africa. Of the 5m immigrants, 50k are French, and 30k are Lebanese. Of the 5m African immigrants, 20% (1m) are Christian, 70% (3.5m) are Muslim, and 10% (500k) are Other.
The CPW is 4.5. According to the 2006 US State Dept, of the 18m inhabitants, 35-40% (6.7m) are Christian, 35% (6.7m) are Muslim, and 25-30% are Animists.
Like Benin, Nigeria and a few other African countries along the same latitude, the Muslim population is concentrated in the north, and the Christian population is in the south. In some cases this is because European settlers and missionaries landed on the south coast, while Muslims worked their way down from the Sahara.
The Christians and Animists concentrated in the south tend to speak Bete, and are referred to as ethnic Betes. Muslims concentrated in the north speak Dioula (or Dyula). Naturally, Christians and Muslims support different political parties.
So far there has not been a major Muslim-Christian civil war in the Ivory Coast, but there have been plenty of riots and clashes in recent years usually sparked by electoral irregularities and power politics that are typical of the third world. In addition, there have been rebels and roaming death squads. France’s military has played a role in restoring order.
Eritrea: After the colonial powers left, Eritrea was in a federation with Ethiopia. In 1961 two main groups of rebels waged campaigns for independence. ELF was dominated by Muslims and was supported by Arabs, and EPLF was dominated by Marxists and gained the support of the Eritrean diaspora. The US supported Ethiopia’s imperial government. By 1991, Eritrea was independent of Ethiopia, but in 1998, they battled each other shortly.
Eritrea is 50-50 Christian/Muslim by some estimates, while others say 52% Christian, 48% Sunni Muslim. Ever since 2002, Protestants, Pentecostals and others are fined and jailed for “trying ‘to start a new religion’” other than the four official religions: Orthodox, Catholic, Lutheran and Muslim. In May 2007, 2k are in jail and some are tortured merely for belonging to the wrong faith. In 2007, Eritrea banned female circumcision.
Ethiopia: Ethiopia had 5m people in 1900, 64m in 2007, and a projected 145m in 2050. 8m are receiving international food aid in 2007. Wikipedia notes:
According to the most recent 1994 National Census, Christians make up 61% of the country’s population, Muslims 33%, and adherents of traditional faiths 5%.
However, other sources such as the CIA World Factbook shows Muslims between 45-50% and Christians at 35-40%. Spiegel reported that “Some 40% of the 68m Ethiopians are Orthodox Christians,” and “45% of Ethiopians” are Muslim.
Spiegel reported that the Orthodox Church in Ethiopia has so many holidays, that people are prevented from working nearly every other day.
The Orthodox calendar lists more than 150 holidays and 180 days of fasting, on which Christians are banned from working and limited to one meal. Holidays for Muslims - some 45% of Ethiopians - eat even further into the working week. And the Sabbath is still celebrated in rural areas—a relic of the Salomonic dynasty which ruled Ethiopia from the 13th century and adopted numerous Jewish customs.
The clergy in Addis Ababa, the country’s capital since the end of the 19th century, may be slowly losing its authority, but the priests in the highlands enforce the holidays with an iron fist. Punishment inexorably follows any failure to comply. Not to mention the prospect of ending up in hell.
Moreover, the church still defines the calendar. The Ethiopian year has 12 months lasting 30 days, each plus five or six additional days. The patriarchy refuses to countenance change. The government has sought to adopt the modern Western calendar on several occasions, only to be stymied by the clergy. In practice, the separation of church and state has yet to be implemented.
Christianity is also responsible for another phenomenon in Ethiopia: racial arrogance. Viewing their faith as superior to Africa’s natural religions, Orthodox Christians regard themselves as a chosen people. In their minds, the portrayal - in the illustrations of the sacred books - of lighter-skinned people as the rulers of the Promised Land and the blacks as their servants is evidence of God’s will.[59]
Open Doors International reported:
In September [2006], violence erupted between Muslims and followers of the Ethiopian Orthodox Church during an Orthodox celebration in Oromia state, southwestern Ethiopia. The initial stone throwing escalated to the murdering of Christians and Muslims, the burning of buildings, forceful conversions to Islam and the displacement of 2k people. Christians from an Islamic background are often fiercely persecuted by family members.
WWII-era Italian fascists strengthened the Islamist cause in the just-mentioned Oromia state, as Wikipedia notes:
The present town was developed on the Awetu River by Italian colonialists in the 1930s. At that time, with the goal of weakening the native Ethiopian Church, the Italians intended to make Jimma an important center of Islamic learning, and founded an academy to teach fiqh.
Jimma is now “a Muslim dominated area where local authorities are almost exclusively Muslim.”
Persecution.org reported that an evangelist Tedase walked by a mosque on Merkado Street in Jimma. Muslims pulled him inside and beat him to death. Jimma is a town SE of the capital Addis Ababa, which is in the geographical center of Ethiopia. Jimma is in the Oromia state, the just-mentioned state where mobs raged in Sep 2006.
Tedase is not the only non-Muslim known to have been dragged into and beaten in a Mosque. There are many such incidents, but one for which there is a picture is that of Bangladeshi Hindu Vimal Patak. Incidentally, beating are not the only way to lose one’s life in a mosque. Here are two examples:
► Samuel Clemens, aka Mark Twain, wrote in Innocents Abroad (1869), chapter 9:
Had Blucher [a non-Muslim] succeeded in entering the place [mosque], he would no doubt have been chased through the town and stoned; and the time has been, and not many years ago, either, when a Christian would have been most ruthlessly slaughtered if captured in a mosque.
► In Apr 2007 an Egyptian Muslims was sentenced to death for taking Koran into the Wudu washrooms of a Saudi mosque.
Christianity Today says about Ethiopia in 2007:
There has been growing concern over the mounting influence of Muslim militants in Ethiopia.
Mission Network News reported that on 5 Jan 2007:
Ajja Delge was killed by an unknown person in the town of Kofele [in central Ethiopia]. Voice of the Martyrs-Canada (VOMC) reports he was hit on the head with a metal iron, and his body was found in a nearby jungle the following day. Family members believe he was killed by Muslims. Since the Kofele area is dominated by Muslims, local Christians believe it is unlikely that the police will conduct a proper investigation into Delge’s murder.
Then, on January 8, Muslims burned the homes of three Christian families in Begge, Western Ethiopia. Tareku Meres, Jemal Tasesa and Tamene Gemechu and their families are currently taking shelter at a local Gospel church. At last report, police have taken little action in either case.
For the past three months, ten Christian youths have also been living in a church building in Begge after fleeing from their homes. They were chased from their homes after their families threatened to execute them for converting from Islam.
Assaults are so numerous as to be on a daily basis. However, at other times, it's more severe. VOMC reports an incident of that nature that took place last summer in Begge.
On June 28, 2006, the home of an evangelist named Tareku from the village of Begge was destroyed and the building where almost seventy new believers gathered for worship was also burned down.
Notice from the above paragraphs that not even central and western Ethiopia are not safe from Muslim attacks even though they are farther away from the all-Muslim Horn of Africa. The triangle of land in eastern Ethiopia bordered on two sides by Somalia is called Ogaden. It is ethnically Somalian and mostly Muslim. Ogaden is especially dangerous because not only do rebels operate their, but Jihadists come from adjacent Somalia to help their fellow Jihadists.
Spiegel reports that Somali madrassa students in Yemen are being sent as missionaries to the eastern Ogaden area of Ethiopia. Also, Yemen’s madrasa students became Jihadists in Afghanistan after 9/11, and “Even today, Iman graduates are surfacing as ‘foreign fighters’ in Iraq.” The Jawa Report notes:
A Yemeni newspaper recently counted 1283 jihaddists who made the trek to Iraq, mostly in 2006. Some estimates are as high as 2000.
The Yemen madrasas are using the same tactic against Ethiopia as Islamists used in Afghanistan and such. Spiegel reports:
In addition to attacking the rebels, the North [Yemen] built [between 1967 and 1990] dozens of Islamic madrasahs, creating an ideological bulwark against the secular South [Yemen]. The projects were largely funded by Saudi patrons, who had launched similar education drives elsewhere in the early 1990s - in Afghanistan, Pakistan, Bosnia, Nigeria, Indonesia and the Philippines.
The Islam that they spread was the purist doctrine that originated with Sunni preacher Mohammed ibn Abd al-Wahhab during the 18th century, and has become the state religion in Saudi Arabia today. His followers, called Wahhabis by outsiders, now generally describe themselves as Salafis. Together with their other Muslim brothers, they form the vanguard of modern Islamic fundamentalism, and increasingly dictate the curricula of private religious seminaries in Morocco, Bangladesh and Yemen….
Ahmed Omar [a Samoli] will not become a fullyfledged hafiz. The verses aside, his spoken Arabic is still halting, even after two years of university courses. Yet for students like him, theological training is secondary. While Yemeni nationals study exegesis of the Koran and Islamic jurisprudence for seven years, foreigners complete only a four-year crash course at the university. The aim is to dispatch them to the front lines as quickly as possible, as prayer leaders, men of faith. It's all about dawa, missionary work. And about politics. For Ahmed Omar and the other Somalis, the destination is Ogadan, a Christian [sic—actually it’s mostly Muslim] part of Ethiopia which is claimed by Muslims in neighboring Somalia.[60]
In a story that might be related to the above account, 30k Samolis have made their way from Samoliaa to Yemeni refugee camps since Jan 2006. Perhaps they were Jihadists fleeing the US-backed force that retook Samolia. One wonders if some of those will end up in madrasas in Yemen.
Gunmen raided a Chinese-run oil field near the Somali border on Tuesday, killing 65 Ethiopians and nine Chinese workers, an official of the Chinese company said. An ethnic Somali rebel group claimed responsibility for the attack.
Seven Chinese workers were kidnapped in the morning attack at the oil installation in a disputed region of eastern Ethiopia, said Xu Shuang, the general manager of Zhongyuan Petroleum Exploration Bureau.
China has increased its presence in Africa in recent years in a hunt for oil and other natural resources to feed its rapidly growing economy. Its forays into areas considered politically unstable, however, has exposed Chinese workers to attacks.
The Ogaden National Liberation Front said in a statement sent to the Associated Press they had launched ‘military operations against units of the Ethiopian armed forces guarding an oil exploration site,’ in the east of the country.
The rebel group, which is fighting a low-level insurgency with the aim of creating an independent state for ethnic Somalis, warned last year that any investment in the Ogaden area that also benefited the Ethiopian government ‘would not be tolerated.’
Somalia lost control of the region in a war in 1977. The rebel group also has been fighting Ethiopian troops inside Somalia, where Ethiopia has been backing the government in crushing an Islamic movement and re-establishing control over the country.[61]
Horn of Africa/Somalia: Somalia is 99% Muslim. The Horn of Africa is Muslim where dialects of the Somali and Oromo language groups are spoken, while Ethiopia has historically been Christian and speaks two Semitic languages: Amharic and Tigrinya. Eritrea and Ethiopia have been at war in the recent past, and Eritrea speaks Arabic. Kenya is adjacent to the Horn of Africa, and Kenya speaks dialects of the Niger-Congo group.
Even though the Somalis started instituting Sharia law with its draconian punishments such as killing converts from Islam and adulterers, and threatened to start a regional war to create Greater Somalia, some Muslim groups like CAIR, and even the BBC news outlet, opined that the Islamic Courts Union, aka the Somalia Taliban, takeover was a positive thing and a stabilizing force.
In 2007, Islamic insurgents began to operate against the new US- and Ethiopia-backed Somali government. In Mar 2007 they burned 5 corpses of soldiers and dragged them through town while shouting Allah Akbar!, as is Jihadi custom. In Mar 2007, 1k people were killed in clashes between the government and insurgents. Mogadishu used to have 1m residents, but 400k to 666k have left the capital city on the east coast of Somalia. In Apr 2007, insurgents clashed with US- and Ethiopia-backed Somali government troops leaving 381 dead and 565 wounded.
Morocco: Morocco is 98.7% Muslim, 1.1% Christian, and 0.2% Jewish. The CIA Factbook reads:
Morocco’s long struggle for independence from France ended in 1956. The internationalized city of Tangier was turned over to the new country that same year. Morocco virtually annexed Western Sahara during the late 1970s, but final resolution on the status of the territory remains unresolved. Gradual political reforms in the 1990s resulted in the establishment of a bicameral legislature in 1997. Parliamentary elections were held for the second time in September 2002 and municipal elections were held in September 2003….
Morocco claims and administers Western Sahara whose sovereignty remains unresolved - UN-administered cease-fire has remained in effect since September 1991, but attempts to hold a referendum have failed and parties thus far have rejected all brokered proposals; Polisario, Algeria, and European supporters agree to the latest US-brokered UN proposals for limited temporary autonomy for 4-5 years followed by a referendum on independence, but Morocco’s final response is pending; Morocco protests Spain’s control over the coastal enclaves of Ceuta, Melilla, and Penon de Velez de la Gomera, the islands of Penon de Alhucemas and Islas Chafarinas, and surrounding waters; Morocco also rejected Spain's unilateral designation of a median line from the Canary Islands in 2002 to set limits to undersea resource exploration and refugee interdiction, but agreed in 2003 to discuss a comprehensive maritime delimitation; Morocco serves as the primary launching area of illegal migration into Spain from North Africa.
Nigeria: Nigeria will have 289m people by 2050. In 2006, Nigeria has 128m people, 50% of whom are Muslim. Muslims mostly reside in the north. Nigeria is 40% Christians and 10% Animist, and Christians and Animists are found mainly in the south.
Northern Nigeria is Muslim and speaks dialects of the Chadic language group, while southern Nigeria is mainly Christian and speaks dialects of the Niger-Congo group. PBS’s Frontline notes:
The most populous and politically influential ethnic groups include the Hausa-Fulani, 29%; Yoruba, 21%; Igbo (also "Ibo"), 18%; Ijaw, 10%; Kanuri, 4%; Ibibio, 3.5%; and Tiv, 2.5%….
Nigeria’s religions tend to parallel ethnic identification. Hausa-Fulani people in the north are predominantly Muslim, the Igbo in the east are often Catholic, and the Yoruba in the west are animist, Christian or Muslim. Individuals sometimes mix the religions, for example, combining tenets of Christianity with local customs….
Kano, a 1k-year-old northern trade center, is West Africa’s oldest city. Its Central Mosque attracts as many as 50k worshippers at a time…Twelve out of 36 Nigerian states are currently under Sharia, Islamic law. Sharia is not new to Nigeria. Islamic penal codes were enforced until 1960, when punishments such as amputations and floggings were outlawed.
Due to Islamist activity and Muslim-Christian clashes, many Christians have left Muslim areas in the Muslim north and moved into Christian areas of Nigeria. Between 1999 when military rule ended and 2004, 50k died and 800k were Internally Displaced Persons (IDPs), some in the Niger River delta region in the dispute over oil revenue sharing, but mostly from Christian-Muslims sectarian violence in the north. Other reports put the figure for deaths between 1999 and Mar 2007 at the lesser number of 15k.
Since 2004 sectarian violence has continued, not quite as intensely, but severe nonetheless:
► In Feb 2005, the predominantly Christian village of Demsa, Adamawa in northern Nigeria was attacked. According to Compass Direct, 36 Christians were killed and their property destroyed. About 3k survivors fled to a neighboring state.
► For the fourth time in five years, the Conquerors Chapel of the World of Faith Ministries in Kaduna, Nigeria, was destroyed by fire on 10 Apr 2005. The attacks began after Sharia law was introduced in Kaduna State in 2000.
► In Feb 2006 in the northern Sharia state of Bauchi, Muslims went on a rampage when word got out that “a Christian teacher in a secondary school had tried to confiscate a Koran from a student who was reading it during class.” In other words, his unclean infidel hands touched the Koran.
► In Feb 2006, 16 Nigerians died during the Danish Muhammad Cartoon Riots, and 30 Nigerian churches were burned.[62] On 21 Feb 2006, the President of the Christian Association of Nigeria wrote during the cartoon conflict:
We have for a long time now watched helplessly the killing, maiming and destruction of Christians and their property by Muslim fanatics and fundamentalists at the slightest or no provocation at all.[63]
► Two Christian female students from the Ahmadu Bello University in Kaduna State, Nigeria went missing after they were severely beaten by seven Muslim women in their own dormitory on 18 Mar 2006. The two students, Joy and Priscilla, were preparing to bathe when the seven students, veiled in Islamic robes, attacked them. They were harassed, intimidated flogged and left unconscious. Compass Direct reports that the two were taken to the university clinic and have not been seen since.
► On 28 Jun 2006 a Muslim mob in the town of Izom in the Nigerian state of Niger first overwhelmed police, then clubbed a woman to death for participating in street evangelism.
► In Mar 2007, Nigerian pastors in the northern states of Sokoto and Nasarawa were blocked from building churches. Also, Muslims have used their old trick of building a mosque next to a church and then confiscating the church property in order to expand the mosque holdings.
► In Mar 2007, a Christian mother reported seeing her abducted son in Muslim home, but Muslims would not let the child go whom they probably converted to Islam by force. In Mar 2007, a Christian teacher in the northern Sharia state of
► In Mar 2007, a woman Christian teacher in a state school was beaten in the NE Sharia state of Gombe. Gombe has 2m residents, half Christian and half Muslim, even though it is in the N of Nigeria where Muslims are prevalent. Canadian Free Press reported:
Christianah Oluwatoyin Oluwasesin was supervising an all-girl class while they were taking an Islamic Religious Knowledge examination, a routine job by any teacher's standards the world over. In accordance to school procedure, the homeroom teacher collected papers, books and bags before the exam papers were passed around. She left them in front of the class for pupils to retrieve later. One of the girls responded by starting to cry and was soon telling her classmates that there had been a copy of the Quran in her bag left in front of the classroom. The girl claimed that because Christianah was a Christian, she had desecrated the Quran by touching it. The students began to chant in unison, Allahu Akbar (‘God is Great’). These school age girls then beat, stoned and clubbed Christiania to death where she stood. The deed done, the girls then dragged her corpse outside of the school building and burned it.
Compass Direct reported that in response to the above incident, Muslims burned a church and threaten to burn 15 more. Muslims have rioted and burned churches in the area previously.
► In Apr 2007, a group called the Taliban killed 13 policemen in Kano. The same group killed people in Yobe in Sep 2004, and in Borno in Jun 2005, all places in northern Nigeria.
Christians and Animists are found mostly in the south where the gas and oil is. Erich Marquardt wrote:
Nigeria is Africa’s most populated country and is the fifth largest supplier of crude oil to the US. When pumping at full capacity, it produces an output of approximately 2.5m barrels per day, making it the world’s eighth-largest oil exporter. Its gas resources are just as extensive, with proven natural gas reserves at 184 trillion cubic feet, giving Nigeria the seventh-largest gas reserves worldwide. 95% of the country’s export earnings, accounting for 40% of its GDP [Gross Domestic Product], come from the oil and gas trade.
Some Americans are aware that some crude oil comes from Nigeria, and that an insurgency group threatens this supply. They have the impression that this insurgency is more humane than would be expected if it were Islamist-based, despite some massacres. Their impression is correct since the NDPVF and MEND are ethnic Ijaw mostly, and the Ijaw tribe is 99% Christian and 1% Muslim. Erich Marquardt wrote:
Out of Nigeria’s 137m people, the Ijaw number approximately 14m, making them the country’s fourth-largest ethnic group. They live primarily in the Niger Delta region. The Ijaw are generally Catholic Christians, although they incorporate traditional tribal religious practices into their beliefs.
After gaining independence from colonialist rule in 1960, there was a Muslim military coup in 1966. Military dictators from the Muslim north ruled Nigeria until 1979, and then again from 1983 to 1999, except for a few weeks in 1993.
Between 1967 and 1970, the region long known as Biafra, located in SE Nigeria, including the Niger River delta region, declared independence. When Biafra did not receive enough international support, it folded. According to Hugh Fitzgerald, in the Ahaiara Declaration of 1969, “Colonel Ojukwu correctly described” the Nigerian war on Biafra as a “jihad” against the Ibo (Igbo) tribal. The Biafra-Nigerian War, aka the Nigerian Civil War, cost many people their lives from starvation and disease since Biafra was starved into submission. The estimates of deaths range from 1+m to 2m to 3m.
The main motivation of the NDPVF and MEND is not separatism despite the history of Biafra, but a fairer distribution of the oil and gas profits, especially to the Ijaw tribe since they live where much of the oil and gas are siphoned away. Some oil and gas is found offshore. Most Nigerians live on 1 USD per day.
Another major demand of NDPVF and MEND is that Nigeria releases two of its leaders. One Ijaw leader, Alhaji Dokubo of the NDPVF, was a Christian who converted to Islam. He was arrested in 2006.[64]
In 2006 when crude hit $70 per barrel, the insurgency and gas stealing (bunkering) peaked, cutting production from 2.5m to 2m barrels per day. The government does not do more against the insurgency since corruption limits the amount of money available for the army, a familiar refrain around the world, especially in the Philippines. Also, a bigger conflict might cause oil production to cease altogether.
The names Niger Delta People’s Volunteer Force (NDPVF) and Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta (MEND) can confuse people into thinking that they are located in the nation Niger, which is N of Nigeria. However, the Niger in their names refers to the River Niger that flows into the sea in Nigeria. Also, someone might think it odd that 14m Ijaw Africans can live on a river delta. The Niger Delta though is an uncommon inland delta, not sediment piled up offshore, so one can think of it as an inland jungle on flat land with many streams and lakes.
South Africa: 79% of South Africans are black, of whom 80% are Christian. 9.6% of South Africans are white, of whom 87% are Christian and 1.4% are Jewish. 8.9% are Colored (i.e. mixed-race), of whom 87% are Christian, and 7.4% are Muslim. 2.5% are Indian or Asian, of whom 47.3% are Hindu, 24.6 are Muslim, and 24.4 are Christan, and 3.7% are Other.
Most Christians in South Africa are Protestant, with only 7.1% Catholic. Most Muslims in South Africa are either Indian/Asian or Colored, and most are Sunni, but some are Shiite. Surprisingly, only 8.2% speak English as their native language. 21.5% of adults in 2003 were HIV-positive, or 5.3m. In 2003, 370k died.
There have been several Islamic terrorist groups in South Africa carrying out terrorist acts the last several decades. Before Aparteid ended in the early 1990s, they fought against Apartied allied with Blacks. After Apartied, they have been vigilantes against criminals and drug trafficking. The murder, robbery and rape rates are sky-high in South Africa. The Qibla group is Shiite and Iranian-backed, while the Call to Islam and People Against Gangsterism and Drugs (PAGAD) are both Sunni. The rhetoric of these groups are anti-government, anti-Israel and anti-US, as one would expect.
Sudan: Christians are just 5% of the Sudanese population 41.2m, or about 2m.
Black Christians and Animists in southern Sudan speak dialects of the Nilo-Saharan group, and Arab northern Nigeria speaks Arabic.
In 2007, the Sudanese capital Khartoum has 121 priests ministering to 900k.[65]
In Sudan the Arab (or Arabized) Muslims have since July 2003 been ethnically cleansing the region of Darfur where Black Muslims live, just as they did to the 9m Animists and 2m Christians of southern Sudan since the 1950s. Darfur is in central-west Sudan.
The ethnic cleansings in Darfur and in South Sudan are of genocidal proportions:
► From July 2003 and early 2007, between 200k and 450k Sudanese have been killed in Darfur and 2.5m displaced, but the UN High Commission for Refugees (UNHCR) says the number is 1.8m displaced, of which 200k are refugees in eastern Chad. Arab militias in Chad harass these refugees, and in early 2007, the UN said they were in danger of being slaughtered by Chad Arab militias who emulate Sudanese Arab militias. In Apr 2007, 25 Sudanese janjaweed militiamen were killed as they arsoned two villages, killing 45 people and leaving 6k to 8k homeless. Also in Apr 2007, 30k Black Dadjo tribesmen in Chad were displaced by Arab militias
► The First and Second Sudanese Civil Wars raged between north Muslim Sudan and south Animist and Christian Sudan, for all but ten years between 1956 and 2005. 1956 is the year Sudan obtained independence from colonialist powers. More than 2m died and 4m were displaced, but another estimate says 2m died and 5m were displaced.
► In the 1990s, the Khartoum government of Sudan supported the Lord’s Resistance Army (LRA), a weird Christian sect that seeks to impose the Ten Commandments as the law of the land. The LRA operated in southern Sudan and northern Uganda against the Ugandan army, and the LRA still has not disbanded—at least as of 2006.
In 2005, the Muslim north and Christian south came up with a power-sharing agreement, the Comprehensive Peace Agreement (CPA). A referendum on independence for south Sudan is scheduled for 2011.
Sudan has some parallels to Saudi Arabia. Sudan relies on the revenue from oil that is mainly found in the south where Animists and Christian predominate while much of Saudi Arabia’s oil is found in Shiite areas on the Persian Gulf. In southern Sudan, the oil drilling companies are owned by China, India and Malaysia. They produce 330k barrels in southern Sudan per day, but northern Sudan keeps most of the profits that according to the CPA of 2005, are supposed to be split 50/50.
Sudan’s situation is also similar to Saddam-era Iraq in that Arab Sunnis relied on oil revenue mostly found in Shiite and Kurdish areas. Just as Saddam move Arabs into the areas with oil and otherwise Arabized the Kurds, so Sudan tries to move Arabs into Christian and Black Muslim areas where the oil is, that being in southern Sudan and Darfur in the west, respectively.
The CPA of 2005 is an example of a ruse used by Muslim government makes peace in order to lessen international pressure, but then delegates the war to volunteer Islamic militias. Arafat did the same when PA security forces did not fight Israel due to international pressure, but then paid the salaries of Fatah’s Al-Aqsa Brigade and other militiamen. Arafat said repeatedly that the Hudaybiyatreaty brokered by Muhammad inspired Arafat’s strategy.
Just Arafat did not reign in militias, but in fact encouraged them to fight Israel, so the Sudanese militias, such as the Janjawid, are not reigned in by the Khartoum government, but continue to attack more moderate Muslims and Christians in the south when they are not attacking in Darfur. In 2006 “militia armies clashed with forces linked to the Sudanese People’s Liberation Army (SPLA) in the southerly town of Malakal, leaving more than 300 people dead.” Christians and Animists staff the SPLA.
Jihad usually proceeds against the most exploitable people. After Muhammad brokered the Hudaybiya treaty with the Mekkans who were too strong at the time, he conquered small Jewish settlements and consolidated his strength until he could overwhelm Mekka. The Hudaybiya treaty precedent is why the Khartoum government made a quasi-peace with the Christian south in 2005, and then continued their attacks against Darfur.
Arab Sudanese object to the Darfur Muslim’s race, creed and dress, or at least the Janjawid militia is using these objections as pretexts for their attacks on Darfur. The Black Darfurs have a milder form of Islam, and wear traditional colorful African garb rather than the earth-tones common in Islamdom.
Ostensibly, the Jihad against the black Muslims in Darfur is a civil war to suppress the Sudan Liberation Army (SLA) and the Justice and Equality Movement (JEM), two groups that want more representation in the Sudanese parliament. The civil war fiction is meant as a fig leaf for ethnic cleansing and genocide. Spiegel reported:
Although both groups [SLA & JEM] are fighting for more rights for blacks in western Sudan, the members of JEM are also devout Muslims, many having been active in Islamist parties in the past.
Since 2003, the world has taken note of how Arab militias with Khartoum government-supplied weapons have been ethnic cleansing Darfur. Their genocide employs the more traditional tools of Jihad used along the frontiers of Islam, the same techniques used ever since battling the Byzantines. These are mass-murder, rape, and forcing boys into slavery, and girls and women into sex slavery, and taking ransoms on some. In 2007, 102 black slaves were freed from Arab masters. The result is that the Arab territory expands at the expense of Black Muslims.
It is worth noting here that Muhammad approved of his men raping infidel captives without practicing coitus interruptus, [66] allowed Muslims to have an unlimited number of sex-slaves (K 004:023-024, 092; 023:005; 033:050; 070:030), and allowed Muslims to pimp their slaves (K 024:033). Not surprisingly, therefore, Muslim immigrants in the West are known for their high rates of rape and gang rape of infidel women whom they might consider captives in the Koranic sense.
The extent to which Muslims engage in the sex-slave trade is not known, but Bedouins in Israel and the Sinai are known for smuggling eastern European women, mainly, into Israel to work at brothels. At any one time, 3k foreign women ply the trade in Israel. Christianity Today reported:
It is estimated 27m slaves still exist in the world today. An estimated 800k people are trafficked across international borders each year, with approximately 50% of all victims being children.
A high rate of Muslims raping infidels (among other crimes related to Jihad and dhimmitude) occurs everywhere in Islamdom, not just in the West. In Feb 2007, four Israeli Arab Muslims were convicted of gang-raping Israeli Jewish women, and when caught they said they did it was revenge against the Israeli army operations.
Crimes involved veils and niqabs, and women’s’ full-body coverings occur frequently. Muslim men will wear women’s full-body coverings to rob stores, escape the police, and escape the country since border guards rarely ask persons dressed in such coverings to remove their veils temporarily. Even Muslim women gangs will take advantage of the veil to commit crimes (see the Sweden section, below).
In Apr 2007, UK’s Times Online reported that Sudan painted its planes and helicopters white and used UN stencil markers in order to fool Darfur residents into not running away as they were being bombed and strafed. The planes also ferried arms to the janjawid militia and did reconnaissance.
Western Sahara: Western Sahara is nearly 100% Muslim. The CIA Factbook reads:
Morocco virtually annexed the northern two-thirds of Western Sahara (formerly Spanish Sahara) in 1976, and the rest of the territory in 1979, following Mauritania’s withdrawal. A guerrilla war with the Polisario Front contesting Rabat's sovereignty ended in a 1991 UN-brokered cease-fire; a UN-organized referendum on final status has been repeatedly postponed…. Morocco claims and administers Western Sahara, whose sovereignty remains unresolved; UN-administered cease-fire has remained in effect since Sep 1991, administered by the UN Mission for the Referendum in Western Sahara (MINURSO), but attempts to hold a referendum have failed and parties thus far have rejected all brokered proposals; several states have extended diplomatic relations to the ‘Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic’ represented by the Polisario Front in exile in Algeria, while others recognize Moroccan sovereignty over Western Sahara; most of the approximately 102k Sahrawi refugees are sheltered in camps in Tindouf, Algeria.
The developed regions of the world will maintain their 1.2b populations until 2050, but only because 2.2m immigrants will arrive from the undeveloped world each year. In Europe, only UK, France and Spain will have rising populations, but the other European countries including Russia will have falling populations: Belarus -28.2%, Bulgaria -35.2%, France +10.7%, Germany -10%, Italy -7%, Latvia –22.4%, Poland -20%, Romania -25.7%, Russia –24.3%, Spain +4.8%, UK +15% (from 60m to 69m), Ukraine -33%
Before taking up the Demographic case of each country in detail, a several pertinent topics are discussed (or at least links are provided): 1) the EU, 2) NATO, 3) Kyoto, 4) the population implosion of native Europeans, and 5) the population explosion of Muslim immigrants are discussed.
The European Union is primarily an economic union that relies on NATO and the US to meet its regional and global security needs. At some point, individual European countries may enter into trans-Atlantic free trade agreements with the US, or the EU may have free trade between super-national trade blocs representing continents.
In 2005, the EU spent 193b Euros, or 255b USD, on defense, roughly half of what the US spends on defense every year, not counting the extra expense of having soldiers in Iraq, Afghanistan, and elsewhere. Since each EU country has its own military, there is much reduplication so the EU has few troops and equipment left over for global force projection.
Lately, in the EU there is massive immigration from E to W Europe, as Spiegel reported:
The Labor Ministry in Warsaw estimates that 2m out of a total of 38m Polish citizens are currently seeking their fortunes outside their home country. Ireland alone is home to 196k Polish workers. More than 60k Latvians and tens of thousands of Lithuanians have also turned their backs on the Baltic in search of opportunities for a better life they couldn’t find at home. It’s a mass migration on a minor scale.
Those leaving Eastern Europe belong to the most economically important layers of society. Most of the immigrants are younger than 35, and one-fourth have completed their higher education. They want more money, a nicer apartment, to establish a career faster, better daycare and schools for their children, good universities and well-equipped hospitals. One consequence is that both Poland with its 14% unemployment rate and Slovakia, where the rate is 13.3%, now suffer from a lack of qualified workers….
Conservative estimates suggest that 200k Bulgarians will make their way to Western Europe during the coming years. EU regulations allow them to live and work wherever they want, now that Sofia has become a member state…
The situation in the public sector is worse. Even the miserable wages of Western nurses are attractive to trained nurses from Eastern Europe. And doctors can easily earn 10 times more than they do back home.[67]
NATO is the US and European defense alliance. NATO is expected to expand in the next few years to include Albania, Croatia, Georgia, Macedonia and Ukraine. One would suspect that at this rate, NATO and EU might have contiguous borders soon. NATO cooperates with Israel as a partner, but there has only been talk of Israel becoming a full-fledge NATO member.
Germany, the UK, Japan, Russia and other Eurasian countries are the biggest proponents of the Kyoto climate change treaty that entails cutting back CO2 emissions to early 1990s levels. Why 1990s levels? Because:
► Europe’s economies did not grow as fast as other countries economies since 1990, meaning Europe hardly has to cut back atall. East Germany’s economy along with all the former communist nations’ economies contracted after the USSR broke up. Thus, Europe just needs to over-regulate and micro-manage some energy-intensive industries until they flee to offshore locations to meet their CO2 emission reduction goals.
► European countries and Russia tend to have birthrates well below the replacement rate of 2.1. Thus, their graying, retiring and shrinking populations will naturally use less fossil fuel. Meanwhile, these pro-Kyoto countries want the US, China India and the rest of the world to cut back on emissions at the same rate even though they have growing populations and growing economies.
► Individual proponents of Global Warming, from scientists to politicians and former politicians, are positioning themselves to profit off Global Warming. For instance, Al Gore came out with the movie and book An Inconvenient Truth, and declared that the Global Warming debate was finished. Later is was discovered that Al Gore had stock in a company that sells carbon offsets, mainly to the rich in order to ease their guilty conscience.
It is theorized that the same company would serve as a carbon offset trading firm between industries and nations if Kyoto ever kicked in—meaning Al Gore would pocket the profits on the massive fees it would charge clients—similar to how the military-industro-complex works.
► Kyoto proponent nations plan to have spare carbon credits that they can sell to other nations as carbon offsets. Kyoto proponent nations also plan to penalize non-Kyoto treaty signing nations, thereby enriching themselves based on the credits and fines. In other words, the developing nations will be paying for the healthcare and retirements of socialist developed nations. For instance, World Politics Watch reported:
The Protocol requires that Russia’s greenhouse gas emissions be reduced by some 17.4% by 2012, as compared to 1990 levels. Since the collapse of the Soviet Union already brought with it an emissions reduction of some 30%, Russia is in the comfortable position of not having to place any particular restrictions on its currently booming economy. According to the estimate of the German Institute for Economic Research, the country could, moreover, earn up to $20 billion through the sale of emission rights.[68]
Lately, more Climate Change scientists have begun to doubt their hockey-stick projections, and now think that the earth will warm up more than a degree or two. Also, they say melting polar ice and thermal expansion of the oceans will only result in 17 inches of ocean water.
Many scientists think that the earth overall may be more habitable for man and beast if it were slightly warmer, as it was during the Medieval Warming Period. Finally, many scientists says the sun entered its cooler phase of its multi-decadal cyclical period in 1990 and will reach its solar minimum in 2040, so the degree of warming the earth has had recently will be reversed starting in 2022 or 2027. Their main proof is that other planets and their moons with atmospheres are also undergoing global warming. For instance, Mars recently lost its polar icecap that was made of frozen carbon dioxide mainly.
The Kyoto Treaty is set to expire in 2012. One can predict that Kyoto II will only be a shadow of Kyoto I because already the downgraded warnings about warming has led to non-enforcement—even as EU countries miss their targeted reductions, or even increase C02 emissions. Of course, every so often, as in 2007, they renew their intentions but there is little follow-thru on the order it would take to meet emissions reduction targets, especially since reducing CO2 emission is so costly. Also, in 2007 China surpassed the US in CO2 emissions, so the US is no longer the whipping boy.
Few countries have even taken the first obvious steps of conserving energy and putting wind farms on top of every hill. No countries have banned, say, gas-guzzlers in favor of hybrids vehicles, incandescent light bulbs in favor of swirl fluorescents, CRTs and plasma screens in favor of LCD TVs and PC monitors, outdoor lamps without light sensors, and 2- and 4-slot toasters without individual-slot operation. Also, no country has banned mid- to upper-latitude immigration because multiculturalism trumps environmental concerns, as Dick Field wrote:
Every immigrant from a tropical or semi-tropical climate such as the Caribbean, Central and South America, Africa, the Indian Sub Continent, Hong Kong, southern China, South East Asia, the Burmese/Malay peninsula, the Philippine archipelago and the Middle East requires huge additional amounts of carbon based energy to survive in North American and European climates. This additional consumption of fossil based energy creates huge amounts of carbon dioxide and other chemicals and hence, atmospheric pollution.
In climates where not much more than a tee shirt and shorts plus minimal housing is needed to stay warm, dry and alive, little consumption of energy is required. However, in cold climates such as Europe, Canada, Russia and most of the US, the additional consumption of energy for synthetic and natural fibre winter clothing, heated housing, gasoline and diesel powered transportation is enormous.
The northern latitudes are where most hydrocarbons are burnt. Spiegel reported:
Mankind burns up to 10m tons of crude oil a day, 12.5m tons of hard coal and 7.5 billion cubic meters of natural gas.
Spiegel elsewhere reported:
The average Bangladeshi produces just 178 kilograms of carbon dioxide per year -- a mere drop in the bucket compared to the 21 tons per capita released annually by Americans.
That Climate Change is becoming less of a concern to many is good news because politicians have been using Kyoto as an excuse for ducking a more pressing and uglier issue, that being the population implosion and the Demographic Jihad.
Due to Europe’s declining birthrate and social system that guarantees generous pensions, full and free healthcare and early retirement, those trying to enter the workforce or in the workforce are squeezed, as well as the employers. The workers and the employers must foot the bill for the socialistic system where the number of beneficiaries increases every year.
Under such a strain, European firms cannot be very competitive in the global economy, so job creation is slow. Many cannot find jobs, even those who are well educated, the jobs that are available often pay less then in previous decades in terms of buying power, and the housing is expensive.
That is a cursory description of the situation in France, Germany, Italy and other countries, but a few countries such as Spain and Ireland have never had it so good as today. Perhaps this too is passing and they will join the club of misery as the wheel of demography spins.
Some politicians and pundits have noted that the younger generation resists any changes in the system because they want the same benefits as their parents. It seems true there is a love-hate relationship with socialism, and those who have good jobs and job security, and refer to themselves as “job owners,” are quite content with the system. However, it seems that what the younger generation was really objecting to was reforming the system only for the young without commensurate cuts of benefits and protections for older workers and retirees. In other words, the politicians wanted to have two Europes: a capitalistic Europe for the young that supported a socialistic Europe for older workers.
That just-described melding of a capitalistic system with a socialistic system would be rather like what is in place in America. The 20% or so of people with pensions live out a socialistic existence with all medical expenses met by their former employers or the government while the 80% of Americans without pensions live in a capitalistic system that supports the 20% in the socialistic system. Also, in America, younger people will by law only receive retirement benefits later, i.e., instead of at 63 or 65 years of age, it will be 67 and 70. In other words, it’s a pyramid scheme where 80% form the capitalistic base that supports the 20% of socialistic beneficiaries who cap the pyramid.
Wikipedia has entries on Islam for many countries, including countries in Europe, for example: France, Italy and Europe. Here is an interesting Wikipedia map of dominant religions in Europe and part of Mideast.
Estimates of the number of Muslims in Europe varies greatly mainly because census data does not include religion, some estimates include the Balkans and all EU states while some do not, and because some surveys count all Turks, Algerians and Pakistanis and others as being Muslim even though many do not self-identify as Muslim.
No one is disputing the fact that Muslims have increased their numbers greatly in Europe due to an elevated birth rate and immigration (legal and otherwise) since 1970 without many people taking any notice until after 9/11. For instance:
► Muslims in “Switzerland has grown from 16k to 310k during the past four decades.”[69]
► In Germany, there are about 1m Muslims in 2006 “compared to 56k at the beginning of the 1980s.”[70]
The problem is that surveys and studies diverge greatly on the estimates of numbers of Muslims in the EU, as well as the projected numbers of Muslims in 2025, 2050 and 2100. For instance, note below how the Eurostat study says the EU is 15.7% Muslim in 2007, while the CIA and NIC says the number of Muslims is nearer to 3%:
► There are 14.3m Muslims in the EU, which is 3.12% of the 460.8m EU citizens, according to the CIA Factbook.
► The European Union agency Eurostat in Luxembourg polled 27k in 2007 and found that about a quarter of the EU populace is only nominally religious, and 25.4 are non-religious. Also, 49.5% are Catholic, 15.7% Muslim, 12.7% Protestant, 8.6% Orthodox, 0.4% Jews.[71]
► The Zentral-Institut Islam-Archiv-Deutschland says there are 53.7m Muslims in Europe in 2007, or 7.9% of 680m. In the EU, 15.9m are Muslim, or about 3.2% of 494.7m EU citizens. There are 25m Muslims in Russia and 5.9m in the European part of Turkey. Of EU citizens, 224.5m (45.4%) are Roman Catholic, 115m (23.25%) are atheist, 57.8m (11.7%) are protestant, 39m are Orthodox (7.9%), 15.9m (3.2%) are Muslim, 1.5m (0.3%) are Jewish, and 41m (8.3%) are Other.
► The NIC, the US federal government’s National Intelligence Council, says there are 20m Muslims in Europe, and Muslims would double to 40m by 2025.[72] In other words, Muslims are 2.86% of Europe’s 700m-population in 2006, and would be 5.71% of the population by 2025.
While I am not able to resolve or explain the differences between the estimates and projections, for the purposes of this study, I will assume that the CIA and NIC estimates are more accurate. Incidentally, in 2007 Philip Jenkens agrees and says in the third book of his population trilogy (God’s Continent: Christianity, Islam, and Europe’s Religious Crisis) that by 2050 there will only be 30m Muslims in Europe. Consequently, Jenkins only sees a “soft Islamization” of Europe rather than a takeover of Europe.
One study says there will be 628m Europeans in 2050, down from the 700m there are today. Another study says there will be 653m in 2050. Most estimates on Europe’s population assume that 72+m Turks will not become EU members by 2025 or even 2050. If Turkey did join the EU, that would give the total number of EU residents a boost, and the number of EU Muslims an immediate boost of 9.3%, to about 12% or 12.5%.
The small discrepancies between the number of Muslims in the EU and Europe in the above studies may have resulted because:
► It is all within the margin error given that the studies are based more on estimates than hard data.
► Not all European countries are members of the EU.
► The EU has been enlarging incrementally since the breakup of the USSR, so data on the EU becomes dated each time another country joins the EU.
One study says that Muslims are 5% of the EU populace in 2006, and that by 2020 the EU will be 10% Muslim.[73] However, the 5% Muslim figure seems high given that the CIA said Muslims were only 3.12% of EU’s population in 2006, and the NIC said only 2.86%. So if Muslims are supposed to double in number by 2020, then by the NIC and CIA numbers, they would only be between 5.72 to 6.24% of EU’s population.
The majority of native Europeans have few children, if any, and they are getting beyond the childbearing years. In 2006 native Europeans have a birthrate of 1.47 Children Per Woman (CPW), well below the replacement rate of 2.1 CPW. To use another yardstick, Europeans average 10 babies for every 1k citizens per year, with the UK average being 12 newborns, “while in France and Germany the average is 9.” Average life expectancy in Europe is 79. By comparison, Israel average 24 babies per 1k Israelis, and the life expectancy is 80.
Michael Freund reported on a 2006 International Journal of Andrology study:
At the bottom of the list are Spain, Italy and Greece, where birthrates hover around just 1.3 per couple, leading some forecasters to suggest, for example, that Italy’s population could shrink by one-third by the middle of the century. Others, such as Germany’s 1.37 CPW, the UK’s 1.74 and Sweden’s 1.75, aren’t all much better.[74]
The just-described study found that the birthrate has been below replacement levels in many EU states since 1982. The study also concluded that since 2003 more people have died than were born in the EU as a whole. This phenomenon of negative natural growth had already started in Germany, Bulgaria and Hungary in 1990, and spread to twelve other countries by 2002. Bulgaria is an interesting population implosion case, since there are near 1m Muslims who make up 12.2% of the population.
The sub-replacement birthrate in the 1980s came after a century of declining birthrates. The big decline of the birthrate is explained for the most part by American demographer Warren Thompson’s Demographic Transition theory, devised in 1929. The birthrate drops as the population moves from a rural-agrarian to an urban-manufacturing to an urban-information and services economy. While society need not try to reverse the trends to go back to urban-agrarian birthrates, it needs to reverse the subreplacement rate unless society wants to go extinct, and suffer in the process.
Worthy of note is the processes driving down the birthrate in Europe are at work in America too, although it is harder to see because there are really two Americas: white and black America and the Hispanic America. The white and black America is in the same boat as Europeans with a subreplacment birth rate, and the Hispanic America will take a generation before the same economic pressures bring them to the same point.
In both Europe and America, the taxation rate on the majority of the population is too high. In Europe, the taxation is real taxation, but in America, the taxation takes the form of a low minimum wage that depresses wages across the board.
In the 1960s, the US minimum wage in today’s dollars was over 10 or 11 USD per hour, but since then the minimum wage has been nearly halved. Even then, the rich and socialistic unions and their workers hoarded wealth. Now in 2007 there are clearly two Americas: Many are homeless, the poor go without amenities and are lucky to get even substandard healthcare, and the middleclass is fearful of becoming indigent overnight due to potential health problems or being laid off or fired. Meanwhile, many of the rich, who are no longer just a tiny minority, have Darwinian attitudes, have humungous houses and live high on the hog, and are one prayer away from being charged by God with a damnable sin (Deu 15:09; Mat 19:24). Anyway, the homeless all ought to all receive medals, for it is the money not spent on the homeless that has made America strong militarily, and the land of opportunity for many.
Employers argue that a lower minimum wage increases employment. It does in the short-term, but it also has the side effect of depressing the birthrate to subreplacement levels. Also, employees cannot improve their hirability because they cannot afford to take technical classes, at least without massive government assistance which is hard to come by. As a result, nowadays employers are complaining of two things: not having enough workers, and not having enough qualified workers. This, of course, is all their own doing.
There are many variables involved with fertility. The worldwide Baby Boom was credited to soldiers returning from service, for example. Another big factor is the decline of church attendance. Previously, marriageable partners could readily be found in church, but church attendance has declined to unbelievably (pun intended) low levels. Internet dating services are costly and poor alternative, because church is what shaped and rehabilitated many people and made them marriageable, but the internet has no such salutary effect on daters, and probably has a deleterious effect.
Another factor that might explain the drop in fertility is music preferences. From the 1950s on, pop music became increasingly anarchic, and not suitable for relationship building. However, in the 1990s country music became more hip and involved more dancing at local bars in the US.
In the 1970s, synthesizer music, later dubbed Techno music, became popular in Europe and Japan. It is mean to mimic machines and hence has no soul or emotion to it, just artificial intelligence. Many would agree that this music is incapable of producing any romantic feelings in its hearers, and is, if anything, anti-romantic. Unsurprisingly, there is a direct relationship between the popularity of Techno music and a low fertility rate.
Muslims, by contrast to Westerners, tend to be younger and have four children per women on average, though the Muslim birthrate is dropping across the globe. Wikipedia’s article on Developed Nation’s Population Decline reports:
Many European countries, including France, Italy and Poland, have offered some combination of bonuses and monthly payments to families.
Wikipedia quotes the NY Times on parental incentives:
President Vladimir V. Putin directed Parliament on Wednesday to adopt a 10-year program to stop the sharp decline in Russia’s population, principally by offering financial incentives and subsidies to encourage women to have children…Australia offers a $4,100 bonus for every baby plus additional fortnightly payments, a free immunization scheme and recently proposed to pay all child care costs for women who want to work. Many European countries, including France, Italy and Poland, have offered some combination of bonuses and monthly payments to families. Some Japanese localities, facing significant population loss, are offering economic incentives. Yamatsuri, a town of 7k just north of Tokyo, offers parents $4,600 for the birth of a child and $460 a year for 10 years. Singapore has a particularly lavish plan: $3k for the first child, $9k in cash and savings for the second; and up to $18k each for the third and fourth.
The birth dearth on the part of native Europeans and the fact that Muslim families are larger on average leads to the ponderous question of: why? There are so many variables involved that one can say it is systemic. It is, however, well known that secular people have fewer children than religious folk who read the Bible where it says children are a blessing from God, and God tells Adam and Eve to reproduce and multiply.
Oskari Juurikkala wrote that the main reason that couples are childlessness or only have one child is children are not seen as having much worth, or as being a luxury that few can afford.[75] There are a number measures countries can take to end the birth dearth. First, one could increase the minimum wage so more people can improve their situation enough to have a family rather than living hand-to-mouth from cradle-to-grave. Second, one could make children worth something by taking certain steps, of which here are a few examples:
► The more people have children, the more people will feel that not having children is abnormal. One way to go about this is to restrict abortion. Poland and Ireland have always restricted abortion. A few years ago Russia restricted the availability of abortions to stem its population implosion. At the same time some regions in Russia offered incentives for growing families such as houses and vehicles. Portugal and several other Catholic-majority countries outside of Europe have always restricted abortion, so only Catholic countries in Europe are experiencing sub-replacement rate birthrates. When more families have children, this reduces class disparities and tension. The way it is now, couples with several children are often financially broke and are in a lower class than those couples without children or few children. Why? Simply because couples without children have more disposable income and spend it loosely, thereby driving up the price of everything that families need—from homes, to food, to education.
► Tax monies should not go to Planned Parenthood that makes a lot of money off abortion procedures, and other similar walk-in pregnancy counseling centers that push abortion. Nor should the taxpayer have to subsidize organizations whose philosophy involves eugenics, population control, or sex selection. Many birth defects such as cleft palette are correctable, but some pregnancy counseling centers will advise abortion even though abortion has many potential side effects such as infertility. These same centers would hardly sympathize with a country’s population implosion concerns, or a couple’s future fertility, since many people think that the earth can only sustain 2b people as it is. Moreover, they figure a gender imbalance will lead to a lower population if many people cannot find a spouse.
► Countries could ensure that people with children would receive better healthcare owing to the fact that they have more dependants who need them around and healthy. This is not unprecedented. For instance, people with healthier lifestyles receive a higher priority for organ transplants. It was proposed first in 2006 in the UK that those with manifestly bad lifestyles (smoking, alcoholic, drug abusers, etc) would receive less priority when it came to health treatment unless they mended their ways. Then in 2007, it was proposed that a UK doctor could tell a person to lose weight or quit smoking before they were eligible for an operation. In Israel a person who wants an elective operation might have to wait a year or more.
► Countries could lower the eligibility age for retirement for parents so they could collect on social security and medical care payments sooner. This is not unprecedented either. In the US people could retire and collect social security when they were 63. However, the program became more expensive as benefits were added such as prescription coverage, and as the worker-retiree ratio plummeted. So now the system is tiered and depending on when a person was born, he gains eligibility when he reaches age 67 or 70.
► Parents could be guaranteed benefits first. In the unlikely case of a 1930s Depression-era like economic meltdown, parents would be covered first and best.
► In the US it was found that replacing pensions with portable 401k retirement accounts allowed women to take off time for having children. In order to be vested in a pension plan, one had to work at the same company for six or twenty years, depending on company policy. One could only retire with benefits after 20 or 30 years. Men and women alike risked losing everything if they did not work the minimum time required to be vested in the pension plan. 401k plans are portable, so this allows women to leave one company, raise a family, and return to work, often at a different company, while retaining retirement benefits.
► The government could subsidize match-making/dating websites that make public records available free before the first date. Moreover, the government could subsidize adoption sites. Some Blacks in the US say that adoption is not a good option and they must opt for abortion because people are slow to adopt Black children with disabilities. However, if the Website went global, people in countries with socialized medicine could adopt babies of any race from anywhere without facing financial ruin at the hands of hospitals. Moreover, when every baby is wanted for adoption a hundred times over, every baby will manifestly be a wanted child.
Muslim communities flourish with the help of European and Israeli socialism. In the US, by contrast, there is only a social safety net that is not designed to support large families mostly on dole, but it has been scammed, of course. In several cities in Europe a quarter to half of babies are Muslim, the most common boy and girl names are Muhammad (or Mohammed) and Sara.
Another problem for Europe, but especially for all the countries and islands on the Mediterranean, is the growing number of Muslims in Africa and Asia who may attempt to immigrate into Europe through various channels. This is similar to how 200m Muslims are just a boat ride away from sparsely populated Australia. Ioannis Michaletos wrote about Europe’s situation today verses the 1970s:
In the 50’s the population of Greece was 7m people, while the one of Turkey was 21m, a 1:3 analogy. Nowadays Greece encompasses 11.1m citizens and Turkey 70m. Therefore the analogy is 1:7 and that may explain to an extent the roots of the current Greek-Turkish rivalry and brinkmanship.
Continuing in the early 70’s the Maghrib states of Algeria, Morocco, Tunisia, Libya, and Egypt had a population of 70m. In the same period the Mediterranean European states, France, Spain, Portugal, Italy and Greece, were populated in total by 160m people. Today the numbers are 150m for North Africa and 180m for Southern Europe.
The trajectory for the year 2050 will be 250m for North Africa and just 150m for Southern Europe. In essence, a population gap in Mediterranean Europe will be in stark contrast with an incredible increase in states just a few nautical miles from their shores. [76]
Some Anticipate a Eurabian Civil War
While European countries are unlikely to become majority Muslim for another century, many Europeans cities likely will become majority Muslim by say 2025. “White Flight,” which is already occurring in 2007, hastens the process.
White Flight is where native Europeans practice avoidance behavior when it comes to Muslims “problems” and terrorism, that is, the natives flee the cities where Muslim immigrants congregate, and move out to the suburbs, exurbs, market towns and countryside. Some even pack their bags and leave the country to go to the US, Australia and sundry locations where life is perceived to be more pleasant.
White Flight has begun because people are starting to heed Bernard Lewis’ warning about Europe going Islamic by 2100. The trickle of those leaving Europe is becoming a stream, but not a river yet. It is hard to get exact numbers due to scant reporting, and only the nationality but not religion is registered. Nevertheless, Brussels Journal blog has some stats on people fleeing Sweden, Germany, Holland and Britain.
Gunnar Heinsohn of Germany thinks that White Flight will become a major problem for Europe before 2030 since the Muslim “youth bulge” will surround Europe and be in Europe:
When 15 to 24-year-olds make up 20 per cent or more of the population, a society shows a ‘youth bulge,’ in the words of Gary Fuller, director of population studies at the University of Hawaii.
When 15-29 year-olds make up more than 30 per cent of a society, argues Heinsohn, who’s a social scientist at the University of Bremen, violence is practically inevitable….
Of the 27 biggest youth-bulge nations today, 13 are Muslim. A decade from now, Islamic countries will make up a quarter of the world’s population. Maybe this is what the late Hamas leader Abdel Aziz Rantisi meant when he spoke of ‘the century of Islam.’
What does this mean for America? Demographically speaking, Washington can hardly afford to be involved in a two-front war. Facing a manpower shortage, Heinsohn predicts that a future America will leave its fortress only if its security is directly threatened.
The Islamic youth bulge worldwide won’t start to shrink until 2015. Against such demographic threats, America and Canada are the only geographic entities even theoretically capable of shielding themselves. The very thought of trying to do so would be anathema in most of Europe.
Heinsohn contends that by 2030 many of Europe’s more savvy non-Muslim youth will have already left for sanctuary in the US.[77]
As was quoted near the start of the study, Jens Orback, Democracy Minister in the Swedish said during a radio debate:
We must be open and tolerant towards Islam and Muslims because when we become a minority, they will be so towards us.
So it is not surprising to read in The Local, an English language Swedish newspaper, that:
► Sweden’s emigration level jumped 18% in one year—between 2005 and 2006. 44,908 people, mostly Swedes, but a few Finns, Danes and Norwegians, emigrated in 2006. This nearly broke the record set in 1892 when 45,504 left.
► Meanwhile, 15,320 Swedes returned to Sweden along with 80,430 foreigners, of which 17,501 were from Muslim-majority countries: Afghanistan (1,669), Iran (2,008) Iraq (10,850) and Somalia (2,974).
► When one adds up the numbers, there was a net loss of up to 29,588 ethnic Swedes while Muslim gained about 17,501 for their community.
Terrorism in subways and trains and other attacks on infidels have already begun and is bound to escalate, resulting in the de facto ethnic cleansing of neighborhoods, if not entire towns and cities. One can tell a city is going Muslim when the number one boy’s name is Muhammad and the number two name is Mohammed, i.e., a variant spelling.
A few cities to watch are London, Paris, Berlin, Oslo in Norway, Malmo in Sweden, and Amsterdam, Antwerp, Brussels, Leuven, Mechelen, Rotterdam, The Hague and Utrecht, all in the Netherlands. Amsterdam and Rotterdam are on track to be Muslim-majority as soon as 2015.
Bernard Lewis predicted in 2004 that “…Europe will be Islamic by the end of the century,” meaning by 2100 AD.[78] Lewis presumably means by Europe the Western part from Germany to Italy, the part never behind the Iron Curtain. If 72m Turks joined the EU, “Muslims could account for 1 in 5 Europeans by 2050,” “Europeans” here meaning the entire expanded EU.[79]
That Europe and Russia seem slated for Islamic-related turmoil means that people are already trickling out of Europe with this in mind, and this may become a stream at some point in the future.
Investors may also be contemplating emerging demographics when making investments that require long-term profitability to be feasible, or when purchasing long-lived products that need parts and servicing such as trains, planes, ships, pipelines, power plants and satellites. Perhaps this explains some of Airbus’ woes starting in 2006 and Galileo GPS satellite woes in 2007.
Philip Jenkins stated in 2005:
I have an image in my mind from Lebanon. I don’t know how many of you remember some of the images of that war but some of them were so much from a science-fiction fantasy. The key battle in Beirut in 1976 was the battle of the Holiday Inn, and you have the battles of the hotels, when Shiite militias finally put enough cannon in the Ramada to take out the Holiday Inn. Sometimes I wonder if something like that might be a face of civil conflict in Europe. However, I would be most alarmed not where you necessarily have a growing population or a shrinking population, but where a growing poor population meets a shrinking rich population. That to me would seem to be a Lebanon in the making.[80]
Anti-Semitism Increasingly an Islamic Phenomenon
Philip Jenkins stated in 2005:
If you want to understand just how dramatic the youth collapse is in Europe, think about this: why has Europe in the last 10 or 20 years not produced mass anti-immigrant movements, mass paramilitary forces or violent militias directed against immigration? The answer is that the sort of teenagers and young adults who would be expected to form those groups—the skinhead militias—aren’t there….
There aren’t as many skinheads around Europe as in the 60s and 70s it seems, but there still are plenty of skinhead gangs around the world as evidenced by their demonstrations, their graffiti, and more than occasional violence in places as varied as Canada, Spain, Boise, Idaho, and even in Israel.
Lately the Neo-Nazis have been intimidating and attacking foreigners in European cities like Berlin, Wiesbaden, and in Moscow, Kiev, St. Petersburg, and in Russia’s far eastern quarter. The attacks often lead crippling disabilities, if not death, and the victims are often Jewish, or Black immigrants. The Stephen Roth Institute for the Study of Contemporary Anti-Semitism and Racism in Tel Aviv summarizes the trends in Europe as of 2006:
A total of 324 violent incidents was registered in Europe, higher than in other regions of the world. The highest number of anti-Semitic acts committed in the UK in the last 20 years was registered. The statistics in France and Belgium also show an increase in anti-Semitism. Germany remained steady but high, holding the record for desecrating cemeteries and Holocaust-memorial monuments.
Haaretz reported:
In 2006, incidents of harassment at schools and Jewish community centers also doubled from 2005. The number of synagogues desecrated also rose by a third. The countries with the greatest rise in anti-Semitism were Great Britain, Australia, France and Canada. In Great Britain, the number of violent anti-Semitic incidents was highest in the past 20 years, as more than 100 Jews were assaulted. The number of violent incidents in France rose by 45% and doubled in Canada.[81]
Jerusalem Post reported:
The breakdown of anti-Semitic incidents worldwide is heavily tilted toward Western Europe, which witnessed 54% of them, followed by North America - whose Jewish population is over five times the size of Western Europe's - with just 17% and the former Soviet Union with 13%.
Britain, with 136 "major violent incidents," saw a 20-year high in 2006. France, with 97 such incidents, witnessed a 45% increase and the French-speaking regions of Canada saw a doubling of violent attacks over a year earlier.
Asked if the high numbers of attacks in France, Britain and the FSU weren't simply due to the relatively large Jewish communities there, Stauber said the attacks had increased over the years in each country, and that attacks now tended to target people rather than Jewish buildings or graves.
According to the report, desecration of graves accounted for 53% of the incidents in 1999 (60 recorded attacks). Even though such attacks rose by 50% by 2006, their share of total attacks shrank to 16% of the total in 2006, while attacks on people - usually in the street - grew to 47% of the total.[82]
Polltakers have noticed a sharp drop in traditional and racial anti-Semitic attitudes among Germans in recent years.[83] If one wants to count sympathizing with Palestinians more than Israel (Palestinianization) as being anti-Semitic, then there is more anti-Semitism in Europe than ever, especially on campuses and in the press. After all, Bat Ye’or doesn’t call Europe Eurabia for nothing.
Racism and anti-Semitism is common in soccer stadiums around the EU, especially in Germany. Soccer stadiums are rife with fan violence, and racist taunts of Black and Jewish players mainly, and incidents outside the stadiums, too.
While anti-Semitism is decreasing and is latent among native Europeans generally, the ruling elite has finally been mugged by the reality that Islamism is linked to visceral Koran and Hadith-based anti-Semitism. In 2003 the European Monitoring Centre on Racism and Xenophobia found that the majority of the anti-Semitic attacks against Jews and Jewish cemeteries were by Muslims. Haaretz reported that in 2006:
A report released by the British parliament indicated that Islamist and radical leftist sources were responsible for the heightened anti-Semitism in the United Kingdom. A German study pointed to the widespread use of anti-Semitic slurs in schools, particularly by Muslim students.[84]
The Jewish Agency noted in their report on anti-Semitism in 2006:
The threat faced by the Jewish Diaspora from the global jihad movement was also highlighted, as was a statement by al-Qaeda’s number two Ayman al-Zawahri, who said: ‘The strongest way of helping our Muslim brothers is to stroke the interests of the Jews and those who cooperate with them.’
The Jerusalem Post reported:
In France, Russia, Austria, Germany and Scandinavia there were sharp rises in anti-Semitic incidents while in Britain the number of incidents remained steady at 312….France, which has Europe's largest Muslim community at about 6m, led the world with the highest number of anti-Semitic incidents. There were 360 incidents of violence, property damage, desecration of sites, invective inscriptions or propaganda leveled against France's Jews in 2006, a 20% rise compared to 2005. Bagneux, Paris was the scene of one of two anti-Semitic murders recorded by the forum. In January 2006 Ilan Halimi was kidnapped, tortured for three weeks and left to die by a group of African Muslims calling themselves the Barbarians. According to reports in the media, including The New York Times, residents of the predominantly Muslim Parisian neighborhood knew of the kidnapping and torture, but did not notify the police….‘Muslim populations are growing in Europe and so is anti-Semitism,’ said Bielski…[85]
Ynet.com reported: “…being in Jewish in France meant “encountering anti-Semitism frequently.” In Apr 2007, a poll of 980 Jews revealed:
“12% of French Jews polled said that they had personally suffered anti-Semitism over the last several months.”
That Muslim youth are perpetrating most of the anti-Semitic acts in Europe even though they are minority there is explained by the fact that there is an increasingly number of Muslim youths in Europe coming from large families that roam the neighborhoods and are raised on the anti-Semitic Koran. By contrast, since 1982 native European women have only had one-point-something Children per Women, which is well below the replacement rate. Naturally, “momma’s boys” are less likely to roam the neighborhoods, spray paint anti-Semitic graffiti, and insult and beat up Jews.
Albania: Albania is located right above Greece. 2.2m out of 3.1m Albanians are Sunni Muslim, or 70%. Another estimate says there are 3.5m Albanians. 20% are Albanian Orthodox and 10% are Roman Catholic. Many of the world’s 44m Romani (Gypsies) are nomadic and live in the Balkans, including in Albania.
The Washington Post reported on the current situation in 2007:
Christian missionaries and Muslim imams have arrived in large numbers, hoping to attract new followers among the population of 3.5m. Libya, Egypt, Malaysia and other Muslim countries have paid for hundreds of Albanians to study religion in their countries and return here to teach. Many of Albania’s top religious leaders come from abroad—one Catholic archbishop is Italian, another is a former New Yorker, and the head of the Orthodox Church is Greek.
Austria: 339k out of 8.2m Austrians are Muslim, or 4.1%. The Zentral-Institut Islam-Archiv-Deutschland says there are 350k Muslims in Austria in 2007.
UK’s Prospect magazine reported in 2006: assuming there would be 20k immigrants per year (not all Muslim), Muslims would constitute “between 14 and 26 per cent of the population in 2050.” The Population Council reported that 8.1m Austrians would be reduced to 6.3m without immigration by 2050. Foreigners would constitute 28% by 2050 at current levels of immigration, but not all these are Muslim.
Azerbaijan: Spiegel reports that ethnic Armenians in a highlands province called Nagorno-Karabakh broke away from Azerbaijan after the Soviet Union dissolved. Armenia helped the insurgents, and in 2006 Armenian troops occupy an eighth of Azerbaijani territory. The conflict claimed 30k lives and displaced 1m people.
Belgium: 400k out of 10.3m Belgians are Muslim, 4%. “A majority of Belgium’s Muslims are of Moroccan or Turkish origin; many others are from Albania.”[86]
The total number of circumcised women in Belgium is estimated at 2,745. The total number of young women under 14 that run a great risk of genital mutilation is 534. In Antwerp the number is 409 women and 90 young girls. The data is from Ghent researcher Els Leye and was published as part of a day against female genital mutilation.
Most circumcised women come from Ghana (343), Congo (331) and Guinea (240). The numbers are almost certainly underestimated because they do not include asylum seekers and illegal immigrants
At least 2m women are circumcised yearly around the world, mostly in Africa. Female circumcision occurs more and more in Belgium, in kitchens and back rooms. Female circumcision is punishable by up to 7 years in prison. No legal process was started on that count till today.
Islam in Europe wrote that when Moroccans first came to Belgium, it was thought that marriage to Moroccans back in the old country would decrease overtime, but the exact opposite occurred. In 1979 41.4% of marriages were to partners living in Morocco, and in 2003 it was 65.4%. “A Belgian study from 1999 shows that about 25% of Turkish and Moroccan women married under coercion.”
Due to new restrictions, “The amount of asylum requests in 2006 is an all time low since 1990,” 10,207 asylum seekers were in Belgium in 2006, and 11,725 were expelled or turned away. 3,291 asylum seekers were given permanent residence and 2,101 temporary residency.
In 2000, the Quick Citizenship Act was passed. “Citizenship is available after seven years.”[87] The Quick Citizenship Act creates “337,904 ‘new Belgians’ – an average of 4,277 per month.” Belgium allows its immigrants to vote so anti-immigration parties like Vlaams Belang are at a disadvantage. Paul Belien wrote:
Belgium is an artificial country, consisting of 6m Dutch-speaking Flemings and 4m French-speaking Walloons. The Francophile Belgian authorities reckon that foreigners will not feel much loyalty to Flanders because most of them speak French. Brussels, which used to be Dutch-speaking, has become a French-speaking enclave in Flanders.
Today, 589 of the 661 elected local councilors in Brussels are French-speaking. 170 of the 661 Brussels councilors are ‘new Belgians’ or foreigners. Most of them are Muslims. 168 of the 170 foreign councilors are registered as Francophone. Foreigners make up 28.5% of the French-speaking and 3% of the Dutch-speaking councilors.[88]
Catholics and French speakers are generally fonder of Muslims than Protestants, perhaps due to their long proximity and Vatican II’s Nostra Aetate declaration of 1965 where Catholics are instructed to “esteem” Muslims. It also seems that French-speaking Catholics in Belgium and Quebec, Canada, favor Francophone immigration in order to increase their representation in otherwise English-Protestant countries.
Bosnia-Herzegovina and the Republika Srpska: As a result of the Dayton Accords in 1995, Bosnia-Herzegovina is split into three entities: the Federation of Bosnia-Herzegovina (FBiH), the autonomous Republika Srpska (RS), and the tiny Brčko District (BD). Despite the word Republic, RS is not an independent nation, at least in 2007. The FBiH has 51% of the landmass and 34% of the population. The RS has 49% of the landmass and 66% of the population.
In 2005, RS has 1.41m people, of whom 1.25m (88.4%) are Serbs, 150k (10.7%) are Bosniaks, and 13k (0.9%) are Croats. Another estimate says that in 2007, RS has 1.4m Christian Serbs.
According to 2000 data from the CIA World Factbook, FBiH has 4m inhabitants: 48% (1.92m) Bosniak, 37.1% (1.5m) Serb, 14.3% (572k) Croat, 0.6% (24k) Other. The BBC estimated in Dec 2005 that 1.5m or 40% of the 3.8m Bosnians were Muslim. Wikipedia notes:
90% of Bosniaks are Muslim, 95% of Croats are Catholic, while 93% of Serbs are Orthodox Christians…. Nearly half the population of Bosnia and Herzegovina is estimated to be Muslim, with Sunni Muslims constituting the largest single religious group. The second largest group, Serb Orthodox Christians, account for an estimated 37%, while Roman Catholics, the third largest group, account for a further 15%.
The CPW is only 1.22, well below the replacement rate. If Muslims have more children than Christians, Bosnia-Herzegovina could very well go majority Muslim even as its overall population shrinks, the same scenario that some envision for Europe in the next century.
The Balkan wars between 1992 and 1995 followed upon the breakup of Yugoslavia. The Bosnian war of 1992-1995 should not be confused with the bombing of Serbia in 1999 that related to Kosovo, a territory of Serbia. Bosnia is policed by the EUFOR (EU Force) and Kosovo is policed by KFOR (NATO Kosovo Force).
Between between 1992 and 1995, 100k to 200k Serbs, Croats, and Muslims lost their lives. Whatever the exact number, it seems that two-thirds of the dead were Muslims. Another 1.8m were displaced. The Dayton Peace Accords marked the end of the Bosnian war in 1995, as Spiegel reports:
The Bosnians attribute this failure mainly to what they call the ‘Curse of Dayton.’ Under the terms of the 1995 [Dayton] Peace Accords, the country was divided into two entities, the Bosnian-Croat Federation and the Serb Republika Srpska [R.S. is not an independent country as the word Republic suggests]. The latter turned into an Achilles’ heel when it came to forming a shared state. While the Bosnian Muslims prefer a central government, the Serbs insist on their right to limited autonomy. The Croats, for their part, feel dominated in their forced alliance with the Muslims.[89]
Bosnia is becoming more ethnically divided, as Spiegel reports:
Teachers still use an Apartheid-like system in more than 50 Bosnia schools, where Serb, Croat and Bosnian Muslim students are kept carefully separated….According to the UN High Commission for Refugees (UNHCR), 1m of the roughly 2.2m Bosnian refugees have returned home. But what these statistics do not reveal is the fact that of those who returned and were given back their former homes, 80% promptly sold them and resettled in those areas in which their own respective ethnic group is in the majority.[90]
Bosnian Serb Prime Minister Milorad Dodik said Saudis have built 1k mosques in Bosnia between 1995 and 2007, and 30% of Bosnians approve of, or are involved in, the Wahhabi movement.
In May 2007, PM Dodik said that the US was pressuring him to integrate the autonomous region of Republika Srpska (RS) into Bosnia-Herzegovina (FBiH). Dodik says 99% of Christians Serbs want an independent state of Srpska, and only Bosnian Muslims want RS and FBiH unified into one country with one capital.
PM Dodik seems correct when he says that FBiH is a Muslim entity despite the fact that estimates put the FBiH at 40% Muslim, because:
► The population estimates for the FBiH may already have the autonomous Republic of Srpska added in.
► Croats, an ethnic group that is mostly Catholic with some Orthodox, say they feel dominated by the Muslims in the FBiH federation that they feel was forced on them during the 1995 Dayton Accords.
► The president of the FBiH, Sulejman Tihic, is a Muslim.
► “Under the current arrangement, the Bosnian Serbs have 22 members of the federal parliament, and the Bosnian Muslims have 24 members.”
Shaul Shay said:
In the eyes of the radical Islamic circles, the establishment of an independent Islamic territory including Bosnia, Kosovo and Albania along the Adriatic Coast, is one of the most prominent achievements of Islam since the siege of Vienna in 1683. Islamic penetration into Europe through the Balkans is one of the main achievements of Islam in the twentieth century.[91]
In Apr 2007, 367 former foreign fighters from Turkey, Egypt, Syria, Algeria, Tunisia, Sudan and Russia lost their Bosnian citizenship. They came to Bosnia during the early 1990s. The BBC reported:
Many of these were Muslims who had fought in Afghanistan and saw the war in Bosnia as an attack on Islam that carried the tacit approval of the international community.
When the fighting ended, many stayed, married Bosnian women and settled down, often following a more devout form of Islam than was traditional in the Balkans.
This form of Islam has since spread, and with it tensions with both local Muslim communities and non-Muslims.
Bosnia and Kosovo are known for being centers of Islamic terrorism, and where Al-Qaeda became a truly global phenomenon. Explosives used in the Madrid March 2004 and London July 2007 bombings were said to have come from the Balkans. Moreover, Muslims hailing from Bosnia, or their children, have already been involved in terrorism outside of the Balkans:
► “Khalid Sheikh Muhammad (the mastermind of 9/11) and two of the 9/11 hijacker pilots were veterans of the Bosnian jihad.” Another report says, “Five of the nineteen 9/11 hijackers were trained in Bosnian Muslim al Qaeda camps.”
► In Feb 2007 18-year-old Bosnian refugee Sulejman Talovic, or Suljo Talovic, hunted and killed five infidels in a Utah shopping mall before an off-duty police officer shot him. The family buried him back in Bosnia with a headstone the color-of-Islam green that sported a crescent-and-star couplet. Photos show 300 family members, locals and people from nearby towns who came on buses to attend the funeral. Why? They wanted to touch the revered jihadist’s forehead to obtain blessings from Allah, as is Muslim custom—a la the “car swarms” in Palestine after terrorists are killed by Israelis in cars and pickups.
► Agron Abdullahu was a sniper in Kosovo, and he was one of four Albanian Muslims from Kosovo arrested along with a Turk and a Palestinian from Jordan, for plotting an attack on Fort Dix, New Jersey, US soldiers in May 2007. Albanian Serdar Tatar applied to become a policeman and join the US Army because he wanted to kill soldiers from the “inside.” Another plotter, Albanian Eljvir Duka, said:
When someone [i.e., America] attacks your religion, your way of life, then you go jihad (holy war).
► On 16 May 2007 in Italy, three Albanians hijacked a bus and later set it on fire before fleeing police at the scene. Two police cadets received knife wounds during the incident.
What is ironic is the FBI and the media, especially the St. Lake Tribune, thought Talovic shooting mentioned above had nothing to do with Jihad and Islam, but rather had to do with Talovic’s tragic family history and troubled youth. Yet within a few months there were at least two other terrorism incidents in the West involving 8 young Albanian men, likely all from Kosovo. Could it be just a coincidence that all these Albanians (1 in Salt Lake City, 4 in New Jersey, and 3 in Italy), went nuts and turned to terrorism all around the same time? This just goes to show just how naïve the Salt Lake Tribune staff writers are about Islam to quickly dismiss concerns about a Jihad connection.
In May 2007, World Politics Watch reported that Wahhabism is on the rise in Bosnia. 3k Wahhabists attended a funeral in the NE Bosnian town of Tuzla for a leader, Jusuf Barcic, who died in a car wreck. In Feb 2007 Barcic made the news:
An episode in February caused a particular stir. Jusuf Barcic and a group of his followers wanted to enter the venerable Careva mosque in downtown Sarajevo, in order to perform the Wahhabi prayer rites. For the first time in the over 500-year history of the mosque, the Imam had to lock the doors. Only the arrival of the police could prevent clashes between Barcic's followers and followers of the indigenous Bosnian form of Islam. Already last year, there had been a massive brawl in the town of Kalesija after the Wahhabis occupied the local mosque there and chased off the Imam.
Such incidents remain relatively isolated. But the Islamists are increasingly brazen about their presence. In Sarajevo, for instance, one sees more and more people who respect the fundamentalists' prescripts: men with shaved heads and long beards wearing shin-length pants and women covered from head to foot in long black robes. Wahhabi "vice squads" have already been known sometimes to beat young couples whose public displays of affection violate the Wahhabis' strict moral code. According to a recent survey conducted by Prism Research, nearly 70% of the 2m Bosnian Muslims reject Wahhabi doctrine. 13%, however, subscribe to it….
Although the majority of Bosnian Muslims are secular in orientation, there have always been fundamentalist currents with political influence among the Bosnian intelligentsia. Alija Izetbegovic, the first Bosnian President following the 1992 declaration of Bosnian independence, is a case in point. Izetbegovic openly expressed sympathy for Islamist doctrine, even if he did not adopt it as the basis for his policies….[92]
Britain (United Kingdom): The CPW rate is 1.66. “190k abortions take place in England and Wales annually.” UK’s population is 60.6m. Jews are 0.5%, or 303k. Christians are 71.6%, or 43.4m, according to the CIA Factbook. However, the organization Tearfund polled 7k adults in 2007 and extrapolated that only 53%, or 26.2m, of adults claimed to be Christian. The same survey Tearfund 2007 survey found that:
► 7.6m, or 10% of adults attend church each month in the UK.
► 12.6m, or 25% of adults attended church at least once per year.
► 3m, or 6% of adults, “would consider attending if they were given the right invitation.”
According to Peter Brierley of Christian Research, of Britain’s 500k Methodists, only 6%, or 30k, are regulars at church
1.6m British are Muslim, or 2.8%. A 2001 census put the number of Muslims at 1.591m, or 2.7% of the population at the time.
UK’s social services does not keep track of polygynous families, but they estimate the number is about 1k. This number seem implausibly low, especially since they admit they don’t track it, there are 1.6m Muslims in the UK, and by comparison, in France there are an estimated 20k polygynous families. http://www.answersingenesis.org/articles/am/v1/n2/human-caused-global-warming
Spiegel reported:
In Blackburn and Preston, increasing numbers of neighborhoods have become exclusively Muslim, and the growing influence of the conservative Wahhabi school of Islam is more and more apparent among women who wear black robes and cover all but their eyes.
In Blackburn, the constituency of Jack Straw, the leader of the House of Commons, there are 30k Muslims among a population of 80k. But in a telltale sign for the future, the number of children 10 years and younger is evenly divided between Christian and Muslim.
It is those demographics, and the visibility of Blackburn’s 40 mosques alongside the ancient Christian church spires, that frightened the mosque opponents in Clitheroe.[93]
Spiegel reported that in the town of Clitheroe, population 14,500, there were 300 Muslim. In the town’s Anglican church, Sunday attendance was 90, the average attendee’s age was 75, there was one Sunday school pupil, baptisms are rare and there are just 7 weddings per year.[94]
50% of Muslims in the UK were born there, yet “There are just 330 Muslims in the entire [UK] Armed Forces”[95] that numbers 180k. Since Muslims are 2.8% of UK’s population, there ought to be 5,040 Muslims in UK’s military, or more than 15 times as many Muslims in the military than there are now.
Some might say Muslims are under-represented in the military because Muslims do not feel welcome in the military, but in several countries with all-volunteer armies, Muslims are vastly under-represented. Besides, there were few Muslims in the military even before 9/11 when most everyone was ignorant about Islam, or assumed it was a religion of peace.
The real reason for there being few Muslims in certain militaries is if the military is not seen as benefiting Islam, Muslims want nothing to do with it, as several human interest stories have borne out. Muslim neighbors are often critical of Muslim parents who have son or daughters in the military.
This Muslim sentiment against military nearly turned deadly in Feb 2007 when 25 of UK’s 330 Muslim soldiers were on a hit list of so-called collaborators and traitors to Islam that UK Islamists wanted to behead on videotape.[96] Al-Qaeda stated that Muslim soldiers were the preferred targets, but any UK soldier would do. Upon hearing of the arrests, an imam said Muslims were angry, that the UK government was like the Nazi state, and that Muslims in the UK were like Jews just before WWII.
It helps to compare the UK to the US sometimes. In the US military there are only 3,386 Muslims out of 2,685,713 troops when there ought to be 17,905 Muslims, or 5.28 times as many Muslims in the military, so as to be proportionate to the US population. Moreover, entrance into the US military allows for accelerated US citizenship, so where exactly are all the 96+k Muslims who immigrate each year? To be fair, one must note that there are only 1.22m Christians in the military, or 45.4% of the military, even though 78% of Americans are at least nominally Christian.
Some Muslims say the real number of Muslims in the military is 10k, but many Muslims are afraid to indicate that they are Muslim. However, this under-reporting is more than offset by the fact that some soldiers claim to be Jewish and Muslim in order to receive per diem food money ostensibly for Kosher or Halal food, and to avoid waiting in cafeteria lines at set times.
Unsurprisingly, Ibrahim Hooper of the Council of American-Islamic Relations (CAIR) said that the US military is just like the FBI and other US government agencies in that:
There is a general reluctance to join because Muslims think there is bias against them and career prospects are limited.[97]
CAIR of course is in the grievance and victimology industry, so Ibrahim conveniently forgets to mention that:
► Knowing that there are only a few thousand Muslims in the US military makes the not infrequent news about Pentagon Jihadis especially troubling. There have been numerous incidents of murder, espionage and desertion become especially poignant. Moreover, it is documented that ex-service members have lent their military expertise and know-how to terrorist groups, and committed acts of terrorism after leaving the service. One of the DC Snipers, the dynamic duo who killed at least a dozen while living in their “Batmobile” in 2002, was an ex-US Army sergeant. Moreover, Islamist-buster Rusty Shackleford of the JawaReport notes that a UK Islamic Website has manuals with chapters entitled:
Chapter 7: The Virtues of Killing a Non-Believer for the Sake of Allah:
Allah says "...So when you meet those who disbelieve [in battle], strike [their] necks..."
Chapter 8: The Virtue of an Individual or a Small Group Immersing Themselves Within a Large Army of Non-believers in Search of Martyrdom and Causing Damage to the Enemy.
► US Muslim leaders preach against joining the military, as the New York Times reported:
The 77-year-old Nation of Islam once enjoyed a near monopoly over interpreting Islam for black Americans, using the faith as a vehicle to promote black separatism….Mr. Farrakhan also urged young black Americans not to join the military. ‘I am telling you brother and sister that will be the worst mistake you make to join the military today…’
► The Muslim community is not fond of the infidel military, and radicals preach against it. Abu Izzadeen said on a video two years before the 2007 plot to behead UK Muslim soldiers:
Whoever allies himself with the Kaffirs (non-believers) against the believers - he is one of them. He who joins the British Army, the American Army, he is a mortal kaffir and his only hukum (punishment) is for his head to be removed. Indeed, whoever changes his deen (Muslim code of life); kill him.
► Many Muslims imbibe conspiracy theories and see the government and military as the enemies of Islam and so would never join any such outlet.
► The military relaxes some rules for Muslims so they can continue Islamic observances, and waves away normal precautions when it comes to assigning Muslims to sensitive security posts.
There is a real reason though that Muslim career prospects would hit a glass ceiling in the military and government. That reason is higher-up jobs in government usually require security clearances and background checks where they look at your friends and neighbors in the past. Since 80% of mosques in the US are radical, 10% to 15% of Muslims are Islamists, and many US Muslims meet with foreigners from unfriendly states, many Muslims would have a hard time getting a security clearance. That and similar reasons are why Muslims do not even bother trying to make a career in government or the military.
Many Muslims in the UK do not value being British nor appreciate how Britain has bent over backwards to accommodate them. One of a thousand example is how church bells are not allowed to peal in many communities except on Sunday morning, but in some locations the mosque loudspeakers blares the call to prayer five times per day.
Supposedly, moderate mosques are exposed by secret tapings to be hotbeds of Islamism, and poll after poll show that significant numbers of Muslims hold many unpleasant attitudes towards their Western hosts.
Mosque fights are a sign of a radical mosque. Radical Muslims everywhere don’t take a vote or go to court when an imam wants to take a mosque over from another imam. The imams and their followers fight it out right in mosques and sometimes outside mosques, often with sticks and other potentially lethal weapons:
► In Apr 2007, 200 UK Muslims fought over a mosque in the Uxbridge area of Burton-upon-Trent, Staffordshire. It was the second such incident in two years!
► In May 2007, the New Zealand Herald reported:
Sheikh Mohammed Swaiti, the Imam of the Yarralumla Mosque, was issued with a court restraining order late on Monday following a brawl at Friday prayers last week when his supporters attacked rivals seeking to replace him with another cleric.[98]
► In Feb 2007 in Bosnia, “An episode in February caused a particular stir. Jusuf Barcic and a group of his followers wanted to enter the venerable Careva mosque in downtown Sarajevo, in order to perform the Wahhabi prayer rites. For the first time in the over 500-year history of the mosque, the Imam had to lock the doors. Only the arrival of the police could prevent clashes between Barcic's followers and followers of the indigenous Bosnian form of Islam. Already last year, there had been a massive brawl in the town of Kalesija after the Wahhabis occupied the local mosque there and chased off the Imam.[99]
► Mosque fights are dealt with in the Ingredient 14 (Irredentist Turf Wars) section of Moon-o-theism (2006), volume 1 (online), by Yoel Natan, but here is an excerpt:
In 2005, Ehsan Masood, a Muslim, noted that the ‘overwhelming majority’ of UK Muslims are Sunni and ‘Britain has about a thousand mosques,’ yet ‘punch-ups [fist-fights] are all too common between different factions and the charity commission has a growing file of problem cases.’[100]
► The Jerusalem Post reported in May 2007 mosque fights in Gaza:
According to sources close to the two parties, several mosques in the West Bank and Gaza Strip witnessed fistfights and screaming matches over the past few days between Hamas and Fatah supporters.
The same preachers who until recently were attacking Israel, the Jews and the ‘Crusaders’ in the US and Europe, have now shifted their anger toward PA Chairman Mahmoud Abbas and his Fatah faction.
According to PA security sources, some of the Hamas-affiliated preachers exploited Friday prayers to call for the killing of Fatah political leaders and security commanders. In many cases, worshipers walked out of the mosques in protest against what they described as ‘incitement.’ The sources claimed that Hamas leader Khaled Mashaal was kicked out of a mosque near Damascus after worshipers held him responsible for the internecine fighting in the Gaza Strip.
Fatah spokesmen accused Hamas of exploiting the mosques to launch a wave of incitement against their leaders.
‘This is not the first time Hamas has used the mosques to call for killing Palestinians,’ said Jamal Nazzal, a Fatah representative in the West Bank. ‘We must put an end to the incitement in the mosques.’
Fatah officials are particularly enraged by the harsh rhetoric that many preachers have begun using when referring to the Hamas-Fatah clashes. These preachers are calling the PA security forces the ‘Lahad Army,’ a reference to the former pro-Israel South Lebanon Army headed by Gen. Antoine Lahad.
The preachers have also been denouncing Abbas and his top aides in Fatah as a bunch of corrupt infidels who are conspiring with the US and Israel against Islam.
The tension reached its peak on Friday, when thousands of worshipers stormed out of mosques after the preachers launched scathing attacks on Fatah.
In the town of Deir el-Balah in the southern Gaza Strip, preacher Maher Huli was forced to run away from a local mosque after being attacked by dozens of worshipers.
Huli enraged many mosque-goers after declaring that all the PA and Fatah members who were killed in the clashes with Hamas would ‘end up in hell.’ He also claimed that Fatah and Israel had been jointly bombing the Hamas-controlled Islamic University in Gaza City.
Hamas militiamen who rushed to the scene assaulted a number of worshipers and fired into the air to disperse the angry crowd.
A similar incident occurred in another mosque in the town, where preacher Ahmed Nakla was also forced to flee the mosque after being attacked by worshipers. In his sermon, Nakla had called for killing members of the PA security forces under the pretext that they were implementing a ‘Zionist-American plot to eliminate Hamas.’
The worst incident took place in the Beersheva Mosque in the Sheikh Radwan neighborhood of Gaza City, where at least five people were wounded in a melee that erupted after the preacher accused Fatah leaders of high treason.
Witnesses quoted the Hamas preacher as saying that some of the Fatah leaders were ‘not even fit to serve as shoe shiners.’ The remarks were directed especially against Deputy Prime Minister Ahmed Azzam and PA National Security Adviser Muhammad Dahlan.
As a sign that politicians are grasping how radical mosques have becoming, the Associated Press reported:
EU Commission’s plans to map out mosques on the continent to identify imams who preach radical Islam that raises the threat of homegrown terrorism. The project, to be finished by the fall, will focus on the roles of imams, their training, their ability to speak in the local language and their source of funding, EU Justice and Home Affairs Commissioner Franco Frattini told a news conference. Italian Interior Minister Guiliano Amato said Europe had ample experience with the ‘misuse of mosques, which instead of being places of worship are used for other ends.’ ‘This is bringing about a situation that involves all of our countries and involves the possibility of attacks and developing of networks that use one country to prepare an attack in another,’ Amato said, after a meeting in Venice of interior ministers and security officials from six European countries and the US.
Radical Muslim Attitudes in the Anglosphere
As one reads the following poll results, keep in mind that 50% of Muslims in the UK were born there. Some Muslims have been in the UK since the 1900s, and most are second and third generation. Even though most Muslims in the UK did not just come of the boat yesterday, they generally do not self-identify as being British, and in fact see the native Britons as “the other” and even the enemy.
Daniel Pipes reproduced several polls in “More Survey Research from a British Islamist Hell,” of which here is a sample:
► 36% (576k) agree that modern British values are a threat to the Islamic way of life.
► 7% (112k) think of myself first as a Briton, rather than as a Muslim.
► 81% (1.3m) think of myself first as a Muslim, rather than as a Briton.
► 77% (1.23m) think there is a growing sense of Islamic identity among British Muslims.
► 75% (1.2m) were sympathetic to the French youths who rioted in late 2005.
► 40% (640k) favor Iran acquiring nuclear weapons.
► 78% (1.25m) favor punishing the people who published the Danish cartoons
► 68% (1.1m) favor arresting and prosecuting British people who insult Islam.
Due to Islamic radicalism spreading from the Mideast to all points on the globe, Muslim youth and converts tend to be more radical than their forebears and elders. As many point out, multiculturalism in the UK also played a roll in the radicalization by emphasizing differences rather than commonalities between cultures, and de-emphasizing Western culture and Brutishness. UK think tank Policy Exchange’s poll in 2007 showed that:
► 40% of 16-to-24-year-old UK Muslims prefer Sharia law, compared to only 17% of UK Muslims over 55.
► 36% of 16-to-24-year-old UK Muslims believe that converts from Islam ought to be killed, compared to only 19% of UK Muslims over 55.
► 13% of 16-to-24-year-old UK Muslims “admired” al-Qaeda and others who were prepared to “fight the West.”
► 74% of 16-to-24-year-old UK Muslims strongly supported wearing the veil in public compared to only 28% of UK Muslims over 55.
► 37% of 16-to-24-year-old UK Muslims strongly supported Islamic schools, compared to only 19% of UK Muslims over 55.[101]
Some of these statistics are skewed though because the pollsters are not familiar with the Muslim mentality. The pollsters may ask, for instance, about whether a Muslim approves of terrorism. Most Muslims will say no even though many of them approve of Bin Ladin’s work in progress. The reason is that what Westerners see as Islamic terrorism, many Muslims see as being scriptural Jihad, aka “fighting oppression in the name of Allah” or whatnot. What Muslims see as terrorism is not Jihad, but violent acts done in the name of Marxism, anarchy, criminality, or some other cause besides Islam.
With attitudes and grudges like those registered above, it is a wonder that the UK has not suffered more Muslim riots like occurred during the “2001 Summer of Violence.” 40 communities were involved, but especially Oldham, Bradford, Leeds and Burnley. These UK riots remind one of the Sep-Oct 2005 French Muslim riots and arsons that spread to 300 cities over 18 days.
With UK poll results like those above, and recent Islamist terrorism plots and deeds, it is no wonder that in May 2007, PM Tony Blair is trying to give policemen throughout the UK wartime powers—the same authority has policemen in Northern Ireland have now. Blair proposes that policemen can stop and quiz people without suspecting a crime, and can also can seize documents even though they have no immediately obvious usefulness as evidence of a crime.
In the largest country in the Anglosphere, America, Muslims are radicalizing, but not yet to the extent that UK Muslims, and Muslims in Islamdom, are radicalized. A May 2007 Pew Research survey of Muslims in the US revealed:
u Only 40% of all US Muslims believe that Arabs carried out the 9/11 attacks, but 32% of pollees declined to answer that question.
u Only “26% say the U.S.-led war on terror is a sincere effort to reduce international terrorism.”
u “5% of US Muslims [or 117,500 out of 2.35m Muslims] expressed favorable views of the terrorist group al-Qaida, though about a fourth [27%] did not express an opinion.”
u 13% (305,500) of America’s 2.35m Muslims say suicide-bombings “to defend Islam” can be justified, but 9% had no opinion or refused to answer that question.
u 26% of Muslims under 30 years old say such bombings can be justified (2% often, 13% sometimes, 11% rarely). This is particular troubling statistic because the under-30 crowd makes up the bulk of Jihadists and would-be Jihadists around the world. The Columbus Dispatch reported:
In surveys Pew conducted last year, support [for suicide-bombings] in some Muslim countries exceeded 50 percent, while it was considered justifiable by about one in four Muslims in Britain and Spain, and one in three in France.
See the “Countering the Inevitable Charge of Islamophobia” section for more on Muslim attitudes in America.
The same polls that show support for terrorism in the UK also show there is a lot of Islamic-based anti-Americanism and anti-Semitism evident in the UK, unsurprisingly. Chief Rabbi Jonathan Sacks warned that there was “a tsunami of anti-Semitism” sweeping across Europe. The UK government’s “The Anti-Semitic Incidents Report 2006” said that anti-Semitism was at an all-time high, and there was a “wave of hatred” against Jews.
A 2001 census showed that Jews made up 0.5% of the UK’s population, or 294k. That means the 594 anti-Semitic incidents in 2006 affected one out of every 495 Jews in the UK.
Half of the 594 anti-Semitic incidents, of which 112 were violent assaults including a stabbing, took place in London. One Jew was punched and nearly was pushed off a Tube subway platform in London by an Arab man. There were only good physical descriptions of 205 suspects, and unfortunately, the commission did not list the religion of the known perpetrators. However, 96 were white, 28 black, 60 Asian and 16 Arab.[102]
Given the known high incarceration rates of Muslims and the fact that Lebanon War II occurred in 2006 during the reporting period, one can assume that some of the Caucasian perpetrators were Muslims from Chechnya, the Balkans, and such. Also, probably most of the black (mostly Moroccan, probably), Asian (mostly Pakistani, likely) and Arab perpetrators were Muslim.
No matter how one slices “The Anti-Semitic Incidents Report 2006” data, since only 2.8% of the UK is Muslim and likely over half of the incidents involve Muslim perpetrators, one can see that Muslims are much more likely to assault Jews even in the West.
Melanie Phillips said that the 280k Jews who make up 0.5% of the UK population are increasingly making Aliya to Israel because of Muslims, same as in France. Meryl Yourish wrote, “Jews aren’t safe in their homes, on the subway, on the streets, in their schools, or in their synagogues.” Actually, even UK soldiers are not even safe from beheading plots in the UK itself. Also, UK officials fear a Beslan-style mass kidnapping of unspecified persons.
The Population Council reported:
Muslim and African fertility remains elevated although mostly declining: among Turks and Moroccans everywhere…In Britain in 2001, the total fertility of women born in Pakistan and Bangladesh was 4.7 and 3.9 respectively (ONS 2004a)…the total fertility of women born in Somalia [but living in the UK] was about 5 around 2000.
The 1.6m Muslims in the UK will not become a majority there in the foreseeable future since they are just 2.8% of the population, and the British have CPW of 1.66—not replacement rate, but not exactly a birth dearth either. Thus, in 2006 the names Muhammad and Mohammed continued to rise on the popularity chart but still, taken together, placed only twenty-second out of all boy’s names.
Muslims thrive in the UK because the political class is over-accommodating, and because the UK helps fund the building of mosques, religious schools and community centers attached to mosques. The UK goes the extra step and even sends money to Pakistan and other places to fund madrasas, of all things! It gets worse. Some of the money comes at the expense of British art institutions that are forced to shut down for lack of funding. Incidentally, between 2000 and 2007, the US has sent Pakistan 27b USD along with F-16 fighter jets and such.
In the UK Muslims take advantage of the general free healthcare, and the generous dole. Many of the immigrants are used to living on a pittance per day, so the portion of the dole they don’t use goes toward building mosques and checkbook Jihad.
Much money in the Muslim world and in the Muslim diaspora that goes to Jihad should have went to the government as taxes. Of course, tax is not paid on profits from criminal activities such as fraud and cigarette running:
► In Norway, it was found that Pakistani taxi drivers evaded taxation on fares and tips much more than the natives did. The reason they cited was this was common practice in Pakistan.
► It has long been the case that Arab Muslim communities in Israel hardly pay any taxes, not even for services such as water and garbage collection. Then they demand that the Israeli government save their Arab municipal councils from bankruptcy.
► At a Preston mosque in Australia, “Imam Mohammad Aboueid told followers to put prayer above the paying of taxes and that Islam would prevail over all other religions.”
Besides building mosques with government help with the money they save, Pakistanis are known for flying back and forth to Pakistan a lot. This fact is mentioned in stories about honor killings and forced marriages, and about how UK Muslims train at Jihadist camps and attend madrasas in Pakistan. Of course, Muslims are doing all these things in the UK itself, too. The police have shut down training camps and schools. There are around a dozen honor-killings per year in the UK police figure, but maybe more since the police were not familiar with the concept until lately.
The difference between honor killing in the UK and the West is the chosen perpetrator will be young so as to qualify for juvenile court sentencing, or the father will commit murder-suicide. The reason for the difference is in the Mideast or Asia, the person doing the honor killing could expect to get away with it. Even in the West they got away with it before forensics improved so much, and police became familiar with the twisted motive. Now honor-killings are in the news all the time from Dearborn, Michigan to Israel. Recently Haaretz reported on Muslim honor-killings in Ramle, Israel:
The perpetrators of most honor killings in the Arab community are not apprehended. Hamda’s murder, however, was one too many for the women in the Abu-Ghanem family. She was the eighth woman to be murdered in the extended family in the last six and a half years. All her predecessors also lost their lives in ‘honor killings.’ This time, instead of keeping mum when the police questioned them, the Abu-Ghanem women gave detailed testimonies of everything they knew.
Ramle is a mixed Arab-Jewish town, so one can just imagine how many honor-killings occur in purely Arab towns of Israel, much less the Mideast. In Oct 2005, thee Druze family members killed a Druze woman for falling in love with a Muslim man. In Gaza reports say that illegitimate infants are honor-killed, and eight women were honor-killed in just one ten-day stretch in Mar 2007.
Now police do not automatically ascribe the crime to other motives or to derangement, and they only rule out family members as suspects after they gave an alibi. Honor-killings can involve daughters, mothers, boy friends and other.
As I write this, honor-killings are making the news that probably would have not made the news in the past because they would have been interpreted as tragic events of deranged individuals. For instance, in Feb 2007 in the UK one father did not like how the family had became westernized, so he bolted the doors and poured gasoline around the house as the family slept, killing himself and his family.
The UK is looking more like Muslim areas of India all the time, except Muslims do as they please since counter-Muslim religious extremists like the Hindus are a rare item in the UK:
► UK Muslims demanded that schools be Sharia-compliant, i.e.:
o Less talk about the Holocaust, Muslim black and white slavery, or the Crusades, lest teachers contradict the imams who preach Holocaust Denial or Minimization and their own victimology version of the Crusades back at the mosques and madrasas.
o Separate showers for Muslims and non-Muslims
o Prayer rooms with attached washrooms for Muslims only
o Single-sex classrooms and separate off-campus school trips for each sex
o Boys be allowed to sport beards
o Islamic clothing allowed in the classroom, gym, pool, etc.
o No dance classes or other un-Islamic activities
o Reduced activities during Ramadan
o No swimming during Ramadan lest someone swallow forbidden water during daylight hours
o Muslims should be taught Arabic
o Koran recital instead of music classes
o All students are required to learn about Islam, but Muslim students need not be in any class that teaches about Christianity, etc.
► The Telegraph reported in 2007, “Up to 48 British universities have been infiltrated by fundamentalists and the threat posed by radical groups.”
► There are even forced conversions in the UK like those many Copt teens in Egypt suffer. In early 2007 it was reported that UK police were tracking down Muslim men who would date Hindu and Sihk university women, and then beat them up, rape them and take pictures to blackmail them, and the like, all until they said the Shahada. A 2001 census showed Hindus were 1% of UK’s population, and Sikhs were at 0.6%. Just in early 2007, “there have been about 120 [such] cases in Luton and the South East” London alone, much less the rest of the UK! So far Muslims have not abducted non-Muslim girls in the UK and married them—as occurs in India with Hindus, Egypt with Copts, the W Bank with Christians, and elsewhere.
UK Muslims also engage in checkbook Jihad with the money they save, or raise legally or illegally. This fact received some mention:
► When charity money meant for earthquake relief in 2005 instead went to Pakistani militias.
► When Islamists took over Somalia for six months during 2006. The Sunday Times reported:
There are an estimated 50k Somalis living in Britain. According to the UN, British-based Somali donors sent home £600k in recent months to support the [Islamic Courts] union. UN investigators said that additional funds were sent from Britain through the United Arab Emirates.[103]
Another report put the Somalis in the UK at 43k. It would seem Somali asylum seekers could not easily claim to need to stay in the West for fear of being persecuted on religious grounds since Somalia is 99% Muslim, and the refugees are mostly Muslim.
Even in those nations where the dole has been cut back due to the pressures of globalization, e.g., Germany, France and Israel, still their socialist systems are far more generous than in the US. “52% of France’s GDP is spent in the public sector” versus 42% in the UK.
Asylum seekers often bypass France to get to the UK where they receive a more sympathetic hearing and better welfare benefits simply because France has many more immigrants than the UK. It takes a long time for asylum applications to be processed most anywhere, so even if it is ultimately rejected, they still receive generous dole benefits. Moreover, many asylum seekers do not leave the UK after their application has been rejected, and some might receive government benefits long after their application is rejected.
It seems likely that the UK will have one or more majority-Muslim cities before 2050. London is already 8.46% Muslim as of 2004 and this percentage surely is growing due to continuing immigration and White Flight, that is, natives who are moving out because radicals have free reign in “Londonistan,” the “the Star Wars bar scene” for Islamists such as Omar Bakri Mohammed, Abu Qatada, Yasser al-Siri and Mohammed al-Massari. “The Bishop of London says inner London will have a Muslim majority by 2020.”
The mindset of the average Muslim in the UK has not been moderated at all by living in the West.[104] Muslims in the West are as radical as those most anywhere, but vocalize their radical ideas with impunity due to free speech guarantees in the West. Ok, so just how radical are Muslims everywhere? Hugh Fitzgerald wrote:
Al Qaeda still exists and thrives in Pakistan, and has in opinion polls in the Arab and Muslim world received the support of 50% of the population? And one can assume that if Muslims are going to lie in their responses to such questions, they will lie in only one direction, hiding their support for, or approval of, Bin Laden, in order to curry Western favor or lull Western infidels.
The average Muslim in the West may also engage in more Jihad than the average Muslim in the Mideast, and certainly more checkbook Jihad. Even Muslims on the dole in the West are more affluent than the average Muslim in the Mideast. Muslims in the West also enjoy free movement and free association with almost any group. By contrast, Muslim governments are well aware of the power of Islamism and put a check on it.
Even if there was a will in the West to put a check on radicals, there is a hopeless shortage of loyal people in law enforcement and court system who know about Islam and Jihad, and the languages that Muslims use. British intelligence reported in 2005 that there were 16k “British Muslims actively engaged in terrorist activity.” It is no wonder that Daniel Pipes said:
The biggest threat to US security emanates not from Iraq, not from Iran, not from Afghanistan, but rather from Great Britain…British-based terrorists have carried out operations in at least 15 countries, going from East to West...Pakistan, Afghanistan, Kenya, Tanzania, Saudi Arabia, Yemen, Iraq, Jordan, Israel, Algeria, Morocco, Russia, France, Spain and the US.
Surveys conducted after the 7 July 2005 bombings in London revealed that 46% of Muslims thought that clerics preaching violence against the West were mainstream. 6% thought that the 7/7 bombing were justified, and 5% “believe there is a Koranic justification for the bombings.”[105] These polls explain these counterterrorism facts about UK:
► In 2006 0.5% of Muslims, or 8k, sympathize with Al-Qaeda and had terrorist links.
► In 2006 MI5 was tracking 30 terror plots and 200 cells with 1,600 terrorism suspects. In early 2007 the 1,600 figure was first revised upward to 2k, and then in May 2007 to 4k terrorism suspects.
► In 2007, the UK is planning to deploy army units to “British oil, gas and electricity facilities to defend them from possible terrorist attacks.”[106]
► US politician Newt Gringrich talked about Muslim British terrorists recently:
But, if I come to you and say that there is a couple that hates you so much that they will kill there six month old baby in order to kill you, I am describing a level of ferocity, and a level of savagery beyond anything we have tried to handle. And, what is truly freighting about the British experience is they are arresting British citizens, born in, speaking English, who went to British schools, live in British housing, and have good jobs.
Migration Watch reported that, in 2005, 107k Britons left the UK while 292.2k came to the UK, 58.4k from the EU, 192.6k from India, Pakistan, Bangladesh and Sri Lanka, and 41,200 from Africa and other places. Thus, one Briton left the UK every five minutes, and five immigrants replaced that one Briton. In 2004 the population In 2005 UK’s population rose by 185k, but in 2004 it rose by 220k.[107]
The media is notorious for reporting on Islam vs. infidel issues as being a matter of race. Islam and Muslims are not a race per se, of course, but the British mainstream media (MSM) especially prefer to refer to Muslims as Asians, Middle Easterners, Pakistanis, Indians or youths, so that the public thinks problems involving Muslims are not religio-political disputes, but rather race and inter-generational issues. There are several reasons the media does this, among which are:
► In visual media someone’s race and age are visible and undeniable, but to say someone’s politico-religious view amounts to totalitarianism is a value judgment the media would rather avoid making.
► The media are ignorant of the tenets of most religions, and as secularists they assume most religions are myths and superstitions anyway. So the MSM casts disputes between Muslims and non-Muslims in the West and Israel in the racism mold that they are familiar with, and which story sells. Elsewhere in the world where non-Muslims and Muslims are often of the same race and ethnic groups, the media is forced to report on these as sectarian conflicts. As Islam draws converts in the West and become indigenous, the media may be forced to report the Muslim-non-Muslim conflicts as sectarian even in the West.
Examples of the media referring to Muslim issues as being merely race or generational issues include:
► In 2005 Muslim youths rioted and started fires in 300 French cities all the while yelling Allah Akbar, but the MSM and politicians there downplayed the riots and said the youths rioted merely because they were economically disadvantaged. It should be noted that many cars and even a bus or two have been burned since 2005 in what amounts to a permanent intifada.
► In Sydney Australia in 2005 the surfers club at Cronulla beach came to blows with Lebanese Muslim youths, aka “the Lebs,” who were running roughshod over the locals. The MSM played up the race-riot angle and only referred to the youths as being Lebanese even though they were strictly Muslims. The large Lebanese Christian community in Sydney was not involved.
► In Jan 2007 Raleb Majadele (or Ghaleb Majadle) was appointed the first Arab-Muslim minister in Israel. In the discussion leading up to his appointment, one would be hard pressed to tell from the news whether Majadele was an Arab Christian or Arab Muslim. The media only trumpeted that Majadele was an Arab, one of the 13 Arabs in the 120-seat parliament, and asked “Where does Zionism end and racism begin?” It’s enough to make one think the media was race baiting. Only after his appointment was all but a done deal, the headlines read that Israel appointed its first Muslim minister.[108] Then, not surprisingly, in Majadle’s first publicized act on 9 Feb 2007, he sided with his fellow Muslims and called for Israel to stop rebuilding a ramp-bridge to the temple mount Maghrabi gate by the Western Wall, the only gate to the mount over which Israel has retained control. On 12 Feb 2007 he accused Jerusalem mayor Uri Lupolianski of approving the project even though it was illegal.
► The media usually pit concerned whites against Muslims or Islamists, and implies that some whites are just Islamophobic when interviewers and reporters could just as easily have found non-whites who are concerned about extremism. Brendan Bernhard wrote:
…the equation becomes either British whites versus British Muslims, or radical Muslims versus moderate Muslims, with white people looking on. Consciously or not, the effect is misleading and subtly racist — against white Britons.
Chechnya: Chechnya is an autonomous republic of Russia on Russia’s southern border—the segment that transverses the Caucasus Mountains. Chechnyans are mostly Sunni Muslims. The small number of Christians endure so much persecution that Chechnya is #14 on the Open Door’s list of persecutors (see the Islamdom section for links).
Chechnya borders on several other republics and the country of Georgia to the south. The country of Georgia, like Armenia, stayed mostly Christian despite being so close to the center of Ottoman power for centuries. Georgia is 11% Muslim, or 515k, and 88.6% Christian, despite the fact that Christians were ruthlessly treated, such as the slaughter of 100k in 1227 AD.
This National Geographic map, and this NY Times map, shows where the Muslim contingent is found in Chechnya and in the surrounding provinces of Russia:
► To the NW of Chechnya is Stavropol Krai that is ethnically Russian.
► To the NE and E of Chechnya is the Republic of Dagestan that is between 85% and 90.4% Muslim
► To the S of Chechnya is the country of Georgia that is 9.9% Muslim.
► To the W of Chechnya is the Republic of Ingushetia. The Ingush are 63% Muslim, mostly of the Sunni Sufi variety.
► To the W of Chechnya is the Republic of North Ossetia-Alania that is predominately Christian with a Muslim minority, mainly Ingush. Beslan is in N Ossetia. Beslan is where Muslim militants held a school hostage leading to the deaths of 344 parents and children in 2004.
Spiegel wrote:
Russian troops killed between 35k and 100k civilians in the first Chechen war of 1994-96, and half a million were driven from their homes. Dead and displaced Chechens, that is, comprised roughly half the population. Another 5k or so died in the second Chechen war of 1999-2000, when Russian forces leveled the capital city, Grozny.
Another estimate put the total Chechnyan toll at 100k killed and 500k displaced.
National Geographic reports that before the insurgency, Chechnyans numbered 1.1m in 1989. In 2002 the Chechen population is 784k. Between 100k and 300k died in he conflict. In 2004 there were 210k displaced persons, 3k to 5k missing persons, and 335k unemployed. In 2005, 80k Russian troops were stationed in Chechnya.
Jean de la Valette of Western Resistance commented on how an Islamist killed a moderate imam because he…
…hated the imam for his public denunciation of religious extremism, especially supporters of Wahhabism, to which the accused belonged….
The Russian government has a policy of putting ‘moderate’ imams in power in mosques throughout the country's south, large swathes of which have native Muslim populations. Since these state-supported imams preach peace and tolerance many lack legitimacy in the eyes of devout Muslims, most of whom burn with fervor to implement the principles of hate and conquest called for by the 7th century Arabian warlord Mohammed.
Russian police raid mosques and madrasas suspected of distributing Wahhabi literature, as occurred in Apr 2007. The Turkish Daily News reported:
Today’s Russian authorities say they are combating separatists and Muslim radicals in the North Caucasus, all the way from Kabardino-Balkaria to Ingushetia, Chechnya and Dagestan. But the modern issues are fueled by a passion that dates back to the bitter resistance in these mountains to Russian imperial conquest.
Imam Shamil led Chechen and Dagestani volunteers against vastly superior numbers of Russian troops from 1829 until his surrender in 1859, earning renown as far as Victorian Britain as ‘the Lion of Dagestan.’ Villagers’ pride in him today is as keen as their fright over the raid.
Czech Republic: Neither the Czech Republic or Estonia have many Muslims, but it is worth noting here that these states are by far the two least religious European countries:
► Only 28.9%, or 2.95m, of the 10.24m Czechs are religious.
► Only 397k, or 27.8%, of 1.3m Estonians are Christian.
True, some Balkan states have about the same percentage of Christians as the Czech Republic and Estonia, but these same Balkan states have more Muslims, making them more religious. This demographic is puzzling given how religious the surrounding states are in each instance.
Denmark: 270k out of 5.4m are Muslim, or 5%. A 2006 population projection said that by 2080, Denmark would be just under 8% non-Danish. The immigrant birthrate was just 2.4 per woman,[109] while Danish woman had 1.74 children on average (CIA Factbook 2006).
Denmark initiated immigration restrictions in 2002, so Family reunification immigration dropped from 13,187 in 2001, to 8,151 in 2002, down to 3,594 in 2006. However, the number of temporary aliens is up from 13k in 2001 to 46.5k in 2006. About 1,147 people were given asylum in 2005 and also in 2006.
Denmark is still a bit shell-shocked from Islamists stirring up the Muslim world against Denmark over the Muhammad cartoons. They were first printed in a Danish newspaper in Oct 2005, but the riots and Arab-world boycott on Danish food didn’t begin until some months later.[110]
Denmark stood for free-speech rights right from the start, so the controversy ended there sooner. Free speech rights are weaker in other countries like France, Italy and Australia where Islamists often take people to court for what they wrote about Islam or Muslims. Thus, in Feb 2007 a court case was first being heard over the cartoons in France following a complaint entered by Muslims against the satirical magazine Charlie Hebdo, its publisher and editor to court. Lest one think that only a tiny minority of Islamic extremists favor the lawsuit, recall that in Britain a recent poll showed 78% of Muslims favor punishing the people who published the Danish cartoons (see the Britain section, above).
Estonia: See the note on Czech Republic.
France: Jews are 1% of the population, or 624k according to the CIA Factbook. 20% are Ashkenazim and the remainder are Sephardim, Mizrahim and others. There are 100k French Jews residing in Israel as of 2007, with concentrations in Ashdod, Jerusalem and Netanya.
5 to 6m out of 62.3m Frenchmen are Muslim, or 8 to 9.6%. There are estimates that put the number lower, such as 3.7m, or 5.9%. The CIA Factbook for 2006 puts the number of Muslims at 5% to 10%, or between 3.12 and 6.24m. The BBC reports that:
The French Muslim population is the largest in Western Europe. About 70% have their heritage in former North African colonies of Algeria, Morocco and Tunisia.
Spiegel reported in May 2007, just after President Nicolas Sarkozy was elected, that the Immigration, Integration and National Identity Minister planned to pay immigrants to return home:
France is home to over 5m immigrants.…[and an] estimated 200k to 400k illegals….Under the scheme, Paris will provide each family with a nest egg of €6k ($8k) for when they go back to their country of origin. A similar scheme, which was introduced in 2005 and 2006, was taken up by around 3k families…. France is home to an estimated 1.5m immigrants from mostly Muslim North Africa and 500k from sub-Saharan Africa, according to the 2004 census.
The Population Council reported that “Algerians in France [have]…a TFR [Total Fertility Rate] of 3.2 in 1998/99 (Legros 2003).” The French have a below replacement birthrate of 1.84 which rate would even be lower if Muslims were factored out. The Algerians were received into France over the last fifty years because they sided with the French colonialists and due to humanitarian reasons.
The NY Times reported on New York and then France:
Immigration to New York and other American cities has soared from places where polygyny is lawful and widespread, especially from West African countries like Mali, where demographic surveys show that 43% of women are in polygynous marriages. And the picture that emerges from dozens of interviews with African immigrants, officials and scholars of polygyny is of a clandestine practice that probably involves thousands of New Yorkers…women spoke bitterly of polygyny. They said their participation was dictated by an African culture of female subjugation and linked polygyny to female genital cutting and domestic violence. That view is echoed by most research on plural marriages, including studies of West African immigrants in France, where the government estimates that 120k people live in 20k polygynous families.[111]
Other estimates say 150k to 400k live in polygynous households in France, mainly involving immigrants from Mali and N Africa. By contrast, UK’s social service does not keep track of polygamous families, but they estimate the number is about 1k. This number seem implausibly low, especially since they admit they don’t track it, and there are 1.6m Muslims in the UK.
One study said that in any street fight, there would be as many immigrants as indigenous Frenchmen. Another study reported on by London’s Daily Telegraph said that Muslims could be the majority in France by 2025 or 2030. However, that study assumed that France was already 18-25% Muslim rather than the more conservative 10%. The study said that the CPW for the natives was 1.2, 4.6 for Muslims, and nearly 5 for Black African Muslims, and the most fertile age group 17-30 was 35% Muslim. It also reported that in Belgium (especially Brussels) and in France, it was common for Catholic women to marry Muslim men and then produce large families raised in the Muslim faith.[112]
One reason that there are fewer French in the younger age ranges is they are unemployed and are emigrating to the UK and US, i.e., les pays Anglo-Saxons. In London alone, there are 400k French. 11% of people who received a degree in 2001 were unemployed in 2007, and 19% of people without a degree are unemployed in 2007. The bureaucracy, socialism, and “the taxe Delalande - a crippling levy on any company that sacks anybody over the age of 45,” means the French workforce is grayer and many of the young remain unemployed.[113]
The predictions that say France will be majority Muslim by 2025 or 2035 are overblown. The reasons are:
► The French government does not keep statistics by race or religion, and the data provided from other sources is suspect.
► The studies assume that Muslims are already two or three times as numerous as they really are (18-25%, as noted above), perhaps because the populations in cities was assumed to reflect the broader population. Only 8 to 10% of the French are Muslim by conservative and saner estimates. Thus it would take two to three times as long (2055-2095) before Muslims reach a majority in France, that is, assuming they maintain their elevated CPW the whole while.
► These overblown studies do not anticipate a decline in the CPW rate for Muslim women over a 25-30 year period. They also do not anticipate a rebound in the CPW rate for French women. The CPW rate is falling in Islamdom, so one would think it would eventually fall among French Muslims, too.
► The current CPW rate may reflect how Muslims are not integrated well into France, so instead of working they have large families and rely on social benefits. In Israel it was discovered that as soon as child subsidies were reduced, the CPW rate for Israeli Arabs was curtailed. As the French Muslim population grows and more receive benefits while not working, and as more property and lives are lost due to riots and nightly arsons, the ability for the French to pay out generous social benefits will decline, thereby driving down the Muslim CPW rate.
According to Hebrew University Prof. Raphael Israeli, in the decade ending in 2006, 50k Frenchmen converted to Islam.[114] ZeeNews reported:
15k Muslims each year are converting to Christianity—around 10k to Catholicism and 5k to Protestantism…Worldwide around 6m Muslims a year convert to Christianity.
That 5k Muslims convert to Protestantism is remarkable since only 1m Frenchmen are Protestants, about 2% of the population, and these Protestants are “mostly concentrated in the Cévennes region in the south.” Thus, Muslims outnumber French Protestants 5 or 6 to one in their own country!
In Oct and Nov 2005 Muslim rioted in 300 French cities for 18 days setting fire to many buildings, buses and over 10k cars. The 2005 riot heard people yelling out Allah Akbar, and few non-Muslims took part. There were riots and car burnings in previous years, but it is unknown how much Islam played a part. Then from 2005 to 2006 dozens of cars were burned and 14 police officers were hurt on any average day. On New Year’s Eve 2006, mainly Muslims in Muslim neighborhoods burned 400 cars. Mercury news reported:
Setting cars on fire has become a regular event in France during New Year’s Eve celebrations, especially in the deprived suburbs that ring many cities.[115]
In May 2007 when Sarkozy was elected President, 730 cars were burned on election night, and 500 cars on the next. This was well over the “more than the 70 to 100 vehicles that are attacked on an average night in France.” Since cars are set alight so quickly at night by dousing the tire by the gas tank with accelerants, few arsonists are apprehended, so it is not known how many cars are burned by Leftists, Muslim youth, and other parties.
Not only were the police blamed for the massive riots, but in 2007 Muslims presented a long list of demands to presidential candidates, and most of them signed the document, essentially buying into the logic that Muslims were underprivileged and their existence was not subsidized by the government enough, and that is why they rioted.
So to sum the situation up, Muslims went on a Jihad in Oct-Nov 2005, and now they have obtained their loot, imposed a Jizya tax on the People of the Book (K 009:029), and imposed on the dhimmis a modern-day version of the Pact of Umar (Omer). One wonders how long before Muslims become dissatisfied with the level of tribute they are receiving from the conquered French.
Haaretz reported in Mar 2007 on anti-Semitic acts in France the last seven years:
First, the Jews were hit. In the fall of 2000, when the Muslims began to avenge the damage done to their Palestinian brethren in the territories [in putting down Intifada II], the lives of the Jews of France changed. Within months, hundreds of attacks on Jews and Jewish institutions were reported. Community leaders raised the alarm, but the French government dismissed the events as incidents perpetrated by criminals or delinquent youths.
The socialist government headed by Prime Minister Lionel Jospin deciphered the new reality, but feared sparking a communal and ethnic conflagration that would set fire to the republic. Thus, only rarely did government spokesmen mention the ethnic origin of the perpetrators or their victims. Only when synagogues and schools were hit was their link to Judaism mentioned. Only when Jews took to the streets and demanded that their country protect them, waving the flag of Israel alongside the French flag, did France concede that this was a new wave of anti-Semitism.
Seven years later, the all clear can be sounded. Attacks do continue, but they are much less severe. Here and there curses, here and there shoving, here and there slogans on walls. The murder of Ilan Halimi a year ago [in Jan 2006] was considered the height of the anti-Jewish campaign that began in the fall of 2000. These seven years have shaped the new politics of France’s Jews. Real fears have grown strong sometimes to the point of exaggeration and have caused the Jews to prefer a right-wing to a left-wing candidate. [116]
The 2005 riots were not known as being anti-Semitic, but only because the main targets were cars and buses, not people:
► Many Muslim youth live in France’s 751+ ZUS zones, standing for Zones Urbaines Sensibles, i.e., “Sensitive Urban Zones. Not all ZUS zones are populated by Muslim, but in many the Koran and Sharia-lite are the law of the neighborhood similar to such areas in the US, UK and in Berlin.
► The Jewish Defense League (not connected to JDL in America) and Beitar are guarding Jewish neighborhoods against Muslims and “Tribu KA,” a black anti-Semitic supremacist group that marches through their neighborhoods.
As the percentage of Muslims in France ticks upward, their potential to disrupt French society only increases. French Jews are taking note and are preemptively fleeing France to go to America, notably to Miami, and to Israel and elsewhere. Of the roughly 600k Jews in France, 14k Jews made Aliya to Israel between 2001 and early 2007. Even some native Frenchmen are quitting their Islamized cities and France itself, just as other Europeans are preemptively fleeing Eurabian cities and even Eurabia itself.
Because state television is dominant in France, and the French government seems to have undue influence over the media, the idea that the Oct-Nov 2005 riots were a Jihad was suppressed even though it only involved Muslim youth who were yelling Allah Akbar! The media hued to the government line and said it was just disadvantaged generic youth.
Besides the 2005 riots, there have been other incidents involving lesser numbers of Muslim youth, though the media would never bring up the issue of religion in their news reports. For instance:
The Uygurs in the northwest Xinjiang region of China are Turkic-speaking Muslims who are not ethnic Chinese. Many Uygurs are involved in a separatist movement.
► In Corsica, a French island in the Mediterranean, “a large North African community is held in check [during the French Muslim riots of 2005] by a local nationalist movement that itself is prone to violence.”
► On New Years Day in 2006, up to 40 Muslim teenagers robbed, harassed and sexually assaulted some of the 600 holiday revelers on the train between Nice to Lyon in SE France. They also slashed seats, broke windows and pulled the emergency stop in order to escape along the tracks.
► On 27 Mar 2007, 100 youth rioted in Paris’ Gare du Nord train station, closing it down for several hours. The youths, surely Muslim, attacked police offices and threw trash cans after policeman arrested a North African man who had no ticket and fought two policemen.
Also of interest is the fact that in Jun 2005, 500 Muslim youth mass-mugged (slang: “steamed”) beachgoers near Lisbon, Portugal, stealing all their valuables (see the Spain section).
In 2007, France is tightening its control over information by making it illegal to use videophones and camcorders to record criminal acts, and also to disseminate them over the internet. This bill was enacted under the guise of combating “Happy Slapping” that is popular in Britain and France, a sort of Candid Camera show for those who get their kicks out of seeing an unsuspecting person getting slapped. However, it seems this law’s real purpose is so amateur reporters, i.e., bloggers, cannot produce evidence that contradicts the government’s spin on the Jihad going on within France.
Meanwhile, all the riots and debates about veils has monopolized the discussion of Islam in France, but all the other ills attendant to Islam go on as normal: honor-killings, wife abuse, FGM, etc.
Germany: There are 82.5m Germans. In the aftermath of WWII, 12m Germans were forced out of Czechoslovakia and Poland and into Germany. In 2007, there are 200k Jews in Germany, mostly immigrants from the Former Soviet Union (FSU).
3m out of 82.5m Germans are Muslim, or 3.6%, according to the BBC. The CIA Factbook puts the number at 3.2m, and 3.9% of Germany’s population. In 2007, Spiegel reported that:
► There are 3.2m to 3.3m Muslims, and “3k mosques” in Germany.
► Milli Görüs is a radical Muslim Turkish group found in Turkey and Europe, notably in Germany and the Netherlands. Milli Gorus was founded by Islamist Turkish PM Erbakan. The group “often attacked Turkey’s secular regime and its Constitution.”
► 700k of Germany’s Muslims are Alevites. Alevites are Shiite but incorporate pre-Islamic practices. There are 20m Alavites in Turkey, and 1.7m in all of Europe.
In January, the Islam-Archive Central Institute, a government-sponsored think tank, projected that Muslims will be the majority population of Germany by 2046, based on fertility rates.
Somehow I doubt that the Germany government would fund an institute so-named. Also, how could 3m Muslims in Germany, where the 82.5m citizens, become the majority in a mere 39 years? Even if they tripled their numbers by then, there would only be 9m Muslims.
Most Muslims in Germany are Turkish, and the remainder is mainly from Bosnia and Kosovo. Spiegel reported:
Between July 2004 and June 2005 about 4k German converted to Islam. That’s about 4 times as many as the previous year…The annual number of converts remained constant—at about 300—until three years ago.
As the Muslim population in Germany swells among the living, among the dead the rate of growth is not so fast. That’s because 70% of Muslims choose to be buried in Turkey and other places because it is by-the-book Islamic, and it is cheaper than burial in Germany.
Muslims in Germany, like everywhere, are becoming increasingly Islamized. Besides the Turkish Milli Görüs radicals and other assorted Jihadists groups, “there are 300 to 500 people who are suspected to be part of Al-Qaeda cells in Germany.” A few of the 19 9/11 Jihadists studied in Germany for a while. Lately, German media has outted certain self-professed moderate imams for their hateful sermons.
In 2006 two Lebanese men studying in Germany planted suitcase bombs on a train, but they failed to explode only due to the way they were assembled and packed. The attempted bombing was said to be an Al-Qaeda initiation-loyalty test, but later the men were found to have Hizb ut-Tahrir associations. Then in May 2007, one of the suspects was killed along with Fatah al-Islam men fighting the Lebanonese army in a refugee camp near Tripoli (see the Lebanon section).
Terrorism experts noted that the 499 terrorist attacks perpetrated by non-Muslim in the EU in 2006 were only intended to cause property damage. This lone attempted terrorist attack on the train was worse than the other 499 put together because it would have caused mass casualties if the bomb had not failed to explode.[117]
Mass casualty attacks rather than property attacks are not at all exceptional for Muslim terrorism. A study by Dutch researchers Bakker & Donker found that between 2001 and 2006, 242 Jihadists in 28 networks planned 31 attacks, and…
The choice of specific targets was consistently perfidious: the plans were directed exclusively against civilian facilities or civilians themselves.[118]
Spiegel reported on the increasing religiosity since 9/11:
In 2000 Süen’s center conducted a survey. The results showed that 8% of immigrants of Turkish extraction said they were ‘very religious.’ In 2005, the figure had climbed to 28%. The survey’s findings on headscarves are also striking. While only 27% had thought Muslim women should cover their hair in 2000, the number had almost doubled to 47% five years later. A similar pattern emerged on the topics of dual-sex sports classes and participation in coeducational school trips. Rejected by 19% in 2000, by last year the proportion had risen to 30%. Women and young men are startlingly conservative: 59% of 18- to 30-year olds favored Muslim women wearing headscarves, as did almost 62% of female respondents. Members of mosque associations took particularly orthodox positions, including - and above all - the VIKZ members.
Daniel Pipes wrote about a situation brought about by Europe’s increasing Islamization:
University of Göttingen professor Bassam Tibi, who has often warned that ‘Either Islam gets Europeanized, or Europe gets Islamized,’ has given up. Recently, he announced that he is leaving Germany after 44 years for Cornell University in the US.
In 2007 Tibi said that if one even suggests that there are Islamists among Muslims, Muslims would say there are only Muslims and that saying there are Islamists is Islamophobia and racism, making any meaningful discussion of such issues nearly impossible. Of Germany’s 3.2m Muslims, Tibi says “maybe a few thousand” hold to his “progressive, secular views.”
Tibi is undeniably correct because whenever non-Muslims broach the issue of Islamists most anywhere, whether in chat rooms or academia, the charges of racism and Islamophobia fly like snowflakes. The reader can verify this him- or herself by logging into various chartrooms and suggesting that perhaps Muslim immigration into the West is not such a great idea.
A main reason people lodge the racism and Islamophobia charge is to end discussion and criminalize the expression of opposing religious and political views, no matter how sound they are. In other words, potential victims of Islamism are supposed to be polite and go silently to their slaughter like lambs. The charges of racism, fascism, and Islamophobia that are lodged against critics of Islam are the Left’s “rhetorical kryptonite.”
The Journal Chretien reported on Germany:
Islam is slowly but surely taking a grip on the European culture, warns the German journalist and university lecturer Udo Ulfkotte. Traditional values, customs and judicial standards are gradually customized to meet Muslim requirements.
As Ulfkotte explained at a meeting of Christian Democrats in Wetzlar, March 8, more and more institutions are making allowances for Muslims. Many banks, he said, are abandoning the so-called piggy banks, because they are afraid of losing Muslim customers. Muslims regard the pig as an unclean animal.
German butchers who sell pork are targeted by Muslim extremists, according to Ulfkotte. Muslims occasionally spit on sausages on sale at open-air markets. In some European cities and Australia, Muslim taxi drivers refuse to transport dogs, even blind persons with guide dogs.
The Muslim Sharia law is also beginning to take hold. Banks are offering Sharia-friendly investments, Ulfkotte said. Authorities in Berlin have recognized a Sharia lawyer, who settles family feuds.[119]
Spiegel reported in 2007:
The German cabinet approved the new immigration bill in March, but it still has to be approved by the Bundestag, Germany’s parliament. Among other measures, the law stipulates that in the case of immigrating spouses, the person coming to Germany must be at least 18 years old and be able to speak at least basic German. The government says it wants to improve the integration of foreigners, while also attempting to reduce the number of forced and fake marriages.
The CIA Factbook for 2006 shows that only Hong Kong’s birthrate is lower than Germany’s. Spengler wrote:
Only 15% of Germany's population is at the age of household formation, and real housing prices have fallen by 2% during the past 10 years. By contrast, 23% of Ireland’s population is at the age of household formation, and real home prices have risen by about 15% in the past 10 years, accor
